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What's the difference?

Maine · 2026 forecast · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Who will control the Maine House of Representatives?

All 151 seats are on the ballot. 76 seats make a majority. 101 make the two-thirds supermajority that can override a veto.

Democrats are clearly favored to control the Maine House of Representatives (93%).

Democrats
93%
chance of control
Republicans
7%
Avg. D seats
85.380% range 77–95
Avg. R seats
65.780% range 56–74
Now
75 D · 73 R · 5 other151 up this year

Chance Democrats win a two-thirds supermajority (101+ seats): 2%

75 D nowMarks: two-thirds supermajority for each party73 R now

Democrats are clearly favored to control the Maine House of Representatives (92%).

Democrats
92%
chance of control
Republicans
8%
Avg. D seats
86.180% range 76–96
Avg. R seats
64.980% range 55–75
Now
75 D · 73 R · 5 other151 up this year

Chance Democrats win a two-thirds supermajority (101+ seats): 4%

75 D nowMarks: two-thirds supermajority for each party73 R now

76 for control
76 for control
  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R

Race ratings

All 151 races, grouped by the leader's chance of winning.

6 seats projected to flip: 5 R→D, 1 Ind.→D. 5 more are toss-ups that could change parties (flip risk).

7 seats projected to flip: 6 R→D, 1 Ind.→D. 11 more are toss-ups that could change parties (flip risk).

Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans, ■ another party). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Faded: no major-party opponent.

The map

Each district colored by the leader's chance of winning. Hover for details; click for the race.

Maine

Portland

  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • Projected flip (stripes: party holding it now)

Seats to watch

The closest races (Lean or Toss-up, Horizon), and the seats most likely to change parties.

How the odds have moved

Chance of winning control, by forecast date.

0%25%50%75%100%AugSepOctNovNov 3Democrats 93%Republicans 7%

Updated nightly. Each day is the current model run on the polls that had ended by then (how).

0%25%50%75%100%AugSepOctNovNov 3Democrats 92%Republicans 8%

Updated nightly. Each day is the current model run on the polls that had ended by then (how).

Every outcome we simulated

Democratic seats across 40,000 simulations. Darker bars: the middle 80%.

76 for D control →D two-thirds →708090100
76 for D control →D two-thirds →708090100110

Every race

151 races, 37 without a contest between the major parties.

