2026 forecast · Updated Oct 21, 2026
Polls
1,897 public polls of 2026 races, the generic ballot and Trump approval from 272 pollsters, newest first. Each links to its race, its pollster and its original release. All pollsters and their ratings →
Most active, last 30 days: University of New Hampshire 18 · YouGov 17 · New York Times/Siena College 16 · InsiderAdvantage 15 · Marist College 15 · ActiVote 14 · co/efficient 14 · Trafalgar Group 12 · All 272 pollsters →
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Forecast | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 11 · 4 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 9–11 | 958 LV | Pappas 46 · Sununu 46 | Even | D 96% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| IA Senate | Cygnal★★★ for the Iowans for Tax Relief FoundationR sponsor | Sep 9–11 | 500 LV | Turek 43 · Hinson 43 | Even | D 52% | itrfoundation.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | ReconMR/Siena University★★½ | Sep 8–11 | 614 LV | Talarico 49 · Paxton 43 | D+6 | D 71% | reconmr.com ↗ |
| AK Senate | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Sep 8–11 | 800 LV | Peltola 53 · Sullivan 47+2 versions | D+6 | D 52% | aarp.org ↗ |
| Thu, Sep 10 · 9 polls | |||||||
| KS Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 8–10 | 915 LV | Hamilton 44 · Marshall 49 | R+5 | R 56% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| NC Senate | The Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 8–10 | 1,084 LV | Cooper 48 · Whatley 42 | D+6 | D 98% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| IA Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 8–10 | 1,031 LV | Turek 45 · Hinson 40 | D+5 | D 52% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 8–10 | 1,033 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 45 | D+1 | D 68% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| NH Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 8–10 | 1,000 LV | Pappas 45 · Sununu 34 | D+11 | D 96% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 8–10 | 733 LV | Nixon 43 · Moody 50 | R+7 | R 84% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| MN Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 8–10 | 720 LV | Flanagan 48 · Tafoya 44 | D+4 | D 87% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | Mason-Dixon★★½ for Telemundo Texas | Sep 8–10 | 625 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 43 | D+3 | D 71% | s3.documentcloud.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Bowling Green State University/YouGov★½ | Sep 1–10 | 1,000 LV | Brown 48 · Husted 45 | D+3 | D 69% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 9 · 6 polls | |||||||
| SD Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Bengs' campaignD sponsor | Sep 8–9 | 629 RV | Bengs 42 · Rounds 45 | R+3 | R 96% | x.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 8–9 | 1,200 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 42 | D+5 | D 69% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| SC Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 8–9 | 1,200 LV | Andrews 43 · Graham 45 | R+2 | R 73% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★ | Sep 8–9 | 1,200 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 46 | D+1 | D 71% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 7–9 | 1,079 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 45 | D+1 | D 78% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Change Research★★ for Freedom Project USAD sponsor | Sep 7–9 | 1,107 LV | Nixon 47 · Moody 47 | Even | R 84% | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 8 · 3 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 3–8 | 2,041 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 43+1 version | D+4 | D 52% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| NE Senate | GBAO★½ for Working Class Majority PAC, which supports OsbornD sponsor | Sep 3–8 | 800 LV | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 46 | D+1 | R 63% | static.washingtonsun.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 2–8 | 1,335 LV | Jackson 48 · Collins 44+1 version | D+4 | D 68% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| Mon, Sep 7 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MT Senate | Rutgers-Eagleton★½ for the Montana Free Press | Aug 27–Sep 7 | 845 RV | Bodnar 30 · Alme 38 | R+8 | R 98% | montanafreepress.org ↗ |
| Sun, Sep 6 · 2 polls | |||||||
