Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Hart Research Associates
5 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Sep 19, 2026.
- Polls
- 55 in 4 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+2.2Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 2.2 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Louisiana for Davis' campaignD-sponsored | Sep 17–Sep 19 | 500 LV | Davis 44 · Letlow 48 | R+4 | bsky.app ↗ |
| Tennessee's 9th District for Tennessee Rise PAC & Three Star PACD-sponsored | Sep 1–Sep 3 | 400 LV | Pearson 44 · Taylor 48 | R+4 | x.com ↗ |
| Florida's 13th District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Aug 25–Aug 27 | 500 LV | Gray 51 · Luna 46 | D+5 | floridapolitics.com ↗ |
| Florida's 13th District for House Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD-sponsored | Aug 25–Aug 27 | 500 LV | Gray 44 · Luna 43 | D+1 | floridapolitics.com ↗ |
| Florida Governor for the Democratic Governors AssociationD-sponsored | Aug 10–Aug 13 | 600 LV | Jolly 46 · Donalds 45 | D+1 | democraticgovernors.org ↗ |