Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Z to A Research
7 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 7 races. Latest: Oct 1, 2026.
- Polls
- 77 in 7 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+0.6Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 0.6 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD-sponsored | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 483 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 42 | D+7 | x.com ↗ |
| Michigan Governor for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD-sponsored | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 483 LV | Benson 50 · James 40 | D+10 | x.com ↗ |
| Pennsylvania Governor for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD-sponsored | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 630 LV | Shapiro 53 · Garrity 34 | D+19 | x.com ↗ |
| Wisconsin Governor for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD-sponsored | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 662 LV | Crowley 49 · Tiffany 44 | D+5 | x.com ↗ |
| Maryland's 1st District for Schwartz's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 482 LV | Schwartz 39 · Harris 52 | R+13 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Maine for a pro-Shah groupD-sponsored | Jul 7–Jul 8 | 988 LV | Jackson 47 · Collins 48 | R+1 | notus.org ↗ |
| New Jersey's 7th District for 314 Action, which supports Shah | May 24–May 26 | 430 LV | Bennett 47 · Jr. 43 | D+4 | newjerseyglobe.com ↗ |