151 races
DistrictCandidatesChance of winning (D · R)Avg. marginRatingLeanPolls
HD-1
● Dana M Appleby● Austin Theriault
2%98%
8%92%
R+16.9R+14.4Solid RLikely RR+19—
HD-2
● Roland Daniel Martin● Roger C AlbertINC
34%66%
36%64%
R+3.0R+3.3Lean RLean RR+8—
HD-3
● David H McCrea● Susan Bernard
6%94%
4%96%
R+12.7R+19.0Likely RSolid RR+23—
HD-4
● No Democrat● Timothy Conrad GuerretteINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+22—
HD-5
● Bruce Archer● Douglas C Carlisle Jr.
26%74%
27%73%
R+4.6R+5.7Lean RLean RR+10—
HD-6
● Melanie Tompkins● Donald James ArdellINC
<1%>99%
<1%>99%
R+33.1R+37.9Solid RSolid RR+42—
HD-7
● Matthew J Rush● Jantzen Stephen Craine
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+28.5R+30.3Solid RSolid RR+35—
HD-8
● No Democrat● Tracy Lynn QuintINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+52—
HD-9
● Nicole N Richards● Arthur K MingoINC
10%90%
25%75%
R+9.5R+6.3Likely RLean RR+9—
HD-10
● Genevieve M Lemire● William R TuellINC
<1%>99%
2%98%
R+25.5R+23.1Solid RSolid RR+26—
HD-11
● Keith A Newman● Tiffany StroutINC
<1%>99%
2%98%
R+24.6R+23.3Solid RSolid RR+26—
HD-12
● No Democrat● Thomas Arthur Hart Jr.
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+11—
HD-13Flip risk
● Michael Hobart Cunningham II● Russell P WhiteINC
33%67%
45%55%
R+3.2R+1.2Lean RToss-upR+3—
HD-14
● Gary R FriedmannINC● Jean M Donovan
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+42.3D+42.8Solid DSolid DD+42—
HD-15
● Holly R EatonINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+23—
HD-16
● Nina Azella MillikenINC● Eric M White
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+33.0D+26.7Solid DSolid DD+26—
HD-17Flip riskFlip risk
● Ronald B Russell● Steven Matthew BishopINC
58%42%
57%43%
D+1.4D+1.6Toss-upToss-upEven—
HD-18
● Jonathan C Goble● Mathew David McIntyreINC
<1%>99%
2%98%
R+27.5R+23.9Solid RSolid RR+27—
HD-19
● David Ulrich● Richard H Campbell
2%98%
7%93%
R+18.2R+14.7Solid RLikely RR+17—
HD-20Flip risk
● Dani O'HalloranINC● Patrick A Jude
84%16%
55%45%
D+7.5D+1.3Likely DToss-upR+1—
HD-21
● Ambureen RanaINC● Frank Joseph Casella
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+24.9D+23.3Solid DSolid DD+21—
HD-22
● Laura D SupicaINC● Colleen T O'Neal
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+23.9D+23.5Solid DSolid DD+21—
HD-23
● Victoria P Kornfield● Brian A Ames
99%1%
98%2%
D+21.3D+22.6Solid DSolid DD+21—
HD-24
● Sean F FairclothINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+32—
HD-25
● Laurie OsherINC● Anthony M Weaver
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+44.2D+48.3Solid DSolid DD+44—
HD-26
● James F DillINC● Edward L Paradis
97%3%
89%11%
D+14.6D+11.5Solid DLikely DD+9—
HD-27
● Devan C Arnold● David Giles
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+27.9R+29.4Solid RSolid RR+34—
HD-28
● Gordon P Street● Irene A GiffordINC
<1%>99%
<1%>99%
R+32.5R+34.0Solid RSolid RR+38—
HD-29
● Nancy Marie McDowell● Nancy J TheriaultINC
1%99%
2%98%
R+21.7R+24.1Solid RSolid RR+28—
HD-30
● John J Contreni Jr.● James L WhiteINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+27.2R+27.6Solid RSolid RR+31—
HD-31
● Eric J Boothroyd● Andrew R Torbett
1%99%
1%99%
R+21.3R+25.0Solid RSolid RR+28—
HD-32
● No Democrat● Shawn L Lancaster
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+39—
HD-33
● Michael A Brayson● Kenneth Wade FredetteINC
<1%>99%
<1%>99%
R+33.8R+33.4Solid RSolid RR+37—
HD-34
● James P McClymer● Stacey K Guerin
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+29.0R+26.3Solid RSolid RR+30—
HD-35
● Debora S Farnham● James E ThorneINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+27.9R+25.3Solid RSolid RR+28—
HD-36Flip risk
● Clifton Guy Foster III● Kimberly M HagganINC
21%79%
48%52%
R+6.4R+0.5Lean RToss-upR+2—
HD-37
● Alan Lee Orcutt● Reagan L PaulINC
22%78%
34%66%
R+5.6R+3.9Lean RLean RR+6—
