Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
15 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Oct 5, 2026.
- Polls
- 1515 in 4 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+0.1Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 0.1 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 47 | D+3 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 48 | D+1 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Goodwin 49 · Patrick 46 | D+3 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Johnson 48 · Middleton 47 | D+1 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Aug 5–Aug 13 | 1,200 RV | Talarico 42 · Paxton 39 | D+3 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Aug 5–Aug 13 | 1,200 RV | Hinojosa 40 · Abbott 45 | R+5 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Aug 5–Aug 13 | 1,200 RV | Goodwin 35 · Patrick 42 | R+7 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Aug 5–Aug 13 | 1,200 RV | Johnson 35 · Middleton 40 | R+5 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Jun 5–Jun 12 | 1,200 RV | Talarico 42 · Paxton 43 | R+1 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Jun 5–Jun 12 | 1,200 RV | Hinojosa 40 · Abbott 47 | R+7 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Apr 10–Apr 20 | 1,200 RV | Talarico 42 · Paxton 34 | D+8 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Apr 10–Apr 20 | 1,200 RV | Hinojosa 38 · Abbott 44 | R+6 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Apr 10–Apr 20 | 1,200 RV | Goodwin 31 · Patrick 35 | R+4 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Feb 2–Feb 16 | 1,300 RV | Hinojosa 35 · Abbott 45 | R+10 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Feb 2–Feb 16 | 1,300 RV | Goodwin 31 · Patrick 37 | R+6 | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |