Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Independent Voter Project
3 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 3 races. Latest: Oct 2, 2026.
- Polls
- 33 in 3 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+2.2Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 2.2 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Lieutenant Governor | Sep 23–Oct 2 | 2,906 LV | Ma 41 · Romero 31 | D+10 | ivn.us ↗ |
| California Secretary of State | Sep 23–Oct 2 | 2,906 LV | Weber 41 · Wagner 31 | D+10 | ivn.us ↗ |
| California Governor | Sep 23–Sep 28 | 2,906 LV | Becerra 48 · Hilton 38 | D+10 | ivn.us ↗ |