HD-38
● Kayla M.T. Miller● Benjamin C HymesINC
12%88%
18%82%
R+8.6R+8.8Likely RLikely RR+12—
HD-39
● Madison Crissey Cook● Michael J Nicholson
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+32.5D+32.9Solid DSolid DD+32—
HD-40
● D. Michael Ray● Joseph M McLaughlin
96%4%
90%10%
D+13.6D+12.7Solid DLikely DD+11—
HD-41
● Joshua D Gerritsen● Cory Christopher Raymond
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+48.3D+52.4Solid DSolid DD+51—
HD-42
● Valli D GeigerINC● Melissa Joy Byer
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+31.3D+30.7Solid DSolid DD+29—
HD-43
● Rhiannon Corey Hampson● Christopher Paul Austin
97%3%
93%7%
D+15.0D+14.7Solid DLikely DD+13—
HD-44
● No Democrat● Ray A Thombs Jr.
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+5—
HD-45
● No Democrat● Rebecca M Stephens
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+5—
HD-46
● Jennifer F Mayher● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+28—
HD-47Flip risk
● Wayne K FarrinINC● Chester B Grover III
77%23%
49%51%
D+5.5R+0.3Lean DToss-upR+2—
HD-48
● Charlotte Nutt● Erik D Hobson
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+22.7D+21.9Solid DSolid DD+20—
HD-49
● Trent E Vellella● Suzanne R Andresen
97%3%
89%11%
D+13.9D+11.9Solid DLikely DD+10—
HD-50
● David A SinclairINC● Jedediah James Rice II
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+38.5D+38.8Solid DSolid DD+38—
HD-51
● Rafael MaciasINC● Annalyse O Sarvinas
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+28.4D+28.5Solid DSolid DD+27—
HD-52Flip risk
● Sally Jeane ClucheyINC● David W Guilmette
64%36%
44%56%
D+2.6R+1.4Lean DToss-upR+3—
HD-53
● Richard Marc Goldman● Michael H LemelinINC
5%95%
8%92%
R+12.3R+13.4Solid RLikely RR+17—
HD-54
● Karen L MontellINC● Michelle M Tucker
99%1%
92%8%
D+17.1D+13.7Solid DLikely DD+11—
HD-55
● Maureen Aucoin● Charles L Hippler IV
93%7%
84%16%
D+10.8D+9.4Likely DLikely DD+8—
HD-56
● Robin L Upton-Sukeforth● Randall Adam GreenwoodINC
1%99%
3%97%
R+22.3R+18.8Solid RSolid RR+22—
HD-57
● Tavis Rock HasenfusINC● David R Potvin
95%5%
77%23%
D+13.2D+6.9Solid DLean DD+5—
HD-58
● No Democrat● Dexter E. Bridges Jr.
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+8—
HD-59
● Katrina Couch Ray-Saulis● John Reny
95%5%
92%8%
D+11.9D+13.9Likely DLikely DD+10—
HD-60
● William R Bridgeo● Wyatt Albert Beaulieu
98%2%
92%8%
D+16.3D+13.8Solid DLikely DD+11—
HD-61
● Robin G Crawley● Alicia Carol CollinsINC
3%97%
7%93%
R+14.4R+14.4Solid RLikely RR+18—
HD-62
● Pamela Jo Swift● Katrina J SmithINC
1%99%
3%97%
R+18.2R+18.8Solid RSolid RR+22—
HD-63
● Taylor Marie West● Paul R FlynnINC
10%90%
19%81%
R+9.4R+8.2Likely RLikely RR+12—
HD-64
● Flavia M DebritoINC● Shawn M Packard
>99%<1%
>99%1%
D+30.7D+29.7Solid DSolid DD+27—
HD-65
● Cassie Lynn JuliaINC● Scott Walter Strom
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+28.9D+31.3Solid DSolid DD+28—
HD-66
● No Democrat● Michael D Perkins
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+11—
HD-67
● Matthew C Townsend● Shawn M Dixon
8%92%
5%95%
R+10.9R+16.3Likely RLikely RR+20—
HD-68
● No Democrat● Amanda Noelle CollamoreINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+27—
HD-69
● Jessica B Blanchard● Dean A CrayINC
<1%>99%
<1%>99%
R+33.8R+36.1Solid RSolid RR+40—
HD-70
● Joseph R Almand● Jennifer Lynn PoirierINC
7%93%
16%84%
R+11.2R+9.5Likely RLikely RR+12—
HD-71
● Allison Mary Perkins● John E Ducharme IIIINC
1%99%
2%98%
R+20.8R+22.4Solid RSolid RR+25—
HD-72
● Cynthia J Soma-Hernandez● Douglas Andrew Thomas
<1%>99%
<1%>99%
R+33.7R+31.8Solid RSolid RR+36—
HD-73
● Daniel J Simonds● Michael SoboleskiINC
3%97%
13%87%
R+17.1R+11.2Solid RLikely RR+14—
HD-74
● Marc Edwards● Russell J Black
2%98%
8%92%
R+17.2R+14.2Solid RLikely RR+17—
HD-75
● H. Scott Landry● Randall D Gauvin
85%15%
84%16%
D+7.4D+9.5Likely DLikely DD+8—
HD-76
