Pollsters · Updated Oct 20, 2026
Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University
5 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Jul 30, 2026.
- Polls
- 55 in 4 races
- Rating
- ★★½2.3 of 3 stars
- House effect, 2026
- D+1.8Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- D+1.0Against other polls of the same races
Rated as Siena College, its polling partner. Based on 68 polls of 61 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2002 to 2024: they missed the final margin by 6.7 points on average, 0.7 points less than other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 1.8 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
In past elections its polls ran 1.0 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 43 | D+4 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Hinojosa 45 · Abbott 46 | R+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Goodwin 48 · Patrick 46 | D+2 | static.politico.com ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Johnson 44 · Middleton 46 | R+2 | static.politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Jun 1–Jun 4 | 807 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 46 | Even | reconmr.com ↗ |