Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
ActiVote
9 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 2 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Oct 14, 2026.
- Polls
- 92 in 2 races · 7 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+0.6Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 0.6 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Sep 30–Oct 14 | 400 LV | Talarico 52 · Paxton 48 | D+4 | activote.net ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Sep 30–Oct 14 | 400 LV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 51 | R+2 | activote.net ↗ |
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4–Oct 14 | 1,000 LV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | activote.net ↗ |
| Sep 22–Oct 2 | 1,000 LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | activote.net ↗ |
| Sep 11–Sep 21 | 1,000 LV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | activote.net ↗ |
| Aug 31–Sep 10 | 1,000 LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | activote.net ↗ |
| Aug 10–Aug 24 | 1,000 LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | activote.net ↗ |
| Jul 29–Aug 8 | 1,000 LV | 52.5 | 47.5 | D+5 | activote.net ↗ |
| Jun 6–Jun 28 | 1,000 LV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | activote.net ↗ |