Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Torchlight Strategies
3 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 3 races. Latest: Oct 2, 2026.
- Polls
- 33 in 3 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+1.6Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- RMost of its polls were paid for by a Republican party or campaign
Its polls run 1.6 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio's 1st District for Conroy's campaignR-sponsored | Sep 29–Oct 2 | 400 LV | Landsman 46 · Conroy 44 | D+2 | x.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Common Sense for America PAC, which supports RepublicansR-sponsored | Sep 15–Sep 19 | 643 LV | El-Sayed 43 · Rogers 44 | R+1 | washingtonreporter.news ↗ |
| Michigan Governor for Common Sense for America PAC, which supports RepublicansR-sponsored | Sep 15–Sep 19 | 643 LV | Benson 42 · James 41 | D+1 | washingtonreporter.news ↗ |