Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Manhattan Institute
2 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 1 race and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Oct 1, 2026.
- Polls
- 21 in 1 race · 1 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+1.1Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 1.1 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 1,000 LV | Becerra 57 · Hilton 39 | D+18 | manhattan.institute ↗ |
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1–Jul 6 | 1,121 LV | 47 | 43 | D+4 | manhattan.institute ↗ |