2026 forecast · Updated Oct 21, 2026
Polls
1,897 public polls of 2026 races, the generic ballot and Trump approval from 272 pollsters, newest first. Each links to its race, its pollster and its original release. All pollsters and their ratings →
Most active, last 30 days: University of New Hampshire 18 · YouGov 17 · New York Times/Siena College 16 · InsiderAdvantage 15 · Marist College 15 · ActiVote 14 · co/efficient 14 · Trafalgar Group 12 · All 272 pollsters →
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Forecast | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20 · 3 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | ActiVote★★ | Oct 8–20 | 400 LV | Cooper 57 · Whatley 43 | D+14 | D 98% | activote.net ↗ |
| GA Senate | ActiVote★★ | Oct 6–20 | 400 LV | Ossoff 54 · Collins 46 | D+8 | D 96% | activote.net ↗ |
| IL Senate | ActiVote★★ | Sep 26–Oct 20 | 400 LV | Stratton 58.5 · Tracy 41.5 | D+17 | D 99% | activote.net ↗ |
| Mon, Oct 19 · 1 poll | |||||||
| IA Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Oct 15–19 | 863 LV | Turek 45 · Hinson 48+1 version | R+3 | D 52% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Sun, Oct 18 · 6 polls | |||||||
| SC Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Oct 16–18 | 1,095 LV | Andrews 46 · Graham 49 | R+3 | R 73% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| MT Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Oct 15–18 | 667 LV | Bodnar 28 · Alme 44+2 versions | R+16 | R 98% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | Marist University★★ | Oct 15–18 | LV | El-Sayed 50 · Rogers 48+1 version | D+2 | D 78% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Marist University★★ | Oct 15–18 | LV | Brown 48 · Husted 44+1 version | D+4 | D 69% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| MA Senate | Suffolk University★★½ for The Boston Globe | Oct 14–18 | 500 LV | Markey 60 · Deaton 32 | D+28 | D >99% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | ActiVote★★ | Sep 26–Oct 18 | 400 LV | Brown 50 · Husted 50 | Even | D 69% | activote.net ↗ |
| Sat, Oct 17 · 1 poll | |||||||
| GA Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Oct 15–17 | 755 LV | Ossoff 52 · Collins 45+2 versions | D+7 | D 96% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Fri, Oct 16 · 4 polls | |||||||
| AL Senate | The Alabama Poll | Oct 15–16 | 600 LV | Wess 35 · Moore 56 | R+21 | R >99% | al.com ↗ |
| SD Senate | Public Opinon Strategies for Rounds' campaignR sponsor | Oct 12–16 | 500 LV | Bengs 37 · Rounds 54 | R+17 | R 96% | x.com ↗ |
| AK Senate | Data for Progress★★D sponsor | Oct 8–16 | 660 LV | Peltola 50 · Sullivan 50+1 version | Even | D 52% | dataforprogress.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | CBS News/YouGov★★ | Oct 8–16 | 1,492 LV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 49 | D+2 | D 71% | cbsnews.com ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 15 · 5 polls | |||||||
| AK Senate | Public Policy Polling★★D sponsor | Oct 14–15 | 578 RV | Peltola 48 · Sullivan 47 | D+1 | D 52% | x.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Oct 13–15 | 1,094 LV | Turek 44 · Hinson 46 | R+2 | D 52% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| MN Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Oct 13–15 | 1,079 LV | Flanagan 48 · Tafoya 45 | D+3 | D 87% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Univision/YouGov★★ | Oct 2–15 | 825 RV | Nixon 42 · Moody 51 | R+9 | R 84% | st1.uvnimg.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | ActiVote★★ | Sep 27–Oct 15 | 400 LV | Nixon 47 · Moody 53 | R+6 | R 84% | activote.net ↗ |
| Wed, Oct 14 · 7 polls | |||||||
| KS Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Oct 13–14 | 1,200 LV | Hamilton 47 · Marshall 48 | R+1 | R 56% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Oct 13–14 | 1,200 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 47 | D+2 | D 68% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★ | Oct 13–14 | 1,200 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 49 | R+1 | D 71% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Oct 12–14 | 798 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 44 | D+2 | D 78% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Oct 12–14 | 901 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 49 | R+2 | D 69% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | University of Houston | Oct 10–14 | 2,000 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 46 | D+2 | D 71% | uh.edu ↗ |
| TX Senate | ActiVote★★ | Sep 30–Oct 14 | 400 LV | Talarico 52 · Paxton 48 | D+4 | D 71% | activote.net ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 13 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AR Senate | Hendrix College★★ for Talk Business & Politics | Oct 8–13 | 709 LV | Shoffner 41 · Cotton 50 | R+9 | R 97% | talkbusiness.net ↗ |
| Mon, Oct 12 · 6 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | National Public AffairsR sponsor | Oct 8–12 | 600 LV | Pappas 50 · Sununu 45+1 version | D+5 | D 96% | backend.natpublicaffairs.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | NPA Polling | Oct 8–12 | 678 LV | Turek 44 · Hinson 47+1 version | R+3 | D 52% | backend.natpublicaffairs.com ↗ |
| MN Senate | KSTP/SurveyUSA★★½ | Oct 8–12 | 718 LV | Flanagan 45 · Tafoya 42 | D+3 | D 87% | kstp.com ↗ |
