Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Texas Public Opinion Research
15 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Sep 22, 2026.
- Polls
- 1515 in 4 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+1.5Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 1.5 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in TexasD-sponsored | Sep 19–Sep 22 | 1,007 LV | Talarico 49 · Paxton 44 | D+5 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Sep 19–Sep 22 | 1,007 LV | Hinojosa 46 · Abbott 50 | R+4 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Sep 19–Sep 22 | 1,007 LV | Goodwin 44 · Patrick 47 | R+3 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Sep 19–Sep 22 | 1,007 LV | Johnson 43 · Middleton 46 | R+3 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in TexasD-sponsored | Aug 21–Aug 24 | 1,000 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 42 | D+6 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Aug 21–Aug 24 | 1,000 LV | Hinojosa 42 · Abbott 49 | R+7 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Aug 21–Aug 24 | 1,000 LV | Goodwin 41 · Patrick 47 | R+6 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Aug 21–Aug 24 | 1,000 LV | Johnson 41 · Middleton 44 | R+3 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in TexasD-sponsored | Jul 15–Jul 17 | 1,048 LV | Talarico 45 · Paxton 40 | D+5 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Jul 15–Jul 17 | 1,048 LV | Hinojosa 42 · Abbott 45 | R+3 | texastribune.org ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Jul 15–Jul 17 | 1,048 LV | Johnson 38 · Middleton 39 | R+1 | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in TexasD-sponsored | May 27–May 28 | 1,670 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 44 | D+3 | mailchi.mp ↗ |
| Texas Governor | May 27–May 28 | 1,670 LV | Hinojosa 41 · Abbott 46 | R+5 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | May 27–May 28 | 1,670 LV | Johnson 39 · Middleton 44 | R+5 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in TexasD-sponsored | Apr 17–Apr 20 | 1,018 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 41 | D+5 | texastribune.org ↗ |