Two senators per district
Each of the 17 Senate districts has two senators serving staggered four-year terms, so one seat per district is on the ballot each election.
West Virginia › West Virginia State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
West Virginia State Senate District 8
Wheeler is very likely to win: Wheeler wins in 49 of every 50 simulations.
Hundley (D)
3%
chance of winning
Wheeler (R)
97%
- Average margin
- R+14.2
- 80% of outcomes
- R+24 to R+5
- Partisan lean
- R+27
- Polls
- 1in our database
Wheeler is very likely to win: Wheeler wins in 19 of every 20 simulations.
Hundley (D)
5%
chance of winning
Wheeler (R)
96%
- Average margin
- R+15.5
- 80% of outcomes
- R+27 to R+4
- Partisan lean
- R+27
- Polls
- 1in our database
How this race is decided
Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override most vetoes; budget and spending bills need two-thirds.
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Kim Hundley
Republican
Lance V. Wheeler
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- West Virginia state offices
- +0.5Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races, without this race · details
- Environment here
- D+10.0Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Upper South adjustment
- +5.2How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 0 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.87 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -30 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
All 1 polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Hundley | Wheeler | Margin | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State Navigate | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 1,002 LV | 40 | 46 | R+6 | R+9.7 |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect, registered vs. likely voters, and movement in the national environment since the poll; shown for the polls carrying the most weight in today's average. Larger dots in the chart carry the most weight. Last poll: Oct 1, 2026.
The district
Lean R+27: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 95,471
- People per km²
- 28
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 22%
- White, no degree
- 70%of adults
- White 87%
- Hispanic 1%
- Black 5%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 6%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
30,980 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Glenn D Jeffries (R)100.0%
2024 President Vote in this district
40,160 two-party votes · R+28.0 · R+26.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)64.0%
Kamala Harris (D)36.0%
2022
25,751 votes · R+13.5✓ Mark Hunt (R)56.8%
Richard Lindsay (D)43.2%
2020 Earlier district lines
41,946 votes · D+11.5✓ Glenn D Jeffries (D)55.8%
Kathie Hess Crouse (R)44.2%
2020 President Vote in this district
43,808 two-party votes · R+24.0 · R+28.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)62.0%
Joe Biden (D)38.0%
2016 President Vote in this district
38,831 two-party votes · R+26.4 · R+28.6 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)63.2%
Hillary Clinton (D)36.8%
Also on the ballot in West Virginia
Neighboring districts
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