| MT Senate | Peak Insights for Alme's campaignR sponsor | Oct 7–12 | 500 LV | Bodnar 29 · Alme 44 | R+15 | R 98% | x.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | YouGov★★ | Oct 6–12 | 2,245 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 46 | D+1 | D 52% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| MA Senate | UMass Amherst/YouGov★½ for WCVB | Oct 5–12 | 800 RV | Markey 54 · Deaton 28+1 version | D+26 | D >99% | umass.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Oct 11 · 6 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Quantus Insights | Oct 9–11 | 854 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 47 | Even | D 71% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | Suffolk University★★½ | Oct 8–11 | 500 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 47 | D+2 | D 68% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| IA Senate | Marist University★★ | Oct 8–11 | LV | Turek 48 · Hinson 45+1 version | D+3 | D 52% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| TX Senate | Marist University★★ | Oct 8–11 | LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 45+1 version | D+2 | D 71% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| RI Senate | Emerson College/WPRI-TV★★½ | Oct 8–11 | 800 LV | Reed 59 · McKay 25 | D+34 | D >99% | wpri.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | SurveyUSA★★½ for WRAL-TV and WSOC-TV | Oct 7–11 | 643 LV | Cooper 54 · Whatley 40 | D+14 | D 98% | results.surveyusa.com ↗ |
| Sat, Oct 10 · 5 polls | |||||||
| AK Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Oct 9–10 | 1,200 LV | Peltola 50 · Sullivan 48+1 version | D+2 | D 52% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Oct 9–10 | 1,200 LV | Hamilton 48 · Marshall 47 | D+1 | R 56% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Oct 9–10 | 1,200 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 46 | D+2 | D 78% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Oct 8–10 | 1,091 LV | Cooper 49 · Whatley 41 | D+8 | D 98% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | MDW Communications for EDGE Communications | Oct 4–10 | 2,351 LV | Nixon 42 · Moody 48 | R+6 | R 84% | mdwcomm.com ↗ |
| Fri, Oct 9 · 4 polls | |||||||
| GA Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Oct 7–9 | 1,101 LV | Ossoff 51 · Collins 43 | D+8 | D 96% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Stetson University★½ | Oct 1–9 | 716 LV | Nixon 41 · Moody 52 | R+11 | R 84% | stetson.edu ↗ |
| NM Senate | Research & Polling Inc.★★½ for the Albuquerque Journal | Oct 1–9 | 1,125 LV | Luján 53 · Marker 37 | D+16 | D >99% | abqjournal.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Bowling Green State University/YouGov★½ | Sep 29–Oct 9 | 1,000 LV | Brown 48 · Husted 42 | D+6 | D 69% | scholarworks.bgsu.edu ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 8 · 9 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Oct 6–8 | 1,086 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 44 | D+3 | D 71% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | The Tyson Group★★ for Alliance for a Better FutureR sponsor | Oct 6–8 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 44 · Rogers 46 | R+2 | D 78% | betterfutureai.org ↗ |
| MT Senate | Concord Public Opinion Partners★★ for Bodnar's campaign | Oct 6–8 | 405 LV | Bodnar 37 · Alme 35 | D+2 | R 98% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| SD Senate | Concord Public Opinion Partners★★ for Democrats for Education ReformD sponsor | Oct 6–8 | 400 LV | Bengs 43 · Rounds 42 | D+1 | R 96% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | ReconMR/Siena University★★½ | Oct 5–8 | 617 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 44 | D+4 | D 71% | reconmr.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Oct 5–8 | 804 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 47 | D+2 | D 68% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| SC Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Oct 5–8 | 837 LV | Andrews 45 · Graham 49 | R+4 | R 73% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| RI Senate | Embold Research★★ for the Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy at Salve Regina University | Oct 5–8 | 815 LV | Reed 55 · McKay 32 | D+23 | D >99% | salve.edu ↗ |
| NC Senate | Elon University/YouGov★½ | Sep 29–Oct 8 | 561 LV | Cooper 52 · Whatley 39 | D+13 | D 98% | eloncdn.blob.core.windows.net ↗ |
| Wed, Oct 7 · 5 polls | |||||||
| FL Senate (special) | St. Pete Polls★★ for Florida Politics | Oct 5–7 | 836 LV | Nixon 45 · Moody 47 | R+2 | R 84% | stpetepolls.org ↗ |
| MN Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Oct 5–7 | 856 LV | Flanagan 48 · Tafoya 45 | D+3 | D 87% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| MN Senate | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy★★½ for KARE 11 & The Minnesota Star Tribune | Oct 5–7 | 800 LV | Flanagan 47 · Tafoya 43 | D+4 | D 87% | kare11.com ↗ |
| MN Senate | Morning Consult★½ for The Daily Agenda | Oct 2–7 | 1,000 RV | Flanagan 45 · Tafoya 41 | D+4 | D 87% | thedailyagenda.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | Change Research★★ for Carolina ForwardD sponsor | Oct 1–7 | 829 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 40 | D+10 | D 98% | carolinaforward.org ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 6 · 3 polls | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Oct 5–6 | 925 LV | Brown 43 · Husted 44+1 version | R+1 | D 69% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Oct 5–6 | 762 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 47+1 version | D+1 | D 78% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| IA Senate | Emerson College★★½ for Nexstar Media Group | Oct 5–6 | 650 LV | Turek 45 · Hinson 47 | R+2 | D 52% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| Mon, Oct 5 · 8 polls | |||||||
