Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
GBAO
24 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 15 races. Latest: Oct 8, 2026.
- Polls
- 2424 in 15 races
- 538 rating
- ★1.2 of 3 stars
- House effect
- D+2.2Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 2.2 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Governor for Hinojosa's campaignD-sponsored | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 800 LV | Hinojosa 47 · Abbott 45 | D+2 | ginafortexas.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Kansas for Hamilton's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 600 LV | Hamilton 46 · Marshall 41 | D+5 | static.politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Kansas for Hamilton's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 600 LV | Hamilton 49 · Marshall 44 | D+5 | static.politico.com ↗ |
| Oregon Governor for Kotek's campaignD-sponsored | Oct 1–Oct 4 | 800 LV | Kotek 46 · Drazan 42 | D+4 | opb.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MichiganD-sponsored | Sep 19–Sep 22 | 800 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 44 | D+4 | politico.com ↗ |
| Minnesota's 1st District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Sep 18–Sep 21 | 500 LV | Johnson 47 · Finstad 46 | D+1 | x.com ↗ |
| Oklahoma's 5th District for Nelson's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 17–Sep 20 | 500 LV | Nelson 43 · Bice 48 | R+5 | oklahoman.com ↗ |
| Michigan's 4th District for McCann's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 13–Sep 16 | 500 LV | McCann 47 · Huizenga 46 | D+1 | x.com ↗ |
| North Carolina's 1st District for the House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 500 LV | Davis 50 · Buckhout 43 | D+7 | x.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Nebraska for Working Class Majority PAC, which supports OsbornD-sponsored | Sep 3–Sep 8 | 800 LV | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 46 | D+1 | static.washingtonsun.com ↗ |
| Nevada's 2nd District for the Nevada Alliance, which supports Benitez-ThompsonD-sponsored | Aug 31–Sep 3 | 500 LV | Benitez-Thompson 38 · Flippo 37 | D+1 | thenevadaindependent.com ↗ |
| Arizona's 2nd District for Nez's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 21–Aug 24 | 500 LV | Nez 44 · Crane 46 | R+2 | politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Senate Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 800 LV | El-Sayed 50 · Rogers 44 | D+6 | politico.com ↗ |
| Texas GovernorD-sponsored | Aug 4–Aug 9 | 1,000 LV | Hinojosa 48 · Abbott 49 | R+1 | x.com ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large District for Hill's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 3–Aug 5 | 500 LV | Hill 42 · III 46 | R+4 | punchbowl.news ↗ |
| Wisconsin Governor for Protect Our Wisconsin PAC, a group backed by the Democratic Governors AssociationD-sponsored | Jul 30–Aug 3 | 800 LV | Crowley 47 · Tiffany 44 | D+3 | politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Nebraska for Working Class Majority PAC, which supports OsbornD-sponsored | Jul 1–Jul 31 | — V | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 47 | Even | static.washingtonsun.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Kansas for Hamilton's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 8–Jul 13 | 600 LV | Hamilton 43 · Marshall 47 | R+4 | politico.com ↗ |
| Pennsylvania's 7th District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Jun 29–Jul 2 | 550 LV | Brooks 47 · Mackenzie 43 | D+4 | static.notus.org ↗ |
| Ohio's 7th District for Poindexter's campaignD-sponsored | Jun 16–Jun 20 | 500 LV | Poindexter 43 · Miller 44 | R+1 | static.politico.com ↗ |
| Arizona's 2nd District for Nez's campaignD-sponsored | Jun 11–Jun 15 | 500 LV | Nez 41 · Crane 44 | R+3 | nationaljournal.com ↗ |
| Michigan's 4th District for McCann's campaignD-sponsored | May 28–Jun 1 | 500 LV | McCann 48 · Huizenga 45 | D+3 | semafor.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Nebraska for Working Class Majority PAC, which supports OsbornD-sponsored | Apr 1–Apr 30 | — V | Osborn 46 · Ricketts 45 | D+1 | static.washingtonsun.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor for Hinojosa's campaignD-sponsored | Jan 26–Feb 3 | 1,000 LV | Hinojosa 43 · Abbott 46 | R+3 | drive.google.com ↗ |