Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Mason-Dixon
4 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Oct 1, 2026.
- Polls
- 44 in 4 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+1.2Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 1.2 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Florida (special) | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 625 LV | Nixon 40 · Moody 50 | R+10 | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| Florida Governor | Sep 28–Oct 1 | 625 LV | Jolly 41 · Donalds 48 | R+7 | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Telemundo Texas | Sep 8–Sep 10 | 625 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 43 | D+3 | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Sep 8–Sep 10 | 625 LV | Hinojosa 41 · Abbott 48 | R+7 | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |