Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Impact Research
31 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 20 races. Latest: Oct 8, 2026.
- Polls
- 3131 in 20 races
- 538 rating
- ★½1.5 of 3 stars
- House effect
- D+1.5Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 1.5 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Senate District 38D-sponsored | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 400 LV | Lamondin 40 · Calatayud 40 | Even | floridapolitics.com ↗ |
| New York's 21st District for Gendebien’s campaignD-sponsored | Sep 29–Oct 4 | 500 LV | Gendebien 45 · Constantino 48 | R+3 | yahoo.com ↗ |
| Texas's 2nd District for Finnie's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 29–Oct 4 | 501 LV | Finnie 37 · Toth 46 | R+9 | x.com ↗ |
| Tennessee's 5th District for Molder's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 552 LV | Molder 41 · Hatcher 46 | R+5 | tennessean.com ↗ |
| Wisconsin's 1st District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 500 LV | Berman 48 · Steil 47 | D+1 | bsky.app ↗ |
| Colorado's 4th District for the Invest in Tomorrow Coalition PAC, which opposes BoebertD-sponsored | Sep 21–Sep 24 | 403 LV | Laubacher 40 · Boebert 45 | R+5 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Montana's 1st District for Forstag's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 20–Sep 23 | 500 LV | Forstag 47 · Flint 44 | D+3 | mcusercontent.com ↗ |
| Minnesota's 2nd District for Little's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 9–Sep 13 | 500 LV | Little 52 · Pratt 40 | D+12 | x.com ↗ |
| Maine's 2nd District for the House Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidatesD-sponsored | Sep 8–Sep 12 | 500 LV | Dunlap 49 · LePage 49 | Even | x.com ↗ |
| New York's 21st District for Gendebien’s campaignD-sponsored | Aug 30–Sep 2 | 500 LV | Gendebien 44 · Constantino 47 | R+3 | politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in South Carolina for Andrews's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 18–Aug 24 | 700 LV | Andrews 41 · Graham 41 | Even | drannieandrews.com ↗ |
| Tennessee's 5th District for Molder's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 19–Aug 24 | 500 LV | Molder 40 · Hatcher 48 | R+8 | nationaljournal.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in South Carolina for Andrews's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 14–Aug 22 | 900 LV | Andrews 42 · Graham 39 | D+3 | x.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in South Dakota for Bengs' campaignD-sponsored | Aug 13–Aug 17 | 500 LV | Bengs 44 · Rounds 44 | Even | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Nebraska for Osborn's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 9–Aug 13 | 600 LV | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 47 | Even | omaha.com ↗ |
| Wisconsin's 1st District for Berman's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 6–Aug 9 | 400 LV | Berman 48 · Steil 49 | R+1 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Florida Senate District 38D-sponsored | Jul 1–Jul 31 | — V | Lamondin 36 · Calatayud 43 | R+7 | floridapolitics.com ↗ |
| Indiana's 5th District for Ford's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 16–Jul 20 | 400 LV | Ford 46 · Spartz 48 | R+2 | x.com ↗ |
| Alabama's 2nd District for the DCCCD-sponsored | Jun 22–Jun 25 | 400 LV | Figures 44 · Marques 45 | R+1 | hub.nationaljournal.com ↗ |
| Montana's 1st District for Forstag's campaignD-sponsored | Jun 22–Jun 25 | 500 LV | Forstag 44 · Flint 44 | Even | x.com ↗ |
| Pennsylvania's 8th District for Cognetti's campaignD-sponsored | Jun 8–Jun 11 | 500 LV | Cognetti 46 · Bresnahan 45 | D+1 | paigeforpa.com ↗ |
| New York's 21st District for Gendebien’s campaignD-sponsored | May 26–May 31 | 500 LV | Gendebien 44 · Constantino 45 | R+1 | politico.com ↗ |
| Wisconsin's 3rd District for Cooke's campaignD-sponsored | May 26–May 31 | 500 LV | Cooke 50 · Orden 46 | D+4 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Minnesota for Craig's campaignD-sponsored | May 26–May 28 | 808 LV | Flanagan 51 · Tafoya 44 | D+7 | x.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Mississippi for the SPLC Action Fund, which opposes Hyde-SmithD-sponsored | Apr 8–Apr 12 | 500 LV | Colom 39 · Hyde-Smith 42 | R+3 | splcactionfund.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Mississippi for the SPLC Action Fund, which opposes Hyde-SmithD-sponsored | Apr 8–Apr 12 | 500 LV | Colom 44 · Hyde-Smith 47 | R+3 | splcactionfund.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Talarico's campaignD-sponsored | Mar 12–Mar 17 | 900 LV | Talarico 44 · Paxton 43 | D+1 | politico.com ↗ |
| Wisconsin's 3rd District for Cooke's campaignD-sponsored | Feb 12–Feb 17 | 500 LV | Cooke 49 · Orden 48 | D+1 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Nebraska for Osborn's campaignD-sponsored | Feb 2–Feb 5 | 600 LV | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 48 | R+1 | osbornforsenate.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for Acton's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 24–Jul 28 | 800 LV | Acton 46 · Ramaswamy 47 | R+1 | mcusercontent.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Minnesota for Craig's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 8–Jul 11 | 604 LV | Flanagan 48 · Tafoya 45 | D+3 | scribd.com ↗ |