99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

2026 forecast · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Statewide offices

115 statewide offices below governor are on the ballot on November 3, 2026: 10 lieutenant governor races, 30 attorney general races, 26 secretary of state races, 26 treasurer races, 23 auditor races.

Statewide offices on the 2026 ballot, by office (Horizon)
OfficeRacesD favoredToss-upR favored
Lieutenant Governor10505
Attorney General3017013
Secretary of State2614012
Treasurer2611114
Auditor2310112
All offices11557256

Counts by Horizon rating; "favored" means a chance of winning of 60% or more. Uncontested races count for their party.

Lieutenant Governor

10 races in 2026.

Solid D2

Likely D1

Lean D2

Toss-up0

Lean R1

Likely R0

Solid R4

Solid D2

Likely D0

Lean D3

Toss-up1

Lean R0

Likely R0

Solid R4

Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Faded: no major-party opponent.

Every lieutenant governor race
  • Top two CA Top-two primary: every candidate ran on one primary ballot, and the two with the most votes advanced, whatever their party.
  • Runoff GA Runoff: if no candidate reaches the required share of the vote, the top two meet again in a second round.
  • Fusion VT Fusion voting: a candidate can appear on several party lines, and the votes add up.
10 races
StateCandidatesChance of winning (D · R)Avg. marginRatingLeanPolls
Alabama
● Phillip Ensler● John Wahl
<1%>99%
3%97%
R+19.6R+17.1Solid RSolid RR+301
Arkansas
● No Democrat● Leslie RutledgeINCAlso: Michael Kalagias (L)
No Democrat on the ballotNo Democrat on the ballot—Solid R (no Democrat)Solid R (no Democrat)R+31—
California
● Fiona Ma● Gloria Romero
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+26.1D+24.2Solid DSolid DD+231
GeorgiaD flipD flipRunoff 5%
● Josh McLaurin● Greg Dolezal
78%22%
73%27%
D+4.7D+4.9Lean DLean DR+22
Idaho
● Eric Myricks● Scott BedkeINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+29.2R+28.9Solid RSolid RR+36—
NevadaD flipD flip
● Sandra Jauregui● Stavros AnthonyINC
62%38%
74%26%
D+2.0D+4.9Lean DLean DR+22
Oklahoma
● Kelly Forbes● T. W. Shannon
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+22.7R+22.3Solid RSolid RR+351
Rhode Island
● Sabina MatosINC● John Loughlin
93%7%
77%23%
D+19.0D+12.4Likely DLean DD+162
TexasFlip risk
● Vikki Goodwin● Dan PatrickINC
29%71%
43%57%
R+3.4R+1.4Lean RToss-upR+1216
VermontD flipD flip
● Molly Gray● John RodgersINC
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+25.7D+28.5Solid DSolid DD+347

Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%). Badges mark election rules (hover or long-press for details): RCV = ranked-choice voting; Top two / Top four = the leading primary finishers advance; All-party = every candidate on one November ballot; TBD = no candidate list yet, forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger.

Attorney General

30 races in 2026.

Solid D12

Likely D4

Lean D1

Toss-up0

Lean R3

Likely R3

Solid R7

Solid D10

Likely D4

Lean D4

Toss-up2

Lean R3

Likely R1

Solid R6

Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Faded: no major-party opponent.