| NE Senate | National Public AffairsR sponsor | Oct 2–5 | 800 LV | Osborn 43 · Ricketts 46+1 version | R+3 | R 63% | backend.natpublicaffairs.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | The Washington Post/SSPG★★ | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 800 LV | Jackson 50 · Collins 46 | D+4 | D 68% | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | SSRS★½ for CNN | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 801 LV | Turek 43 · Hinson 45 | R+2 | D 52% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | SSRS★½ for CNN | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 760 LV | Brown 49 · Husted 43 | D+6 | D 69% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 3,813 LV | Nixon 44 · Moody 49 | R+5 | R 84% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| NH Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 1,520 LV | Pappas 51 · Sununu 43 | D+8 | D 96% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| TX Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 28–Oct 5 | 3,625 LV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 44 | D+6 | D 71% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| TX Senate | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Sep 25–Oct 5 | 861 LV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 47 | D+3 | D 71% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Oct 4 · 8 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Suffolk University★★½ | Oct 1–4 | 500 LV | Turek 48 · Hinson 44 | D+4 | D 52% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| ME Senate | Marist University★★ | Oct 1–4 | 1,505 RV | Jackson 51 · Collins 47 | D+4 | D 68% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| MN Senate | GQR★½D sponsor | Oct 1–4 | 800 LV | Flanagan 50 · Tafoya 42+1 version | D+8 | D 87% | x.com ↗ |
| AR Senate | GrayHouseR sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 550 LV | Shoffner 39 · Cotton 50 | R+11 | R 97% | x.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | GBAO★½ for Hamilton's campaignD sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 4 | 600 LV | Hamilton 46 · Marshall 41+1 version | D+5 | R 56% | static.politico.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Targoz Market Research★ for the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank | Sep 28–Oct 4 | 847 LV | Nixon 42 · Moody 52+1 version | R+10 | R 84% | jamesmadison.org ↗ |
| KS Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 24–Oct 4 | 2,255 LV | Hamilton 48 · Marshall 45 | D+3 | R 56% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| MI Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 22–Oct 4 | 3,949 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 48 | D+1 | D 78% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| Sat, Oct 3 · 3 polls | |||||||
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Oct 1–3 | 1,512 LV | Peltola 51 · Sullivan 49+1 version | D+2 | D 52% | x.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | East Carolina University★★ | Sep 30–Oct 3 | 810 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 43+1 version | D+7 | D 98% | surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com ↗ |
| NE Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 24–Oct 3 | 1,809 LV | Osborn 48 · Ricketts 47 | D+1 | R 63% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 1 · 10 polls | |||||||
| MI Senate | Mitchell Research & Communications★★ | Oct 1 | 682 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 41 | D+5 | D 78% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| IL Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Chicago News WeeklyD sponsor | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 569 LV | Stratton 49 · Tracy 36 | D+13 | D 99% | cnwmedia.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 1 | 1,095 LV | Hamilton 44 · Marshall 44 | Even | R 56% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| ME Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 29–Oct 1 | 1,091 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 46 | Even | D 68% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising, which supports DemocratsD sponsor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 483 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 42 | D+7 | D 78% | x.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Mason-Dixon★★½ | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 625 LV | Nixon 40 · Moody 50 | R+10 | R 84% | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| AK Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Peltola 50 · Sullivan 43 | D+7 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | CBS News/YouGov★★ | Sep 23–Oct 1 | 1,136 LV | Jackson 50 · Collins 50 | Even | D 68% | cbsnews.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 606 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 48 | R+1 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 616 LV | Brown 49 · Husted 46 | D+3 | D 69% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 30 · 5 polls | |||||||
| MN Senate | Big Data Poll★½R sponsor | Sep 29–30 | 622 LV | Flanagan 40 · Tafoya 38+1 version | D+2 | D 87% | bigdatapoll.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 1,240 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 48 | R+2 | D 68% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| NE Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 1,113 LV | Osborn 43 · Ricketts 48+1 version | R+5 | R 63% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 1,085 LV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 45 | D+2 | D 78% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| IA Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 1,048 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 43 | D+4 | D 52% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
Margin: the poll's lead (D − R; approve − disapprove for approval). Forecast: the race's chance in today's forecast, which averages polls after adjusting for each pollster's house effect and track record. Stars: our pollster rating, three is best. Sponsor: polls paid for by a party or campaign are released selectively, and the forecast adjusts for that.