Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Hart Research
11 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 7 races. Latest: Sep 24, 2026.
- Polls
- 1111 in 7 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+0.2Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 0.2 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio's 15th District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Sep 22–Sep 24 | 500 LV | Leonard 46 · Carey 45 | D+1 | x.com ↗ |
| South Carolina Governor for Jermaine Johnson's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 12–Aug 15 | 600 V | Johnson 42 · Wilson 50 | R+8 | washingtonexaminer.com ↗ |
| Ohio's 15th District for Leonard's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 6–Aug 9 | 401 LV | Leonard 37 · Carey 41 | R+4 | politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Montana for Forward Montana, which supports BodnarD-sponsored | Aug 1–Aug 4 | 800 LV | Bodnar 30 · Alme 45 | R+15 | forwardmontana.org ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Maine for Senate Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Jul 27–Aug 1 | 802 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 45 | D+4 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Ohio's 15th District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Jun 23–Jun 25 | 550 LV | Leonard 40 · Carey 45 | R+5 | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Montana for The Majority Institute, a research firm that supports DemocratsD-sponsored | Jun 18–Jun 24 | 800 LV | Bodnar 25 · Alme 47 | R+22 | drive.google.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Montana for The Majority Institute, a research firm that supports DemocratsD-sponsored | Jun 18–Jun 24 | 800 LV | Bodnar — · Alme 49 | — | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Nevada Governor for The Majority Institute, a Democrat-aligned firmD-sponsored | Feb 11–Feb 17 | 800 LV | Ford 43 · Lombardo 46 | R+3 | crookedmedia.substack.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for the Ohio Federation of Teachers, which supports BrownD-sponsored | Sep 19–Sep 22 | 800 LV | Brown 48 · Husted 45 | D+3 | oft-aft.org ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for the Ohio Federation of TeachersD-sponsored | Sep 19–Sep 22 | 800 LV | Acton 46 · Ramaswamy 45 | D+1 | oft-aft.org ↗ |