Every attorney general race
  • Top two CA Top-two primary: every candidate ran on one primary ballot, and the two with the most votes advanced, whatever their party.
  • Runoff GA Runoff: if no candidate reaches the required share of the vote, the top two meet again in a second round.
  • Fusion CT, NY, VT Fusion voting: a candidate can appear on several party lines, and the votes add up.
30 races
StateCandidatesChance of winning (D · R)Avg. marginRatingLeanPolls
Alabama
● Jeff McLaughlin● Katherine Robertson
<1%>99%
2%98%
R+19.5R+20.0Solid RSolid RR+301
Arizona
● Kris MayesINC● Warren Petersen
94%6%
88%12%
D+8.8D+8.4Likely DLikely DR+410
Arkansas
● No Democrat● Tim GriffinINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+31—
California
● Rob BontaINC● Michael Gates
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+30.0D+29.6Solid DSolid DD+23—
Colorado
● Jena Griswold● Michael Allen
99%1%
96%4%
D+19.5D+20.3Solid DSolid DD+12—
Connecticut
● William TongINC● John Bolton
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+27.9D+29.4Solid DSolid DD+161
Delaware
● Kathy JenningsINC● Dave Graham
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+25.3D+26.1Solid DSolid DD+16—
Florida
● José Javier Rodríguez● James UthmeierINC
18%82%
27%73%
R+5.3R+4.5Likely RLean RR+1110
GeorgiaD flipD flipRunoff 18%
● Tanya F. Miller● Brian Strickland
78%22%
73%27%
D+5.2D+6.2Lean DLean DR+2—
Idaho
● Lori Hickman● Raúl LabradorINC
<1%>99%
<1%>99%
R+27.0R+26.0Solid RSolid RR+361
Illinois
● Kwame RaoulINC● Bob Fioretti
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+20.8D+18.9Solid DSolid DD+131
IowaD flip
● Nathan Willems● Brenna BirdINC
36%64%
61%39%
R+2.4D+2.3Lean RLean DR+125
Kansas
● Chris Mann● Kris KobachINC
9%91%
23%77%
R+8.0R+5.3Likely RLean RR+163
Maryland
● Anthony BrownINC● James Rutledge III
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+39.2D+42.9Solid DSolid DD+31—
Massachusetts
● Andrea CampbellINC● Michael Walsh
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+35.8D+39.2Solid DSolid DD+28—
Michigan
● Eli Savit● Doug Lloyd
87%13%
76%24%
D+7.1D+5.6Likely DLean DEven2
Minnesota
● Keith EllisonINC● Ron Schutz
95%5%
84%16%
D+11.4D+7.6Solid DLikely DD+58
Nebraska
● Jocelyn Brasher● Mike HilgersINC
2%98%
18%82%
R+16.4R+9.1Solid RLikely RR+21—
Nevada
● Nicole Cannizzaro● Adriana Guzmán Fralick
91%9%
85%15%
D+8.2D+7.9Likely DLikely DR+22
New Mexico
● Raúl TorrezINC● Sam Kane
99%1%
94%6%
D+18.7D+17.3Solid DLikely DD+7—
New York
● Letitia JamesINC● Saritha Komatireddy
99%1%
96%4%
D+19.9D+16.7Solid DSolid DD+152
North Dakota
● Tim Lamb● Drew WrigleyINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+28.0R+25.9Solid RSolid RR+37—
OhioFlip risk
● John Kulewicz● Keith Faber
39%61%
52%48%
R+1.8D+0.5Lean RToss-upR+112
Oklahoma
● Nick Coffey● Jon Echols
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+24.6R+22.7Solid RSolid RR+351
Rhode Island
● Kimberly Ahern● Alan Gordon
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+28.3D+33.7Solid DSolid DD+16—
South Carolina
● Richard Hricik● David Stumbo
6%94%
21%79%
R+11.2R+8.1Likely RLean RR+17—
South Dakota
● No Democrat● Lance Russell
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+29—
TexasFlip risk
● Nathan Johnson● Mayes Middleton
40%60%
41%59%
R+1.5R+1.6Lean RToss-upR+1213
Vermont
● Charity ClarkINC● Ed Kemon
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+37.4D+35.0Solid DSolid DD+34—
Wisconsin
● Josh KaulINC● Eric Toney
94%6%
77%23%
D+10.1D+7.6Likely DLean DR+1—

Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%). Badges mark election rules (hover or long-press for details): RCV = ranked-choice voting; Top two / Top four = the leading primary finishers advance; All-party = every candidate on one November ballot; TBD = no candidate list yet, forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger.

Secretary of State

26 races in 2026.

Solid D11

Likely D2

Lean D1

Toss-up0

Lean R2

Likely R2

Solid R8

Solid D7

Likely D4

Lean D3

Toss-up2

Lean R3

Likely R2

Solid R5

Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Faded: no major-party opponent.