| ME Senate | SSRS★½ for CNN | Aug 31–Sep 6 | 880 LV | Jackson 48 · Collins 45 | D+3 | D 68% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | SSRS★½ for CNN | Aug 31–Sep 6 | 843 LV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 44 | D+3 | D 78% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| Fri, Sep 4 · 1 poll | |||||||
| TX Senate | Univision/YouGov★★ | Aug 27–Sep 4 | 1,000 RV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 43 | D+5 | D 71% | univision.com ↗ |
| Thu, Sep 3 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MI Senate | Glengariff Group★★ for The Detroit News and WDIV-TV | Aug 31–Sep 3 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 44 · Rogers 46 | R+2 | D 78% | detroitnews.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | East Carolina University★★ | Aug 31–Sep 3 | 675 LV | Cooper 46 · Whatley 39+1 version | D+7 | D 98% | surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 2 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MN Senate | TIPP Insights★★ for the League of American WorkersR sponsor | Aug 31–Sep 2 | 1,201 LV | Flanagan 44 · Tafoya 42+1 version | D+2 | D 87% | tippinsights.com ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 1 · 2 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Emerson College★★½ | Aug 31–Sep 1 | 750 LV | Turek 45 · Hinson 50 | R+5 | D 52% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Aug 30–Sep 1 | 895 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 44 | D+4 | D 71% | aarp.org ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 31 · 2 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Global Strategy Group★½ for Turek's campaignD sponsor | Aug 27–31 | 800 LV | Turek 46 · Hinson 42 | D+4 | D 52% | cdn.sanity.io ↗ |
| NC Senate | Elon University/YouGov★½ | Aug 21–31 | 565 LV | Cooper 49 · Whatley 38+2 versions | D+11 | D 98% | eloncdn.blob.core.windows.net ↗ |
| Sun, Aug 30 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | Fabrizio, Lee, & Associates★★ for the NRSCR sponsor | Aug 27–30 | 600 LV | Pappas 36 · Sununu 37 | R+1 | D 96% | nrsc.org ↗ |
| SD Senate | Lake Research Partners★★D sponsor | Aug 26–30 | 500 LV | Bengs 51 · Rounds 44 | D+7 | R 96% | linkedin.com ↗ |
| Fri, Aug 28 · 7 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Abacus Data | Aug 26–28 | 323 LV | Turek 54 · Hinson 45+1 version | D+9 | D 52% | abacusdata.ca ↗ |
| ME Senate | Abacus Data | Aug 26–28 | 327 LV | Jackson 52 · Collins 43+1 version | D+9 | D 68% | abacusdata.ca ↗ |
| MI Senate | Abacus Data | Aug 26–28 | 332 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 45+1 version | D+4 | D 78% | abacusdata.ca ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Abacus Data | Aug 26–28 | 306 LV | Brown 52 · Husted 46+1 version | D+6 | D 69% | abacusdata.ca ↗ |
| SC Senate | Abacus Data | Aug 26–28 | 306 LV | Andrews 42 · Graham 55+1 version | R+13 | R 73% | abacusdata.ca ↗ |
| MI Senate | EPIC-MRA★★½ | Aug 22–28 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 43+1 version | D+4 | D 78% | ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net ↗ |
| NM Senate | Research & Polling Inc.★★½ for the Albuquerque Journal | Aug 21–28 | 516 LV | Luján 53 · Marker 38 | D+15 | D >99% | abqjournal.com ↗ |
| Thu, Aug 27 · 1 poll | |||||||
| KY Senate | Global Strategy Group★½ for Booker's campaignD sponsor | Aug 24–27 | 600 LV | Booker 40 · Barr 49 | R+9 | R 99% | fox56news.com ↗ |
| Wed, Aug 26 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Overton Insights for the Texas Public Policy Foundation, a conservative think tankR sponsor | Aug 24–26 | 1,167 LV | Talarico 44 · Paxton 43+1 version | D+1 | D 71% | overtoninsights.com ↗ |
| TN Senate | Targoz Market Research★ for the Beacon Center of Tennessee | Aug 15–26 | 1,157 RV | Bradshaw 31 · Hagerty 51 | R+20 | R >99% | tennsight.com ↗ |
| Tue, Aug 25 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MT Senate | Peak Insights for Alme's campaignR sponsor | Aug 23–25 | 600 LV | Bodnar 22 · Alme 44 | R+22 | R 98% | cdn.sanity.io ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 24 · 5 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Texas Public Opinion ResearchD sponsor | Aug 21–24 | 1,000 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 42 | D+6 | D 71% | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| MA Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Aug 20–24 | 881 LV | Markey 49 · Deaton 30 | D+19 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| NH Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Aug 20–24 | 1,878 LV | Pappas 43 · Sununu 45 | R+2 | D 96% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| RI Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Aug 20–24 | 750 LV | Reed 51 · McKay 31 | D+20 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| SC Senate | Impact Research★½ for Andrews's campaignD sponsor | Aug 18–24 | 700 LV | Andrews 41 · Graham 41 | Even | R 73% | drannieandrews.com ↗ |
