Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Change Research
30 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 12 races. Latest: Oct 10, 2026.
- Polls
- 3030 in 12 races
- 538 rating
- ★½1.4 of 3 stars
- House effect
- D+1.9Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 1.9 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Governor for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | Oct 8–Oct 10 | 920 LV | Jolly 47 · Donalds 47 | Even | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina for Carolina ForwardD-sponsored | Oct 1–Oct 7 | 829 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 40 | D+10 | carolinaforward.org ↗ |
| Kentucky's 6th District for Kentuckians Not Corruption, which supports DemboD-sponsored | Sep 29–Oct 5 | 524 LV | Dembo 47 · Alvarado 38 | D+9 | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Florida (special) for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | Sep 25–Sep 27 | 1,063 LV | Nixon 47 · Moody 48 | R+1 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida Governor for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | Sep 25–Sep 27 | 1,063 LV | Jolly 48 · Donalds 46 | D+2 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Texas's 10th District for Rourk's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 18–Sep 22 | 613 LV | Rourk 41 · Gober 48 | R+7 | cdn.sanity.io ↗ |
| Iowa Secretary of State for Peterman's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 11–Sep 14 | 704 LV | Peterman 40 · Pate 42 | R+2 | docs.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Florida (special) for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | Sep 7–Sep 9 | 1,107 LV | Nixon 47 · Moody 47 | Even | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida Governor for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | Sep 7–Sep 9 | 1,107 LV | Jolly 47 · Donalds 44 | D+3 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida Attorney General for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | Sep 7–Sep 9 | 1,107 LV | Rodríguez 46 · Uthmeier 46 | Even | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina for Carolina ForwardD-sponsored | Aug 3–Aug 6 | 915 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 43 | D+7 | carolinaforward.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North CarolinaD-sponsored | Jul 29–Aug 1 | 967 V | Cooper 50 · Whatley 41 | D+9 | garypearcenc.substack.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Idaho for John Stegner, Independent candidate for governorD-sponsored | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 1,213 LV | Achilles 21 · Risch 45 | R+24 | docs.google.com ↗ |
| Idaho Governor for John Stegner's campaign | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 1,213 LV | Pickens 27 · Little 48 | R+21 | docs.google.com ↗ |
| Idaho Governor for John Stegner's campaign | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 1,213 LV | Pickens 33 · Little 54 | R+21 | docs.google.com ↗ |
| Idaho Governor for John Stegner's campaign | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 1,213 LV | Pickens — · Little 47 | — | docs.google.com ↗ |
| Idaho Attorney General for John Stegner, an independent running for governor | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 1,213 LV | Hickman 31 · Labrador 49 | R+18 | docs.google.com ↗ |
| Idaho's 1st District for Poll conducted behalf of John Stegner's campaign, who is an independent running for GovernorD-sponsored | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 606 LV | Peterson 27 · Fulcher 48 | R+21 | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| Idaho's 1st District for Poll conducted behalf of John Stegner's campaign, who is an independent running for GovernorD-sponsored | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 606 LV | Peterson — · Fulcher 46 | — | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| Florida GovernorD-sponsored | Jul 9–Jul 11 | 1,348 RV | Jolly 37 · Donalds 37 | Even | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida GovernorD-sponsored | Jul 9–Jul 11 | 1,348 RV | Jolly 41 · Donalds 40 | D+1 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida Governor for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | May 13–May 16 | 1,593 LV | Jolly 46 · Donalds 42 | D+4 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida Governor for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | May 13–May 16 | 2,070 RV | Jolly 41 · Donalds 43 | R+2 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida Attorney General for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | May 13–May 16 | 1,593 LV | Rodríguez 45 · Uthmeier 41 | D+4 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Florida Attorney General for Freedom Project USAD-sponsored | May 13–May 16 | 2,070 RV | Rodríguez 40 · Uthmeier 41 | R+1 | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina for Carolina ForwardD-sponsored | May 4–May 8 | 957 LV | Cooper 49 · Whatley 42 | D+7 | carolinaforward.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North CarolinaD-sponsored | Jan 31–Feb 4 | 1,069 RV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 40 | D+10 | docs.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in IowaD-sponsored | Jan 8–Jan 11 | 1,108 LV | Turek 41 · Hinson 44 | R+3 | x.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina for Carolina ForwardD-sponsored | Jan 5–Jan 7 | 1,105 LV | Cooper 47 · Whatley 42 | D+5 | carolinaforward.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina for Carolina ForwardD-sponsored | Sep 2–Sep 8 | 855 LV | Cooper 48 · Whatley 41 | D+7 | carolinaforward.org ↗ |