Every secretary of state race
  • Top two CA Top-two primary: every candidate ran on one primary ballot, and the two with the most votes advanced, whatever their party.
  • Runoff GA Runoff: if no candidate reaches the required share of the vote, the top two meet again in a second round.
  • Fusion CT, VT Fusion voting: a candidate can appear on several party lines, and the votes add up.
26 races
StateCandidatesChance of winning (D · R)Avg. marginRatingLeanPolls
Alabama
● Wayne Rogers● Caroleene Dobson
<1%>99%
3%97%
R+20.4R+20.7Solid RSolid RR+30—
Arizona
● Adrian FontesINC● Alexander Kolodin
95%5%
89%11%
D+10.0D+9.0Solid DLikely DR+48
Arkansas
● Kelly Grappe● Kim Hammer
<1%>99%
4%96%
R+20.5R+20.0Solid RSolid RR+31—
California
● Shirley WeberINC● Don Wagner
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+27.8D+24.3Solid DSolid DD+231
Colorado
● Amanda Gonzalez● James Wiley
99%1%
96%4%
D+19.3D+20.2Solid DSolid DD+12—
Connecticut
● Stephanie ThomasINC● Peter Lumaj
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+26.9D+28.2Solid DSolid DD+16—
GeorgiaD flipD flipRunoff 20%
● Penny Reynolds● Tim Fleming
73%27%
73%27%
D+4.2D+6.2Lean DLean DR+2—
Idaho
● Shawn Keenan● Phil McGraneINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+30.0R+28.9Solid RSolid RR+36—
Illinois
● Alexi GiannouliasINC● Diane Harris
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+21.8D+21.0Solid DSolid DD+131
IndianaFlip risk
● Beau Bayh● Max EnglingAlso: Lauri Shillings (L), Greg Ballard (I)
37%63%
55%45%
R+2.7D+1.3Lean RToss-upR+193
Iowa
● Ryan Peterman● Paul PateINC
13%87%
32%68%
R+7.0R+3.9Likely RLean RR+121
Kansas
● Jennifer Day● Pat Proctor
14%86%
23%77%
R+6.7R+5.8Likely RLean RR+161
Massachusetts
● William F. GalvinINC● Anne Brensley
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+36.7D+39.1Solid DSolid DD+28—
Michigan
● Garlin Gilchrist● Anthony Forlini
90%10%
80%20%
D+7.8D+6.4Likely DLean DEven2
Minnesota
● Steve SimonINC● Tad Jude
98%2%
88%12%
D+13.1D+9.5Solid DLikely DD+52
Nebraska
● Sarah Slattery● Scott Petersen
3%97%
18%82%
R+13.3R+9.2Solid RLikely RR+21—
Nevada
● Cisco AguilarINC● Jim Marchant
95%5%
84%16%
D+10.1D+7.4Solid DLikely DR+22
New Mexico
● Amanda López Askin● Ramona Goolsby
98%2%
94%6%
D+15.6D+17.3Solid DLikely DD+7—
North Dakota
● Ryan Braunberger● Michael HoweINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+27.3R+25.9Solid RSolid RR+37—
OhioFlip risk
● Allison Russo● Robert Sprague
39%61%
53%47%
R+1.9D+0.6Lean RToss-upR+11—
Rhode Island
● Gregg AmoreINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+16—
South Carolina
● Jason Belton● Mark HammondINC
4%96%
22%78%
R+12.9R+8.0Solid RLean RR+17—
South Dakota
● Terrence Davis● Heather Baxter
1%99%
5%95%
R+18.8R+17.9Solid RLikely RR+29—
Vermont
● Sarah Copeland HanzasINC● Brooke Paige
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+37.1D+34.9Solid DSolid DD+34—
Wisconsin
● JoCasta Zamarripa● Jay Schroeder
87%13%
77%23%
D+7.3D+7.5Likely DLean DR+1—
Wyoming
● Bryan McCarty● Robert Short
<1%>99%
<1%>99%
R+39.1R+39.8Solid RSolid RR+47—

Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%). Badges mark election rules (hover or long-press for details): RCV = ranked-choice voting; Top two / Top four = the leading primary finishers advance; All-party = every candidate on one November ballot; TBD = no candidate list yet, forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger.

Treasurer

26 races in 2026.

