Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Tulchin Research
15 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 11 races. Latest: Sep 30, 2026.
- Polls
- 1515 in 11 races
- 538 rating
- ★0.9 of 3 stars
- House effect
- D+2.4Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 2.4 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine's 2nd District for Dunlap's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 27–Sep 30 | 500 LV | Dunlap 50 · LePage 48 | D+2 | static01.nyt.com ↗ |
| Florida's 27th District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Sep 8–Sep 13 | 600 LV | Rodriguez 46 · Salazar 47 | R+1 | x.com ↗ |
| Alabama's 2nd District for the House Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidatesD-sponsored | Aug 24–Aug 31 | — V | Figures 47 · Marques 47 | Even | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| Florida's 22nd District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Aug 24–Aug 31 | — V | Dandiya 46 · Askar 44 | D+2 | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney GeneralD-sponsored | Jul 29–Aug 4 | 600 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 43 | D+4 | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney GeneralD-sponsored | Jul 29–Aug 4 | 600 LV | Acton 46 · Ramaswamy 44 | D+2 | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| Ohio Attorney General for Poll sposored by Kulewicz's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 29–Aug 4 | 600 LV | Kulewicz 36 · Faber 32 | D+4 | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| North Carolina's 3rd DistrictD-sponsored | Jul 27–Aug 2 | 600 LV | Jr. 41 · Murphy 44 | R+3 | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| Maine's 2nd District for Dunlap's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 11–Jul 16 | 600 LV | Dunlap 49 · LePage 48 | D+1 | x.com ↗ |
| Virginia's 2nd District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Jul 9–Jul 13 | 700 LV | Luria 47 · Kiggans 47 | Even | politico.com ↗ |
| California's 22nd District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Jun 15–Jun 21 | 800 LV | Villegas 48 · Valadao 44 | D+4 | politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Fighting for Michigan, a pro-El-Sayed super PACD-sponsored | Jun 2–Jun 4 | 500 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 41 | D+5 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney GeneralD-sponsored | Jun 2–Jun 4 | 600 LV | Brown 46 · Husted 42 | D+4 | nbc4i.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney GeneralD-sponsored | Jun 2–Jun 4 | 600 LV | Acton 47 · Ramaswamy 44 | D+3 | nbc4i.com ↗ |
| Ohio Attorney General for Poll sposored by Kulewicz's campaignD-sponsored | Jun 2–Jun 4 | 600 LV | Kulewicz 34 · Faber 34 | Even | x.com ↗ |