2026 forecast · Updated Oct 21, 2026
Polls
1,897 public polls of 2026 races, the generic ballot and Trump approval from 272 pollsters, newest first. Each links to its race, its pollster and its original release. All pollsters and their ratings →
Most active, last 30 days: University of New Hampshire 18 · YouGov 17 · New York Times/Siena College 16 · InsiderAdvantage 15 · Marist College 15 · ActiVote 14 · co/efficient 14 · Trafalgar Group 12 · All 272 pollsters →
The 500 newest polls of every kind. Choose a type above for all of its 1,897 polls this cycle.
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Forecast | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 5 · 20 polls | |||||||
| ME Governor | The Washington Post/SSPG★★ | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 800 LV | Pingree 49 · Charles 36 | D+13 | D 98% | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Generic ballot | Reuters/Ipsos★★ | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 3,526 RV | D 44 · R 37+1 version | D+7 | — | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Trump approval | Reuters/Ipsos★★ | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 4,506 A | Approve 32 · Disapprove 65 | −33 net | — | reuters.com ↗ |
| Trump approval | Navigator Research | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 1,000 RV | Approve 36 · Disapprove 62 | −26 net | — | navigatorresearch.org ↗ |
| AZ Governor | GQR★½ for Hobbs' campaignD sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 600 LV | Hobbs 49 · Biggs 45 | D+4 | D 96% | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| IA Senate | SSRS★½ for CNN | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 801 LV | Turek 43 · Hinson 45 | R+2 | D 52% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | SSRS★½ for CNN | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 760 LV | Brown 49 · Husted 43 | D+6 | D 69% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| IA Governor | SSRS★½ for CNN | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 801 LV | Sand 51 · Lahn 42 | D+9 | D 85% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| OH Governor | SSRS★½ for CNN | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 760 LV | Acton 50 · Ramaswamy 42 | D+8 | D 71% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| KY-6 | Change Research★★ for Kentuckians Not Corruption, which supports DemboD sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 524 LV | Dembo 47 · Alvarado 38 | D+9 | D 55% | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 3,813 LV | Nixon 44 · Moody 49 | R+5 | R 84% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| NH Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 1,520 LV | Pappas 51 · Sununu 43 | D+8 | D 96% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| TX Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 3,625 LV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 44 | D+6 | D 71% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| FL Governor | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 3,813 LV | Jolly 45 · Donalds 47 | R+2 | R 73% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| NH Governor | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 1,520 LV | Warmington 40 · Ayotte 49 | R+9 | R 95% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| TX Governor | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 3,625 LV | Hinojosa 48 · Abbott 47 | D+1 | R 71% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| TX Senate | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 47 | D+3 | D 71% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| TX Governor | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 48 | D+1 | R 71% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Goodwin 49 · Patrick 46 | D+3 | R 78% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Johnson 48 · Middleton 47 | D+1 | R 66% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Oct 4 · 27 polls | |||||||
| VT Governor | State Navigate | Oct 2–4 | 948 LV | Janoo 43 · Scott 46 | R+3 | R 70% | projects.statenavigate.com ↗ |
| Vermont Lieutenant Governor | State Navigate | Oct 2–4 | 948 LV | Gray 56 · Rodgers 30+1 version | D+26 | D >99% | projects.statenavigate.com ↗ |
| Trump approval | Financial Times/Focaldata | Oct 2–4 | 2,275 RV | Approve 34 · Disapprove 59 | −25 net | — | ft.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | Suffolk University★★½ | Oct 1–4 | 500 LV | Turek 48 · Hinson 44 | D+4 | D 52% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| IA Governor | Suffolk University★★½ | Oct 1–4 | 500 LV | Sand 55 · Lahn 43 | D+12 | D 85% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| ME Senate | Marist University★★ | Oct 1–4 | 1,505 RV | Jackson 51 · Collins 47 | D+4 | D 68% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| ME Governor | Marist University★★ | Oct 1–4 | 1,505 RV | Pingree 52 · Charles 40 | D+12 | D 98% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| NY Governor | Marist University★★ | Oct 1–4 | 1,361 RV | Hochul 53 · Blakeman 42 | D+11 | D 98% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| MN Senate | GQR★½D sponsor | Oct 1–4 | 800 LV | Flanagan 50 · Tafoya 42+1 version | D+8 | D 87% | x.com ↗ |
| OR Governor | GBAO★½ for Kotek's campaignD sponsor | Oct 1–4 | 800 LV | Kotek 46 · Drazan 42 | D+4 | D 67% | opb.org ↗ |
| KY-6 | Lake Research Partners★★ for the House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 400 LV | Dembo 47 · Alvarado 40+1 version | D+7 | D 55% | x.com ↗ |
| AR Senate | GrayHouseR sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 550 LV | Shoffner 39 · Cotton 50 | R+11 | R 97% | x.com ↗ |