Solid D9

Likely D0

Lean D2

Toss-up1

Lean R2

Likely R2

Solid R10

Solid D8

Likely D2

Lean D2

Toss-up3

Lean R3

Likely R3

Solid R5

Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Underlined: two candidates of one party in November. Faded: no major-party opponent.

Every treasurer race
  • Top two CA Top-two primary: every candidate ran on one primary ballot, and the two with the most votes advanced, whatever their party.
  • Fusion CT, VT Fusion voting: a candidate can appear on several party lines, and the votes add up.
26 races
StateCandidatesChance of winning (D · R)Avg. marginRatingLeanPolls
Alabama
● Rosilyn Houston● Young BoozerINC
<1%>99%
3%97%
R+24.8R+20.7Solid RSolid RR+30—
ArizonaD flipD flip
● Nick Mansour● Elijah Norton
79%21%
81%19%
D+4.7D+6.5Lean DLikely DR+45
Arkansas
● No candidate● No candidate
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+31—
California
● Eleni Kounalakis● Jennifer Hawks
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+29.1D+29.6Solid DSolid DD+23—
Colorado
● Jeff Bridges● Kevin Grantham
99%1%
97%3%
D+18.8D+20.3Solid DSolid DD+12—
Connecticut
● Erick RussellINC● Fred Wilms
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+26.0D+28.3Solid DSolid DD+16—
Delaware
● Ted Lauzen● Mike Ramone
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+22.1D+25.9Solid DSolid DD+16—
Florida
● Annette Taddeo● Blaise IngogliaINC
20%80%
36%64%
R+5.6R+3.6Likely RLean RR+11—
Idaho
● Kevin Jones● Julie EllsworthINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+29.8R+29.0Solid RSolid RR+36—
Illinois
● Mike FrerichsINC● Max Solomon
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+23.1D+23.0Solid DSolid DD+13—
Indiana
● Coumba Kebe● Daniel ElliottINC
4%96%
17%83%
R+11.1R+7.3Solid RLikely RR+191
IowaFlip risk
● John Norwood● Roby SmithINC
18%82%
49%51%
R+6.3R+0.4Likely RToss-upR+12—
Kansas
● Juan Luengo● Steven JohnsonINC
5%95%
26%74%
R+11.5R+6.5Solid RLean RR+16—
Massachusetts
● Deb GoldbergINC● Elizabeth Dionne
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+38.7D+39.1Solid DSolid DD+28—
Nebraska
● Daniel Ebers● Joey SpellerbergINC
3%97%
18%82%
R+12.6R+9.2Solid RLikely RR+21—
Nevada
● Tya Mathis-Coleman● Drew Johnson
80%20%
69%31%
D+5.1D+3.9Lean DLean DR+22
New Mexico
● Laura MontoyaINC● Jim Ellison
99%1%
94%6%
D+18.1D+17.3Solid DLikely DD+7—
OhioFlip risk
● Seth Walsh● Jay Edwards
38%62%
53%47%
R+2.1D+0.6Lean RToss-upR+11—
Oklahoma
● No Democrat● Cindy ByrdAlso: Kiefer Perry (L)
No Democrat on the ballotNo Democrat on the ballot—Solid R (no Democrat)Solid R (no Democrat)R+35—
Rhode Island
● James DiossaINC● Micholas Credle
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+29.7D+33.8Solid DSolid DD+16—
South Carolina
● Vincent Coe● Curtis LoftisINC
3%97%
22%78%
R+15.7R+8.0Solid RLean RR+17—
South Dakota
● Margaret Kuipers● Melissa Hull
1%99%
5%95%
R+18.8R+17.9Solid RLikely RR+29—
TexasFlip risk
● Sarah Eckhardt● Don HuffinesINC
27%73%
45%55%
R+4.1R+1.2Lean RToss-upR+12—
VermontD vs D
● Mike PieciakINC● No RepublicanAlso: Lynn LaFleur (D)
Democrats only in NovemberDemocrats only in November—Solid D (D vs D)Solid D (D vs D)D+34—
WisconsinFlip riskD flip
● Yee Leng Xiong● John LeiberINC
57%43%
78%22%
D+1.3D+7.6Toss-upLean DR+1—
Wyoming
● No Democrat● Curt MeierINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+47—

Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%). Badges mark election rules (hover or long-press for details): RCV = ranked-choice voting; Top two / Top four = the leading primary finishers advance; All-party = every candidate on one November ballot; TBD = no candidate list yet, forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger.

