Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
co/efficient
42 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 29 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Oct 8, 2026.
- Polls
- 4239 in 29 races · 3 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- ★1.1 of 3 stars
- House effect
- R+3.9Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- RMost of its polls were paid for by a Republican party or campaign
Its polls run 3.9 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina's 1st District for Buckout's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 6–Oct 8 | 623 LV | Davis 42 · Buckhout 43 | R+1 | politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special)R-sponsored | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 925 LV | Brown 45 · Husted 46 | R+1 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special)R-sponsored | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 925 LV | Brown 43 · Husted 44 | R+1 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Ohio GovernorR-sponsored | Oct 5–Oct 6 | 925 LV | Acton 43 · Ramaswamy 45 | R+2 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| South Carolina's 1st District for Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter PAC, which supports HoneycuttR-sponsored | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 837 LV | Lacore 40 · Honeycutt 46 | R+6 | coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MaineR-sponsored | Sep 28–Sep 30 | 1,240 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 48 | R+2 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in NebraskaR-sponsored | Sep 28–Sep 30 | 1,113 LV | Osborn 43 · Ricketts 48 | R+5 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in NebraskaR-sponsored | Sep 28–Sep 30 | 1,113 LV | Osborn 40 · Ricketts 45 | R+5 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Maine GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 28–Sep 30 | 1,240 LV | Pingree 47 · Charles 38 | D+9 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Nebraska GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 28–Sep 30 | 1,113 LV | Walz 38 · Pillen 43 | R+5 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Virginia's 6th DistrictR-sponsored | Sep 28–Sep 30 | 791 LV | Macy 29 · Cline 59 | R+30 | coefficient.org ↗ |
| New York Governor for Coalition to Protect Nassau TaxpayersR-sponsored | Sep 23–Sep 25 | 1,046 LV | Hochul 48 · Blakeman 41 | D+7 | nypost.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MichiganR-sponsored | Sep 21–Sep 23 | 843 LV | El-Sayed 45 · Rogers 45 | Even | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MichiganR-sponsored | Sep 21–Sep 23 | 843 LV | El-Sayed 50 · Rogers 50 | Even | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Michigan GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 21–Sep 23 | 843 LV | Benson 47 · James 44 | D+3 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in AlaskaR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 17 | 799 LV | Peltola 46 · Sullivan 48 | R+2 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in AlaskaR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 17 | 799 LV | Peltola 46 · Sullivan 49 | R+3 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Alaska GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 17 | 799 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 43 · Bronson 17 | D+26 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Connecticut GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 16–Sep 17 | 979 LV | Lamont 48 · Fazio 41 | D+7 | coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in IowaR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 16 | 831 LV | Turek 42 · Hinson 46 | R+4 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in IowaR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 16 | 831 LV | Turek 43 · Hinson 48 | R+5 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Iowa GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 16 | 831 LV | Sand 46 · Lahn 42 | D+4 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MinnesotaR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 15 | 833 LV | Flanagan 43 · Tafoya 42 | D+1 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Minnesota GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 15 | 833 LV | Klobuchar 47 · Demuth 45 | D+2 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in New HampshireR-sponsored | Sep 9–Sep 11 | 958 LV | Pappas 46 · Sununu 46 | Even | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| New Hampshire GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 9–Sep 11 | 958 LV | Warmington 34 · Ayotte 55 | R+21 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in KansasR-sponsored | Sep 8–Sep 10 | 915 LV | Hamilton 44 · Marshall 49 | R+5 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Kansas GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 8–Sep 10 | 915 LV | Holscher 43 · Masterson 51 | R+8 | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Ohio's 7th DistrictR-sponsored | Aug 5–Aug 6 | 615 LV | Poindexter 47 · Miller 33 | D+14 | x.com ↗ |
| Ohio's 7th DistrictR-sponsored | Jul 29–Jul 30 | — LV | Poindexter 44 · Miller 39 | D+5 | notus.org ↗ |
| New York's 17th DistrictR-sponsored | Jul 20–Jul 22 | 1,292 LV | Conley 45 · Lawler 50 | R+5 | coefficient.org ↗ |
| New York Governor for Coalition to Protect Nassau TaxpayersR-sponsored | Jun 30–Jul 2 | 1,085 LV | Hochul 47 · Blakeman 41 | D+6 | nypost.com ↗ |
| North Carolina's 1st District for the National Republican Congressional CommitteeR-sponsored | Apr 25–Apr 29 | 842 LV | Davis 41 · Buckhout 41 | Even | nrcc.org ↗ |
| Texas's 34th District for the National Republican Congressional CommitteeR-sponsored | Apr 25–Apr 29 | 777 LV | Gonzalez 40 · Flores 41 | R+1 | nrcc.org ↗ |
| Washington's 3rd District for the NRCCR-sponsored | Apr 25–Apr 29 | 982 LV | Perez 34 · Braun 41 | R+7 | nrcc.org ↗ |
| Maine's 2nd District for the National Republican Congressional CommitteeR-sponsored | Apr 26–Apr 28 | 918 LV | Dunlap 40 · LePage 50 | R+10 | nrcc.org ↗ |
| New Mexico's 2nd District for the National Republican Congressional CommitteeR-sponsored | Apr 26–Apr 28 | 879 LV | Vasquez 43 · Cunningham 41 | D+2 | nrcc.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in New HampshireR-sponsored | Oct 9–Oct 13 | 1,034 LV | Pappas 45 · Sununu 42 | D+3 | coefficient.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in New HampshireR-sponsored | Sep 10–Sep 12 | 904 LV | Pappas 46 · Sununu 43 | D+3 | coefficient.org ↗ |
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12–Jun 16R-sponsored | 1,035 LV | 46 | 46 | Even | coefficient.org ↗ |
| May 7–May 9R-sponsored | 1,462 LV | 45 | 42 | D+3 | coefficient.org ↗ |
| Feb 15–Feb 17R-sponsored | 2,063 LV | 44 | 46 | R+2 | coefficient.org ↗ |