Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research
23 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 16 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Sep 22, 2026.
- Polls
- 2322 in 16 races · 1 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+0.6Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 0.6 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Maine for AARP | Sep 20–Sep 22 | 982 LV | Jackson 50 · Collins 47 | D+3 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Maine Governor for AARP | Sep 20–Sep 22 | 982 LV | Pingree 52 · Charles 39 | D+13 | aarp.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina for AARP | Sep 17–Sep 20 | 1,806 LV | Cooper 53 · Whatley 42 | D+11 | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Alaska for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Peltola 50 · Sullivan 43 | D+7 | aarp.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Alaska for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Peltola 53 · Sullivan 47 | D+6 | aarp.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Alaska for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Peltola 46 · Sullivan 41 | D+5 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Alaska Governor for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 49 · Bronson 18 | D+31 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Alaska Governor for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 55 · Bronson 45 | D+10 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Alaska Governor for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 40 · Bronson 14 | D+26 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large District for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Hill 35 · III 51 | R+16 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large District for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Hill 43 · III 57 | R+14 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large District for AARP | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 800 LV | Hill 31 · III 45 | R+14 | aarp.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for AARP | Aug 30–Sep 1 | 895 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 44 | D+4 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Texas Governor for AARP | Aug 30–Sep 1 | 895 LV | Hinojosa 46 · Abbott 49 | R+3 | aarp.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for AARP | Aug 9–Aug 11 | 877 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 47 | D+1 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Michigan Governor for AARP | Aug 9–Aug 11 | 877 LV | Benson 49 · James 44 | D+5 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Arizona Governor for AARP | Jul 26–Jul 28 | 913 LV | Hobbs 52 · Biggs 44 | D+8 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Arizona Attorney General for AARP | Jul 26–Jul 28 | 913 LV | Mayes 48 · Petersen 43 | D+5 | aarp.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Georgia for AARP | Jul 13–Jul 16 | 1,060 LV | Ossoff 52 · Collins 43 | D+9 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Georgia Governor for AARP | Jul 13–Jul 16 | 1,060 LV | Bottoms 48 · Jackson 46 | D+2 | aarp.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for AARP | Jun 14–Jun 16 | 800 LV | Brown 48 · Husted 45 | D+3 | aarp.org ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for AARP | Jun 14–Jun 16 | 800 LV | Acton 47 · Ramaswamy 44 | D+3 | aarp.org ↗ |
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27–Feb 1 for AARP | 3,000 RV | 43 | 43 | Even | aarp.org ↗ |