99chambers

Pollsters · Updated Oct 20, 2026

New York Times/Siena College

34 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 17 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Oct 1, 2026.

Also listed as New York Times/Siena University, The New York Times/Siena University.

Polls
3429 in 17 races · 5 generic ballot
Rating
★★2.2 of 3 stars
House effect, 2026
R+0.2Against other polls, in today's forecast
House effect, past elections
D+0.3Against other polls of the same races

Based on 108 polls of 102 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2016 to 2024: they missed the final margin by 4.3 points on average, 0.5 points less than other polls of the same races.

Its polls run 0.2 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.

In past elections its polls ran 0.3 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.

Race polls

Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.

RaceDatesSampleResultMarginSource
U.S. Senate in AlaskaSep 24–Oct 1504 LVPeltola 50 · Sullivan 43D+7nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in IowaSep 22–Oct 1606 LVTurek 47 · Hinson 48R+1nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in Ohio (special)Sep 22–Oct 1616 LVBrown 49 · Husted 46D+3nytimes.com ↗
Alaska GovernorSep 24–Oct 1504 LVKreiss-Tomkins 46 · Bronson 17D+29nytimes.com ↗
Alaska GovernorSep 24–Oct 1504 LVKreiss-Tomkins 52 · Bronson 48D+4nytimes.com ↗
Alaska GovernorSep 24–Oct 1504 LVKreiss-Tomkins 40 · Bronson 14D+26nytimes.com ↗
Iowa GovernorSep 22–Oct 1606 LVSand 52 · Lahn 41D+11nytimes.com ↗
Ohio GovernorSep 22–Oct 1616 LVActon 49 · Ramaswamy 45D+4nytimes.com ↗
Texas GovernorSep 22–Oct 1615 LVHinojosa 49 · Abbott 46D+3nytimes.com ↗
Alaska's at-large DistrictSep 24–Oct 1504 LVHill 37 · III 49R+12nytimes.com ↗
Alaska's at-large DistrictSep 24–Oct 1504 LVHill 47 · III 53R+6nytimes.com ↗
Alaska's at-large DistrictSep 24–Oct 1504 LVHill 35 · III 47R+12nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in KansasSep 22–Sep 30605 LVHamilton 45 · Marshall 45Evennytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in KansasSep 22–Sep 30605 LVHamilton 46 · Marshall 47R+1nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in TexasSep 21–Sep 30615 LVTalarico 51 · Paxton 45D+6nytimes.com ↗
Kansas GovernorSep 22–Sep 30605 LVHolscher 44 · Masterson 49R+5nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in MaineSep 15–Sep 22619 LVJackson 46 · Collins 49R+3nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in MichiganSep 15–Sep 22605 LVEl-Sayed 49 · Rogers 44D+5nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in New HampshireSep 15–Sep 22613 LVPappas 50 · Sununu 45D+5nytimes.com ↗
Michigan GovernorSep 15–Sep 22605 LVBenson 48 · James 43D+5nytimes.com ↗
New Hampshire GovernorSep 15–Sep 22613 LVWarmington 41 · Ayotte 52R+11nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in AlaskaJun 15–Jun 29593 LVPeltola 45 · Sullivan 47R+2nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in Ohio (special)Jun 15–Jun 28601 LVBrown 47 · Husted 50R+3nytimes.com ↗
Ohio GovernorJun 15–Jun 28601 LVActon 47 · Ramaswamy 47Evennytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in IowaJun 15–Jun 27600 LVTurek 46 · Hinson 48R+2nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in North CarolinaJun 15–Jun 27601 LVCooper 50 · Whatley 43D+7nytimes.com ↗
U.S. Senate in TexasJun 19–Jun 27656 LVTalarico 47 · Paxton 47Evennytimes.com ↗
Iowa GovernorJun 15–Jun 27600 LVSand 48 · Lahn 47D+1nytimes.com ↗
Texas GovernorJun 19–Jun 27656 LVHinojosa 44 · Abbott 51R+7nytimes.com ↗

Generic congressional ballot

Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.

DatesSampleDem.Rep.MarginSource
Sep 8–Sep 131,503 LV5143D+8nytimes.com ↗
May 11–May 151,507 RV5039D+11nytimes.com ↗
Jan 12–Jan 171,625 RV4843D+5nytimes.com ↗
Sep 22–Sep 271,313 RV4745D+2nytimes.com ↗
Apr 21–Apr 24913 RV4744D+3nytimes.com ↗