● Trevor Alex Doiron● Sheila Ann LymanINC
4%96%
10%90%
R+13.9R+12.3Solid RLikely RR+16—
HD-77
● Arlie E Hetrick Jr.● Tammy L Schmersal-BurgessINC
<1%>99%
1%99%
R+27.2R+23.6Solid RSolid RR+27—
HD-78Flip risk
● Woodleigh H Hughes● Rachel A HendersonINC
26%74%
42%58%
R+4.7R+1.8Lean RToss-upR+5—
HD-79
● Brianna Fern Lueck● Michael J LanceINC
1%99%
6%94%
R+19.5R+15.2Solid RLikely RR+18—
HD-80
● No Democrat● Ernest M Fitts IV
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+24—
HD-81Flip riskFlip risk
● Christopher A Easton● Peter C WoodINC
52%48%
58%42%
D+0.5D+1.8Toss-upToss-upR+1—
HD-82Flip risk
● Christopher Alfred Lewey● Caleb J Ness
31%69%
46%54%
R+3.8R+0.8Lean RToss-upR+3—
HD-83Flip riskD flip
● Timothy J Becker● Marygrace Caroline CiminoINC
60%40%
61%39%
D+1.8D+2.6Toss-upLean DEven—
HD-84
● Cassandra Anne Dove● Mark WalkerINC
2%98%
7%93%
R+15.5R+14.6Solid RLikely RR+18—
HD-85
● Paul Harris Welch● Adrienne Paul
20%80%
36%64%
R+6.1R+3.4Lean RLean RR+6—
HD-86Flip riskFlip risk
● Abigail N Geer● Rolf A Olsen Jr.INC
51%49%
53%47%
D+0.2D+0.8Toss-upToss-upR+2—
HD-87
● No Democrat● David Wayne Boyer Jr.INCAlso: John Baldwin (G)
No Democrat on the ballotNo Democrat on the ballot—Solid R (no Democrat)Solid R (no Democrat)R+16—
HD-88D flipD flip
● Dana N Staples● Quentin James ChapmanINC
75%25%
83%17%
D+5.0D+9.1Lean DLikely DD+6—
HD-89
● Adam R LeeINC● James D Berube
98%2%
90%10%
D+16.7D+12.9Solid DLikely DD+8—
HD-90D flipD flip
● Pamela B Hart● James W Sorcek
76%24%
67%33%
D+5.1D+3.9Lean DLean DD+1—
HD-91
● Emily J Dingman● Jeffrey L Timberlake
1%99%
7%93%
R+20.5R+14.8Solid RLikely RR+19—
HD-92
● No Democrat● Stephen J WoodINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+29—
HD-93
● Julia McCabeINC● Chad E Syphers
99%1%
96%4%
D+25.4D+18.1Solid DSolid DD+13—
HD-94
● Scott A HarrimanINC● Janet Inger Beaudoin
97%3%
93%7%
D+14.3D+14.4Solid DLikely DD+9—
HD-95
● Kiernan Innes Majerus-Collins● Bret M Martel
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+24.3D+22.9Solid DSolid DD+18—
HD-96
● Luke Dylan Jensen● Kerryl Lee Clement
86%14%
85%15%
D+7.7D+9.8Likely DLikely DD+6—
HD-97
● Thomas R Watson● Dale John Crafts
7%93%
21%79%
R+11.5R+7.6Likely RLean RR+12—
HD-98
● Kilton McCarthy WebbINC● William J St. Michel
96%4%
87%13%
D+13.6D+10.8Solid DLikely DD+8—
HD-99
● Cheryl A GolekINC● Braeden D Webber
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+34.6D+35.6Solid DSolid DD+35—
HD-100
● Daniel Joseph AnkelesINC● Brett Y Barrett
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+48.5D+49.0Solid DSolid DD+46—
HD-101
● Poppy T ArfordINC● Ravi Jackson
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+46.7D+48.1Solid DSolid DD+46—
HD-102
● Maura H Pillsbury● Henry Lloyd Lawrence III
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+41.8D+44.9Solid DSolid DD+44—
HD-103
● Karin Orenstein● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+55—
HD-104
● No Democrat● R. Melissa Winslow
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+2—
HD-105
● Anne Palmer GrahamINC● Susan E Fuller
99%1%
96%4%
D+20.2D+17.6Solid DSolid DD+16—
HD-106D flipD flip
● Bradley M Youngs● Barbara BagshawINC
66%34%
78%22%
D+3.1D+6.9Lean DLean DD+4—
HD-107D flipD flip
● Joseph A Campbell● Mark C CooperINC
78%22%
77%23%
D+5.5D+6.9Lean DLean DD+4—
HD-108
● Parnell W TerryINC● Kelly L Dearborn
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+21.8D+22.0Solid DSolid DD+20—
HD-109
● Seven R Siegel● Diana Kushnar
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+21.7D+23.4Solid DSolid DD+21—
HD-110
● Christina R.C. MitchellINC● Jason Lewis Copp
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+43.3D+47.3Solid DSolid DD+43—
HD-111
● Amy D KuhnINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+42—
HD-112D flipD flip
● Sean M Mahoney● Lauren Chelsea Jones
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+48.9D+55.4Solid DSolid DD+52—
HD-113
● Grayson Benjamin LooknerINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+65—
HD-114
● April D Fournier● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+60—
HD-115
● Andrew J Zarro● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+66—
HD-116
● Samuel Lewis ZagerINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+66—
HD-117
● Matthew MoonenINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+80—
HD-118
● Yusuf M YusufINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+79—
HD-119
● Michael P Dixon● Jacob Murray Wakem
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+66.6D+74.6Solid DSolid DD+70—
HD-120
● Jason J Shedlock● Michael J Dougherty
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+52.9D+56.2Solid DSolid DD+52—
HD-121
● Robert Cameron● Meagan J Smith
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+51.2D+53.9Solid DSolid DD+51—
HD-122
● Matthew D BeckINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+55—
HD-123
● Michelle N BoyerINC● Annie Christy
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+56.0D+62.1Solid DSolid DD+58—
HD-124
● Eric James Nathanson● Scott W Doherty
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+32.7D+35.0Solid DSolid DD+31—
HD-125
● Kelly Maureen Noonan MurphyINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+31—
HD-126
● Andrew Gattine● Ethan E Mongue
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+35.2D+31.9Solid DSolid DD+30—
HD-127
● Morgan J RiellyINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+34—
HD-128
● Suzanne M SalisburyINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+34—
HD-129
● Marshall F ArcherINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+27—
HD-130
● Lynn Holland CopelandINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+27—
HD-131
● Robert James Kelly● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+20—
HD-132
● Ryan FecteauINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+29—
HD-133
● Marc G Malon IIINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+29—
HD-134
● Traci GereINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+30—
HD-135
● Lisa Joy Pratt● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+34—
HD-136
● Michelle K Conners● John EderINC
20%80%
25%75%
R+6.0R+6.3Lean RLean RR+9—
HD-137
● Charles Tilburg● Nathan M CarlowINC
22%78%
30%70%
R+5.5R+4.8Lean RLean RR+8—
HD-138
● Oliver D McAvoy● Jonathan Lee Kinney
5%95%
11%89%
R+12.6R+11.9Solid RLikely RR+15—
HD-139
● Dean P Lepage● Jamie K Newton
7%93%
13%87%
R+10.9R+10.8Likely RLikely RR+14—
HD-140
● Kirstan L Watson● Wayne R ParryINC
21%79%
34%66%
R+5.8R+3.7Lean RLean RR+7—
HD-141
● Rebecca L Flood Andrews● Marc A Boisse
32%68%
22%78%
R+3.3R+7.4Lean RLean RR+11—
HD-142
● Ayn M Hanselmann● Gordon E Frohloff
88%12%
84%16%
D+8.7D+9.5Likely DLikely DD+6—
HD-143Flip riskFlip risk
● John R Henkelman● Eric H Small
52%48%
56%44%
D+0.4D+1.4Toss-upToss-upR+2—
HD-144
● No Democrat● Jeffrey Sean AdamsINC
Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed—Uncontested RUncontested RR+28—
HD-145D flipD flip
● Kristin T Davis● Caleb J Chase
98%2%
94%6%
D+15.0D+15.2Solid DLikely DD+14—
HD-146
● Walter Gerard Runte Jr.● Bradley S Moulton
>99%<1%
99%1%
D+23.6D+27.1Solid DSolid DD+26—
HD-147
● Holly T SargentINC● No Republican
Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed—Uncontested DUncontested DD+29—
HD-148
● Margaret A Wheeler● Thomas Arthur LavigneINC
19%82%
33%67%
R+6.6R+4.1Likely RLean RR+7—
HD-149
● Mallory A Cook● Timothy R Towne
98%2%
94%6%
D+16.8D+15.7Solid DLikely DD+14—
HD-150
● Alexandros Orestis● Mark F Zimmer
>99%<1%
98%2%
D+22.4D+22.6Solid DSolid DD+21—
HD-151
● Kristi M MathiesonINC● Suzanne Johnson
>99%<1%
>99%<1%
D+43.0D+43.5Solid DSolid DD+43—

Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%).