Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Reuters/Ipsos
40 public polls in the 2026 cycle of the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Oct 5, 2026.
- Polls
- 400 in 0 races · 40 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+0.8Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 0.8 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30–Oct 5 | 3,526 RV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 30–Oct 5 | 4,506 A | 37 | 30 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 17–Sep 20 | 979 RV | 43 | 35 | D+8 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 17–Sep 20 | 1,277 A | 37 | 29 | D+8 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 11–Sep 14 | 896 RV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 11–Sep 14 | 1,143 A | 39 | 31 | D+8 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Aug 28–Aug 31 | 924 RV | 43 | 38 | D+5 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Aug 28–Aug 31 | 1,167 A | 38 | 31 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Aug 14–Aug 17 | 876 RV | 41 | 36 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 14–Aug 17 | 1,166 A | 35 | 30 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 29–Aug 3 | 3,542 RV | 42 | 37 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 29–Aug 3 | 4,505 A | 36 | 30 | D+6 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 24–Jul 26 | 1,003 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 24–Jul 26 | 1,246 A | 36 | 32 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jun 18–Jun 22 | 978 RV | 41 | 36 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jun 18–Jun 22 | 1,262 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jun 3–Jun 8 | 3,578 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jun 3–Jun 8 | 4,531 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| May 15–May 18 | 984 RV | 39 | 38 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| May 15–May 18 | 1,271 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| May 8–May 11 | 993 RV | 41 | 35 | D+6 | reuters.com ↗ |
| May 8–May 11 | 1,254 A | 36 | 31 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 24–Apr 27 | 1,014 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 24–Apr 27 | 1,269 A | 36 | 31 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 15–Apr 20 | 3,577 RV | 41 | 38 | D+3 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Apr 15–Apr 20 | 4,557 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Mar 20–Mar 22 | 985 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Mar 20–Mar 22 | 1,272 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Mar 17–Mar 19 | 1,206 RV | 40 | 37 | D+3 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Mar 17–Mar 19 | 1,545 A | 35 | 32 | D+3 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Feb 18–Feb 23 | 3,686 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Feb 18–Feb 23 | 4,638 A | 35 | 32 | D+3 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Feb 13–Feb 16 | 846 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Feb 13–Feb 16 | 1,117 A | 36 | 32 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jan 23–Jan 25 | 906 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jan 12–Jan 13 | 941 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Dec 12–Dec 15 | 775 RV | 40 | 36 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Dec 3–Dec 8 | 3,521 RV | 40 | 39 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Nov 7–Nov 12 | 938 RV | 41 | 40 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 22–Aug 24 | 1,022 A | 38 | 34 | D+4 | ipsos.com ↗ |