| SC-1 | GQR★½D sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 400 LV | Lacore 48 · Honeycutt 45 | D+3 | R 61% | x.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | GBAO★½ for Hamilton's campaignD sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 600 LV | Hamilton 46 · Marshall 41+1 version | D+5 | R 56% | static.politico.com ↗ |
| NY-21 | Impact Research★½ for Gendebien’s campaignD sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 4 | 500 LV | Gendebien 45 · Constantino 48 | R+3 | R 71% | yahoo.com ↗ |
| TX-2 | Impact Research★½ for Finnie's campaignD sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 4 | 501 LV | Finnie 37 · Toth 46 | R+9 | R 98% | x.com ↗ |
| NC-1 | GQR★½ for Davis' campaignD sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 4 | 500 LV | Davis 47 · Buckhout 39 | D+8 | D 73% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Targoz Market Research★ for the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank | Sep 28–Oct 4 | 847 LV | Nixon 42 · Moody 52+1 version | R+10 | R 84% | jamesmadison.org ↗ |
| FL Governor | Targoz Market Research★ for the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank | Sep 28–Oct 4 | 849 LV | Jolly 42 · Donalds 52+1 version | R+10 | R 73% | jamesmadison.org ↗ |
| Florida Attorney General | Targoz Market Research★ for the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank | Sep 28–Oct 4 | 854 LV | Rodríguez 40 · Uthmeier 50+1 version | R+10 | R 81% | jamesmadison.org ↗ |
| Generic ballot | Pew Research Center★½ | Sep 28–Oct 4 | 3,917 RV | D 44 · R 36 | D+8 | — | pewresearch.org ↗ |
| Trump approval | Pew Research Center★½ | Sep 28–Oct 4 | 5,062 A | Approve 30 · Disapprove 68 | −38 net | — | pewresearch.org ↗ |
| Generic ballot | Morning Consult★½ | Sep 28–Oct 4 | 17,659 LV | D 50 · R 43 | D+7 | — | pro-assets.morningconsult.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 24–Oct 4 | 2,255 LV | Hamilton 48 · Marshall 45 | D+3 | R 56% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| KS Governor | YouGov★★ | Sep 24–Oct 4 | 2,255 LV | Holscher 44 · Masterson 47 | R+3 | R 76% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| MI Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 22–Oct 4 | 3,949 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 48 | D+1 | D 78% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| MI Governor | YouGov★★ | Sep 22–Oct 4 | 3,949 LV | Benson 48 · James 45 | D+3 | D 88% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| Sat, Oct 3 · 7 polls | |||||||
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Oct 1–3 | 1,512 LV | Peltola 51 · Sullivan 49+1 version | D+2 | D 52% | x.com ↗ |
| AK Governor | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Oct 1–3 | 1,512 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 54 · Bronson 46+1 version | D+8 | D 77% | x.com ↗ |
| AK-AL | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Oct 1–3 | 1,512 LV | Hill 47 · Begich 53+1 version | R+6 | R 68% | x.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | East Carolina University★★ | Sep 30–Oct 3 | 810 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 43+1 version | D+7 | D 98% | surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com ↗ |
| SC Governor | Resonance Media | Sep 29–Oct 3 | 638 RV | Johnson 35 · Wilson 45 | R+10 | R 90% | fitsnews.com ↗ |
| NE Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 24–Oct 3 | 1,809 LV | Osborn 48 · Ricketts 47 | D+1 | R 63% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| NE Governor | YouGov★★ | Sep 24–Oct 3 | 1,809 LV | Walz 43 · Pillen 44 | R+1 | R 78% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| Fri, Oct 2 · 7 polls | |||||||
| FL-16 | Public Policy Polling★★D sponsor | Oct 1–2 | 530 RV | Kirschner 39 · Gruters 43 | R+4 | R 79% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Generic ballot | Cygnal★★★R sponsor | Oct 1–2 | 1,500 LV | D 52 · R 43 | D+9 | — | cygn.al ↗ |
| Generic ballot | CBS News/YouGov★★ | Sep 30–Oct 2 | 1,572 LV | D 54 · R 45 | D+9 | — | assets1.cbsnewsstatic.com ↗ |
| OH-1 | Torchlight Strategies for Conroy's campaignR sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 2 | 400 LV | Landsman 46 · Conroy 44 | D+2 | D 95% | x.com ↗ |
| California Lieutenant Governor | Independent Voter Project | Sep 23–Oct 2 | 2,906 LV | Ma 41 · Romero 31 | D+10 | D >99% | ivn.us ↗ |
| California Secretary of State | Independent Voter Project | Sep 23–Oct 2 | 2,906 LV | Weber 41 · Wagner 31 | D+10 | D >99% | ivn.us ↗ |
| Generic ballot | ActiVote★★ | Sep 22–Oct 2 | 1,000 LV | D 52 · R 48 | D+4 | — | activote.net ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 1 · 34 polls | |||||||
| MI Senate | Mitchell Research & Communications★★ | Oct 1 | 682 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 41 | D+5 | D 78% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| MI Governor | Mitchell Research & Communications★★ | Oct 1 | 682 LV | Benson 46 · James 39 | D+7 | D 88% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| AZ-1 | FirstStrategic Communications and Public Affairs | Oct 1 | 400 LV | Shah 44 · Feely 42 | D+2 | D 81% | x.com ↗ |
| SC-1 | co/efficient★★ for Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter PAC, which supports HoneycuttR sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 837 LV | Lacore 40 · Honeycutt 46 | R+6 | R 61% | coefficient.org ↗ |
| West Virginia Senate District 8 | State Navigate | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 1,002 LV | Hundley 40 · Wheeler 46 | R+6 | R 97% | statenavigate.org ↗ |
| IL Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Chicago News WeeklyD sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 569 LV | Stratton 49 · Tracy 36 | D+13 | D 99% | cnwmedia.com ↗ |
| IL Governor | Public Policy Polling★★ for Chicago News WeeklyD sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 569 LV | Pritzker 54 · Bailey 34 | D+20 | D 99% | cnwmedia.com ↗ |