Auditor

23 races in 2026.

Solid D9

Likely D1

Lean D0

Toss-up1

Lean R2

Likely R2

Solid R8

Solid D8

Likely D1

Lean D2

Toss-up2

Lean R3

Likely R1

Solid R6

Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Faded: no major-party opponent.

Every auditor race
  • Top two CA Top-two primary: every candidate ran on one primary ballot, and the two with the most votes advanced, whatever their party.
  • Fusion CT, NY, VT Fusion voting: a candidate can appear on several party lines, and the votes add up.
23 races
StateCandidatesChance of winning (D · R)Avg. marginRatingLeanPolls
Alabama
● Violet Edwards● Andrew SorrellINC
<1%>99%
3%97%
R+24.6R+20.7Solid RSolid RR+30—
Arkansas
● No Democrat● Dennis MilliganINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+31—
California
● Malia CohenINC● Herb Morgan
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+30.8D+29.6Solid DSolid DD+23—
Connecticut
● Sean ScanlonINC● Jen Tooker
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+26.9D+28.2Solid DSolid DD+16—
Delaware
● Lydia YorkINC● April Callaway
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+25.5D+26.0Solid DSolid DD+16—
Idaho
● Rakesh Mohan● Brandon WoolfINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+29.5R+29.0Solid RSolid RR+36—
Illinois
● Margaret Croke● Bryan Drew
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+20.8D+23.0Solid DSolid DD+13—
Indiana
● Jessica Bailey● Elise NieshallaINC
4%96%
22%78%
R+12.2R+7.7Solid RLean RR+19—
IowaR flipFlip risk
● Taylor Wettach● Chris Cournoyer
31%69%
48%52%
R+3.2R+0.4Lean RToss-upR+12—
Maryland
● Brooke LiermanINC● Sonya Dunn
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+39.1D+43.0Solid DSolid DD+31—
Massachusetts
● Diana DiZoglioINC● No RepublicanAlso: Al Ozonoff (L)
No Republican on the ballotNo Republican on the ballot—Solid D (no Republican)Solid D (no Republican)D+28—
Minnesota
● Zack Filipovich● Scott JensenAlso: Jay Reeves (FWD)
87%13%
75%25%
D+7.4D+5.8Likely DLean DD+53
Missouri
● Quentin Wilson● Scott FitzpatrickINC
11%89%
29%71%
R+8.7R+4.3Likely RLean RR+181
Nebraska
● No Democrat● Mike FoleyINCAlso: John Knight (OTH)
No Democrat on the ballotNo Democrat on the ballot—Solid R (no Democrat)Solid R (no Democrat)R+21—
NevadaFlip riskD flip
● Michael MacDougall● Andy MatthewsINC
52%48%
74%26%
D+0.5D+6.6Toss-upLean DR+2—
New Mexico
● Joseph MaestasINC● Joshua Lawrence
>99%<1%
94%6%
D+21.7D+17.3Solid DLikely DD+7—
New York
● Tom DiNapoliINC● Joseph Hernandez
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+24.2D+23.6Solid DSolid DD+15—
OhioFlip risk
● Annette Blackwell● Frank LaRose
39%61%
53%47%
R+1.7D+0.6Lean RToss-upR+11—
Oklahoma
● No Democrat● Melissa Capps
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+35—
South CarolinaR flipR flip
● Tiffany Boozer● Mike Burkhold
10%90%
21%79%
R+8.5R+8.2Likely RLean RR+17—
South Dakota
● Tom Cool● Catherine Barranco
1%99%
5%95%
R+18.7R+18.0Solid RLikely RR+29—
Vermont
● Tim Ashe● Ivar Kronick
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+37.5D+35.0Solid DSolid DD+34—
Wyoming
● No Democrat● Kristi RacinesINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+47—

Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%). Badges mark election rules (hover or long-press for details): RCV = ranked-choice voting; Top two / Top four = the leading primary finishers advance; All-party = every candidate on one November ballot; TBD = no candidate list yet, forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger.