2026 forecast · Updated Oct 21, 2026
Polls
1,897 public polls of 2026 races, the generic ballot and Trump approval from 272 pollsters, newest first. Each links to its race, its pollster and its original release. All pollsters and their ratings →
Most active, last 30 days: University of New Hampshire 18 · YouGov 17 · New York Times/Siena College 16 · InsiderAdvantage 15 · Marist College 15 · ActiVote 14 · co/efficient 14 · Trafalgar Group 12 · All 272 pollsters →
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Forecast | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Aug 31 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NY Governor | McLaughlin & Associates★½ for Blakeman's campaignR sponsor | Aug 27–31 | 800 LV | Hochul 50 · Blakeman 46 | D+4 | D 98% | nypost.com ↗ |
| Fri, Aug 28 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MI Governor | EPIC-MRA★★½ for MIRS, a nonpartisan tipsheet | Aug 22–28 | 600 LV | Benson 45 · James 41+1 version | D+4 | D 88% | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| NM Governor | Research & Polling Inc.★★½ for the Albuquerque Journal | Aug 21–28 | 516 LV | Haaland 49 · Hull 43 | D+6 | D 92% | abqjournal.com ↗ |
| Wed, Aug 26 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Governor | Overton Insights for Texas Public Policy FoundationR sponsor | Aug 24–26 | 1,167 LV | Hinojosa 46 · Abbott 47+1 version | R+1 | R 71% | overtoninsights.com ↗ |
| TN Governor | Targoz Market Research★ for the Beacon Center of Tennessee | Aug 15–26 | 601 LV | Green 34 · Blackburn 55+1 version | R+21 | R 99% | tennsight.com ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 24 · 5 polls | |||||||
| TX Governor | Texas Public Opinion Research | Aug 21–24 | 1,000 LV | Hinojosa 42 · Abbott 49 | R+7 | R 71% | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| CT Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Aug 20–24 | 809 LV | Lamont 52 · Fazio 37 | D+15 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| MA Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Aug 20–24 | 881 LV | Healey 54 · Minogue 30 | D+24 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| NH Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Aug 20–24 | 1,878 LV | Warmington 39 · Ayotte 49 | R+10 | R 95% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| RI Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Aug 20–24 | 750 LV | Foulkes 40 · Guckian 15 | D+25 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Aug 23 · 2 polls | |||||||
| IA Governor | Suffolk University★★½ | Aug 20–23 | 500 LV | Sand 48 · Lahn 44 | D+4 | D 85% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| PA Governor | Franklin & Marshall College★★ | Aug 17–23 | 501 RV | Shapiro 50 · Garrity 25 | D+25 | D >99% | fandmpoll.org ↗ |
| Sat, Aug 22 · 2 polls | |||||||
| RI Governor | Emerson College/WPRI-TV★★½ | Aug 21–22 | 1,000 LV | Foulkes 45 · Guckian 18 | D+27 | D >99% | wpri.com ↗ |
| PA Governor | PennLive for the Bravo Group | Aug 18–22 | 711 RV | Shapiro 56 · Garrity 25 | D+31 | D >99% | pennlive.com ↗ |
| Fri, Aug 21 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NY Governor | Concord Public Opinion Partners★★ for Education Reform NowD sponsor | Aug 19–21 | 505 LV | Hochul 50 · Blakeman 34 | D+16 | D 98% | politico.com ↗ |
| PA Governor | The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University★★½ | Aug 17–21 | 760 LV | Shapiro 55 · Garrity 39+1 version | D+16 | D >99% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Thu, Aug 20 · 2 polls | |||||||
| WI Governor | Marquette University★★ | Aug 12–20 | 738 LV | Crowley 49 · Tiffany 44+1 version | D+5 | D 65% | law.marquette.edu ↗ |
| MI Governor | Michigan State University/YouGov★★ | Aug 10–20 | 779 LV | Benson 52 · James 43+1 version | D+9 | D 88% | ippsr.msu.edu ↗ |
| Wed, Aug 19 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AZ Governor | NextGen PollingR sponsor | Aug 17–19 | 1,627 LV | Hobbs 39 · Biggs 38 | D+1 | D 96% | nxtgenp.com ↗ |
| Tue, Aug 18 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NH Governor | Saint Anselm College★★½ | Aug 17–18 | 1,411 LV | Warmington 38 · Ayotte 49 | R+11 | R 95% | anselm.edu ↗ |
| WI Governor | TIPP Insights★★ for the League of American Workers, a conservative advocacy group founded by Steve Cortes, former senior advisor to President Donald TrumpR sponsor | Aug 14–18 | 1,199 LV | Crowley 47 · Tiffany 43+1 version | D+4 | D 65% | tippinsights.com ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 17 · 3 polls | |||||||
| GA Governor | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Aug 16–17 | 800 LV | Bottoms 46 · Jackson 46 | Even | D 53% | jamesmagazinega.com ↗ |
| AZ Governor | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Aug 14–17 | 780 LV | Hobbs 49 · Biggs 43 | D+6 | D 96% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| MN Governor | KTSP/SurveyUSA★★½ | Aug 13–17 | 661 LV | Klobuchar 51 · Demuth 36 | D+15 | D 94% | kstp.com ↗ |
| Sun, Aug 16 · 2 polls | |||||||
| AZ Governor | Kreate Strategies for American Encore, which supports the Republican PartyR sponsor | Aug 13–16 | 900 LV | Hobbs 45 · Biggs 40 | D+5 | D 96% | kstrat.net ↗ |
| KS Governor | Global Strategy Group★½ for Holscher's campaignD sponsor | Aug 13–16 | 600 LV | Holscher 47 · Masterson 46 | D+1 | R 76% | politico.com ↗ |
| Sat, Aug 15 · 1 poll | |||||||
| SC Governor | Hart Research for Jermaine Johnson's campaignD sponsor | Aug 12–15 | 600 V | Johnson 42 · Wilson 50 | R+8 | R 90% | washingtonexaminer.com ↗ |
| Thu, Aug 13 · 5 polls | |||||||
| WI Governor | Platform CommunicationsR sponsor | Aug 12–13 | 500 LV | Crowley 48 · Tiffany 44 | D+4 | D 65% | wpr.org ↗ |
| AZ Governor | Stealth Analytics | Aug 11–13 | 530 LV | Hobbs 43 · Biggs 38 | D+5 | D 96% | stealth-analytics.com ↗ |
| AZ Governor | Noble Predictive Insights★★½ | Aug 10–13 | 923 LV | Hobbs 48 · Biggs 35+1 version | D+13 | D 96% | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
| FL Governor | Hart Research Associates for the Democratic Governors AssociationD sponsor | Aug 10–13 | 600 LV | Jolly 46 · Donalds 45 | D+1 | R 73% | democraticgovernors.org ↗ |
| TX Governor | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Aug 5–13 | 1,200 RV | Hinojosa 40 · Abbott 45 | R+5 | R 71% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Wed, Aug 12 · 2 polls | |||||||
| AR Governor | Hendrix College★★ for Talk Business & Politics | Aug 11–12 | 1,217 LV | Love 40 · Sanders 45 | R+5 | R >99% | talkbusiness.net ↗ |
| MA Governor | UMass Amherst/YouGov★½ for WCVB | Aug 5–12 | 800 RV | Healey 53 · Minogue 33 | D+20 | D >99% | htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com ↗ |
| Tue, Aug 11 · 2 polls | |||||||
| AZ Governor | GrayhouseR sponsor | Aug 9–11 | 600 LV | Hobbs 49 · Biggs 45 | D+4 | D 96% | x.com ↗ |
| MI Governor | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Aug 9–11 | 877 LV | Benson 49 · James 44 | D+5 | D 88% | aarp.org ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 10 · 5 polls | |||||||
| TX Governor | Emerson College★★½ for Nexstar Media | Aug 9–10 | 1,000 LV | Hinojosa 45 · Abbott 49 | R+4 | R 71% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| MI Governor | TIPP Insights★★ for the League of American Workers, a conservative advocacy group founded by Steve Cortes, former senior advisor to President Donald TrumpR sponsor | Aug 6–10 | 1,215 LV | Benson 53 · James 37+1 version | D+16 | D 88% | tippinsights.com ↗ |
| ME Governor | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Aug 6–10 | 1,000 RV | Pingree 49 · Charles 38 | D+11 | D 98% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| MI Governor | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Aug 6–10 | 1,006 RV | Benson 52 · James 47 | D+5 | D 88% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| OH Governor | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Aug 6–10 | 1,008 RV | Acton 48 · Ramaswamy 50 | R+2 | D 71% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Sun, Aug 9 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Governor | GBAO★½D sponsor | Aug 4–9 | 1,000 LV | Hinojosa 48 · Abbott 49 | R+1 | R 71% | x.com ↗ |
| CA Governor | Berkeley IGS for the Los Angeles Times | Aug 3–9 | 2,310 LV | Becerra 55 · Hilton 37 | D+18 | D >99% | latimes.com ↗ |
| Fri, Aug 7 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NM Governor | BSP ResearchD sponsor | Jul 22–Aug 7 | 800 RV | Haaland 41 · Hull 24 | D+17 | D 92% | bspresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Thu, Aug 6 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NY Governor | Siena College★★½ | Aug 3–6 | 811 LV | Hochul 49 · Blakeman 39 | D+10 | D 98% | sri.siena.edu ↗ |
| Tue, Aug 4 · 2 polls | |||||||
| IA Governor | Emerson College★★½ | Aug 2–4 | 712 LV | Sand 48 · Lahn 43 | D+5 | D 85% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| OH Governor | Tulchin Research★★ for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney GeneralD sponsor | Jul 29–Aug 4 | 600 LV | Acton 46 · Ramaswamy 44 | D+2 | D 71% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 3 · 2 polls | |||||||
| WI Governor | GBAO★½ for Protect Our Wisconsin PAC, a group backed by the Democratic Governors AssociationD sponsor | Jul 30–Aug 3 | 800 LV | Crowley 47 · Tiffany 44 | D+3 | D 65% | politico.com ↗ |
| MD Governor | Zenith Research for Blended Public Affairs and Perry Jacobson | Jul 27–Aug 3 | 800 LV | Moore 58 · Cox 31 | D+27 | D >99% | marylandmatters.org ↗ |
| Sat, Aug 1 · 1 poll | |||||||
| GA Governor | Quantus Insights for the Natural Gas Association of GeorgiaR sponsor | Jul 29–Aug 1 | 815 LV | Bottoms 46 · Jackson 45 | D+1 | D 53% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| Fri, Jul 31 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Governor | Cygnal★★★R sponsor | Jul 29–31 | 800 LV | Hinojosa 46 · Abbott 49 | R+3 | R 71% | cygn.al ↗ |
| MI Governor | EPIC-MRA★★½ | Jul 24–31 | 600 LV | Benson 47 · James 38 | D+9 | D 88% | ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net ↗ |
| Thu, Jul 30 · 5 polls | |||||||
| ID Governor | Change Research★★ for John Stegner's campaign | Jul 28–30 | 1,213 LV | Pickens 27 · Little 48+2 versions | R+21 | R >99% | docs.google.com ↗ |
| AZ Governor | The Tarrance Group★★½ for the Democracy Defense Foundation, a 501(c)(3) organization, led by former Governor Jan BrewerR sponsor | Jul 27–30 | 600 LV | Hobbs 52 · Biggs 48 | D+4 | D 96% | democracydefensefoundation.org ↗ |
| TX Governor | Texas Southern University | Jul 27–30 | 1,200 LV | Hinojosa 43 · Abbott 49 | R+6 | R 71% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| TX Governor | Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University★★½ | Jul 27–30 | 619 LV | Hinojosa 45 · Abbott 46 | R+1 | R 71% | reconmr.com ↗ |
| PA Governor | National Public AffairsR sponsor | Jul 26–30 | 600 LV | Shapiro 50 · Garrity 43 | D+7 | D >99% | backend.natpublicaffairs.com ↗ |
| Wed, Jul 29 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MI Governor | Mitchell Research & Communications★★ | Jul 28–29 | 672 LV | Benson 46 · James 44 | D+2 | D 88% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| NV Governor | Tarrance Group★★½ for Better Nevada PAC and the Republican Governors Association, both of which support LombardoR sponsor | Jul 25–29 | LV | Ford 43 · Lombardo 50 | R+7 | R 74% | thenevadaindependent.com ↗ |
| Tue, Jul 28 · 2 polls | |||||||
| AZ Governor | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Jul 26–28 | 913 LV | Hobbs 52 · Biggs 44 | D+8 | D 96% | aarp.org ↗ |
| NY Governor | Moxie Strategies for the Firefighters Association of the State of New York | Jul 22–28 | 813 RV | Hochul 49 · Blakeman 37 | D+12 | D 98% | empirereportnewyork.com ↗ |
| Mon, Jul 27 · 1 poll | |||||||
| TX Governor | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jul 23–27 | 1,005 RV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 50 | R+1 | R 71% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Sun, Jul 26 · 2 polls | |||||||
| CT Governor | Sacred Heart University/WFSB/CT Insider★★ | Jul 21–26 | 1,000 RV | Lamont 50 · Fazio 30 | D+20 | D >99% | wfsb.com ↗ |
| FL Governor | Targoz Market Research★ for the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank | Jul 20–26 | 1,026 LV | Jolly 38 · Donalds 45 | R+7 | R 73% | jamesmadison.org ↗ |
| Fri, Jul 24 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MI Governor | Glengariff Group★★ | Jul 22–24 | 600 LV | Benson 44 · James 39 | D+5 | D 88% | mea.org ↗ |
| WI Governor | RMG Research★★ | Jul 20–24 | 800 RV | Crowley 46 · Tiffany 43 | D+3 | D 65% | reforminggovernment.org ↗ |
| Mon, Jul 20 · 2 polls | |||||||
| ME Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jul 15–20 | 1,178 LV | Pingree 49 · Charles 35 | D+14 | D 98% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| VT Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jul 15–20 | 954 LV | Janoo 33 · Scott 44 | R+11 | R 70% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| Fri, Jul 17 · 3 polls | |||||||
| SC Governor | Public Policy Polling★★ for the campaign of Annie Andrews, Democratic nominee for U.SD sponsor | Jul 16–17 | 577 V | Johnson 37 · Wilson 45 | R+8 | R 90% | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| TX Governor | Texas Public Opinion Research | Jul 15–17 | 1,048 LV | Hinojosa 42 · Abbott 45 | R+3 | R 71% | texastribune.org ↗ |
| FL Governor | University of North Florida★★ | Jul 8–17 | 848 LV | Jolly 41 · Donalds 46 | R+5 | R 73% | unfporl.org ↗ |
| Thu, Jul 16 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NV Governor | Public Policy Polling★★ for the Democratic Governors AssociationD sponsor | Jul 15–16 | 558 LV | Ford 44 · Lombardo 44 | Even | R 74% | thenevadaindependent.com ↗ |
| GA Governor | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Jul 13–16 | 1,060 LV | Bottoms 48 · Jackson 46 | D+2 | D 53% | aarp.org ↗ |
| Wed, Jul 15 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NM Governor | McLaughlin & Associates★½ for Hull's campaignR sponsor | Jul 13–15 | 400 LV | Haaland 46 · Hull 45 | D+1 | D 92% | santafenewmexican.com ↗ |
| Mon, Jul 13 · 2 polls | |||||||
| GA Governor | State Navigate | Jul 10–13 | 448 LV | Bottoms 50 · Jackson 43+1 version | D+7 | D 53% | statenavigate.org ↗ |
| PA Governor | Quinnipiac University★★ | Jul 9–13 | 895 RV | Shapiro 53 · Garrity 40 | D+13 | D >99% | poll.qu.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Jul 12 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NY Governor | Red Oak Strategic for Strong And Safe, a super PAC supporting BlakemanR sponsor | Jul 7–12 | 2,000 RV | Hochul 47 · Blakeman 43 | D+4 | D 98% | vinnews.com ↗ |
| Sat, Jul 11 · 2 polls | |||||||
| FL Governor | Change Research★★D sponsor | Jul 9–11 | 1,348 RV | Jolly 37 · Donalds 37+1 version | Even | R 73% | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| AL Governor | yes. every kid. | Jul 8–11 | 601 LV | Jones 41 · Tuberville 49 | R+8 | R 93% | yeseverykidfoundation.org ↗ |
| Mon, Jul 6 · 2 polls | |||||||
| CA Governor | PPIC | Jun 29–Jul 6 | 1,003 LV | Becerra 61 · Hilton 36 | D+25 | D >99% | ppic.org ↗ |
| NV Governor | Grassroots Targeting for Better Nevada PAC and the Republican Governors Association, both of which support LombardoR sponsor | Jul 8–Jul 6 | LV | Ford 40 · Lombardo 52 | R+12 | R 74% | thenevadaindependent.com ↗ |
| Thu, Jul 2 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NY Governor | co/efficient★★ for Coalition to Protect Nassau TaxpayersR sponsor | Jun 30–Jul 2 | 1,085 LV | Hochul 47 · Blakeman 41 | D+6 | D 98% | nypost.com ↗ |
| Tue, Jun 30 · 1 poll | |||||||
| GA Governor | Wick★★ | Jun 27–30 | 1,175 LV | Bottoms 43 · Jackson 43 | Even | D 53% | wick.io ↗ |
| Mon, Jun 29 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NV Governor | Public Opinion Strategies★★ for the Republican Governors Association, which supports LombardoR sponsor | Jun 27–29 | LV | Ford 42 · Lombardo 51 | R+9 | R 74% | thenevadaindependent.com ↗ |
| Sun, Jun 28 · 1 poll | |||||||
| OH Governor | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–28 | 601 LV | Acton 47 · Ramaswamy 47 | Even | D 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Sat, Jun 27 · 5 polls | |||||||
| GA Governor | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jun 23–27 | 1,002 RV | Bottoms 52 · Jackson 47 | D+5 | D 53% | static.foxnews.com ↗ |
| IA Governor | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jun 23–27 | 1,003 RV | Sand 53 · Lahn 44 | D+9 | D 85% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| ME Governor | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jun 23–27 | 1,003 RV | Pingree 53 · Charles 42 | D+11 | D 98% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| TX Governor | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 19–27 | 656 LV | Hinojosa 44 · Abbott 51 | R+7 | R 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| IA Governor | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–27 | 600 LV | Sand 48 · Lahn 47 | D+1 | D 85% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Fri, Jun 26 · 1 poll | |||||||
| ME Governor | New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena University★★½ | Jun 19–26 | 608 LV | Pingree 50 · Charles 36+1 version | D+14 | D 98% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Thu, Jun 25 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NH Governor | Saint Anselm College★★½ | Jun 24–25 | 1,614 RV | Warmington 37 · Ayotte 45 | R+8 | R 95% | anselm.edu ↗ |
| PA Governor | PennLive for the Bravo Group | Jun 18–25 | 644 RV | Shapiro 54 · Garrity 29 | D+25 | D >99% | bravogroup.us ↗ |
| Wed, Jun 24 · 1 poll | |||||||
| OR Governor | Public Opinion Strategies★★ for Drazan's campaignR sponsor | Jun 22–24 | 600 RV | Kotek 44 · Drazan 48 | R+4 | D 67% | oregonlive.com ↗ |
| Tue, Jun 23 · 6 polls | |||||||
| CT Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 828 LV | Lamont 49 · Fazio 36 | D+13 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| MA Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 623 LV | Healey 51 · Minogue 32 | D+19 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| NH Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 2,232 LV | Warmington 39 · Ayotte 44 | R+5 | R 95% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| RI Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 664 LV | Foulkes 38 · Guckian 22 | D+16 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| VT Governor | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 887 LV | Janoo 27 · Scott 42 | R+15 | R 70% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| NY Governor | Siena College★★½ | Jun 17–23 | 1,120 RV | Hochul 52 · Blakeman 32 | D+20 | D 98% | sri.siena.edu ↗ |
Margin: the poll's lead (D − R; approve − disapprove for approval). Forecast: the race's chance in today's forecast, which averages polls after adjusting for each pollster's house effect and track record. Stars: our pollster rating, three is best. Sponsor: polls paid for by a party or campaign are released selectively, and the forecast adjusts for that.