| Illinois Attorney General | Public Policy Polling★★ for Chicago News Weekly | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 569 LV | Raoul 52 · Fioretti 38 | D+14 | D >99% | cnwmedia.com ↗ |
| Illinois Secretary of State | Public Policy Polling★★ for Chicago News Weekly | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 569 LV | Giannoulias 55 · Harris 37 | D+18 | D >99% | cnwmedia.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 1 | 1,095 LV | Hamilton 44 · Marshall 44 | Even | R 56% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| ME Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 1 | 1,091 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 46 | Even | D 68% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| Generic ballot | I&I/TIPP Insights★★R sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 1 | 1,328 RV | D 46 · R 42 | D+4 | — | issuesinsights.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD sponsor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 483 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 42 | D+7 | D 78% | x.com ↗ |
| MI Governor | Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD sponsor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 483 LV | Benson 50 · James 40 | D+10 | D 88% | x.com ↗ |
| PA Governor | Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD sponsor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 630 LV | Shapiro 53 · Garrity 34 | D+19 | D >99% | x.com ↗ |
| WI Governor | Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD sponsor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 662 LV | Crowley 49 · Tiffany 44 | D+5 | D 65% | x.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Mason-Dixon★★½ | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 625 LV | Nixon 40 · Moody 50 | R+10 | R 84% | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| FL Governor | Mason-Dixon★★½ | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 625 LV | Jolly 41 · Donalds 48 | R+7 | R 73% | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| TN-5 | Impact Research★½ for Molder's campaignD sponsor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 552 LV | Molder 41 · Hatcher 46 | R+5 | R 94% | tennessean.com ↗ |
| WI-1 | Impact Research★½ for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD sponsor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 500 LV | Berman 48 · Steil 47 | D+1 | D 51% | bsky.app ↗ |
| Generic ballot | Centerline Research & Strategy | Sep 26–Oct 1 | 930 LV | D 50 · R 42 | D+8 | — | centerliners.com ↗ |
| Trump approval | Centerline Research & Strategy | Sep 26–Oct 1 | 1,239 RV | Approve 35 · Disapprove 64 | −29 net | — | centerliners.com ↗ |
| AK Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Peltola 50 · Sullivan 43 | D+7 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| AK Governor | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 52 · Bronson 48+2 versions | D+4 | D 77% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| AK-AL | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Hill 47 · Begich 53+2 versions | R+6 | R 68% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| CA Governor | Manhattan InstituteR sponsor | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 1,000 LV | Becerra 57 · Hilton 39 | D+18 | D >99% | manhattan.institute ↗ |
| OR Governor | DHM Research★★ for The Oregonian | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 549 LV | Kotek 46 · Drazan 44 | D+2 | D 67% | oregonlive.com ↗ |
| ME Governor | CBS/YouGov★½ | Sep 23–Oct 1 | 1,133 LV | Pingree 56 · Charles 44 | D+12 | D 98% | cbsnews.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | CBS News/YouGov★★ | Sep 23–Oct 1 | 1,136 LV | Jackson 50 · Collins 50 | Even | D 68% | cbsnews.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 606 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 48 | R+1 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 616 LV | Brown 49 · Husted 46 | D+3 | D 69% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| IA Governor | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 606 LV | Sand 52 · Lahn 41 | D+11 | D 85% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| OH Governor | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 616 LV | Acton 49 · Ramaswamy 45 | D+4 | D 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| TX Governor | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 615 LV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 46 | D+3 | R 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 30 · 5 polls | |||||||
| NY-18 | Public Policy Polling★★D sponsor | Sep 29–30 | 561 LV | Ryan 52 · Auringer 35 | D+17 | D >99% | x.com ↗ |
| MN Senate | Big Data Poll★½R sponsor | Sep 29–30 | 622 LV | Flanagan 40 · Tafoya 38+1 version | D+2 | D 87% | bigdatapoll.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 1,240 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 48 | R+2 | D 68% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| NE Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 1,113 LV | Osborn 43 · Ricketts 48+1 version | R+5 | R 63% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| ME Governor | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 1,240 LV | Pingree 47 · Charles 38 | D+9 | D 98% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
Margin: the poll's lead (D − R; approve − disapprove for approval). Forecast: the race's chance in today's forecast, which averages polls after adjusting for each pollster's house effect and track record. Stars: our pollster rating, three is best. Sponsor: polls paid for by a party or campaign are released selectively, and the forecast adjusts for that.