| Sun, Aug 23 · 2 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Suffolk University★★½ | Aug 20–23 | 500 LV | Turek 41 · Hinson 45 | R+4 | D 52% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Aug 20–23 | 1,495 LV | Peltola 51 · Sullivan 49 | D+2 | D 52% | bsky.app ↗ |
| Sat, Aug 22 · 1 poll | |||||||
| SC Senate | Impact Research★½ for Andrews's campaignD sponsor | Aug 14–22 | 900 LV | Andrews 42 · Graham 39 | D+3 | R 73% | x.com ↗ |
| Thu, Aug 20 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Michigan State University/YouGov★★ | Aug 10–20 | 779 LV | El-Sayed 50 · Rogers 45+1 version | D+5 | D 78% | ippsr.msu.edu ↗ |
| Tue, Aug 18 · 3 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | Saint Anselm College★★½ | Aug 17–18 | 1,411 LV | Pappas 48 · Sununu 41 | D+7 | D 96% | anselm.edu ↗ |
| MN Senate | Deep Root AnalyticsR sponsor | Aug 17–18 | 597 RV | Flanagan 50 · Tafoya 45 | D+5 | D 87% | x.com ↗ |
| AR Senate | J.L. Partners★½ | Aug 14–18 | 803 LV | Shoffner 35 · Cotton 51 | R+16 | R 97% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 17 · 4 polls | |||||||
| GA Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Aug 16–17 | 800 LV | Ossoff 50 · Collins 43 | D+7 | D 96% | jamesmagazinega.com ↗ |
| MN Senate | KTSP/SurveyUSA★★½ | Aug 13–17 | 661 LV | Flanagan 46 · Tafoya 41 | D+5 | D 87% | kstp.com ↗ |
| SD Senate | Impact Research★½ for Bengs' campaignD sponsor | Aug 13–17 | 500 LV | Bengs 44 · Rounds 44 | Even | R 96% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | Susquehanna Polling & Research★★R sponsor | Aug 11–17 | 800 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 39 | D+7 | D 78% | realclearpolitics.com ↗ |
| Sun, Aug 16 · 1 poll | |||||||
| KS Senate | Global Strategy Group★½ for People over Politics ActionD sponsor | Aug 12–16 | 800 LV | Hamilton 44 · Marshall 43 | D+1 | R 56% | x.com ↗ |
| Sat, Aug 15 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MS Senate | Data for Progress★★ for Way to Lead PAC, which supports DemocratsD sponsor | Aug 5–15 | 1,018 LV | Colom 38 · Hyde-Smith 44+1 version | R+6 | R 94% | filesforprogress.org ↗ |
| Thu, Aug 13 · 3 polls | |||||||
| ID Senate | Peak Insights for Risch's campaignR sponsor | Aug 11–13 | 500 LV | Achilles 18 · Risch 52 | R+34 | R 99% | x.com ↗ |
| NE Senate | Impact Research★½ for Osborn's campaignD sponsor | Aug 9–13 | 600 LV | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 47 | Even | R 63% | omaha.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Aug 5–13 | 1,200 RV | Talarico 42 · Paxton 39 | D+3 | D 71% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Wed, Aug 12 · 3 polls | |||||||
| AR Senate | Hendrix College★★ for Talk Business & Politics | Aug 11–12 | 1,217 LV | Shoffner 47 · Cotton 44 | D+3 | R 97% | talkbusiness.net ↗ |
| MA Senate | UMass Amherst/YouGov★½ for WCVB | Aug 5–12 | 800 RV | Markey 51 · Deaton 30 | D+21 | D >99% | htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | High Point University/YouGov★★ | Aug 3–12 | 660 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 45+1 version | D+5 | D 98% | highpoint.edu ↗ |
| Tue, Aug 11 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Aug 9–11 | 877 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 47 | D+1 | D 78% | aarp.org ↗ |
| Mon, Aug 10 · 7 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Harper Polling★★ for The Carolina JournalR sponsor | Aug 9–10 | 600 LV | Cooper 52 · Whatley 39 | D+13 | D 98% | carolinajournal.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Emerson College★★½ | Aug 9–10 | 1,000 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 47 | R+1 | D 71% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | TIPP Insights★★ for the League of American Workers, a conservative advocacy group founded by Steve Cortes, former senior advisor to President Donald TrumpR sponsor | Aug 6–10 | 1,215 LV | El-Sayed 45 · Rogers 42+1 version | D+3 | D 78% | tippinsights.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | GBAO★½ for Senate Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD sponsor | Aug 6–10 | 800 LV | El-Sayed 50 · Rogers 44 | D+6 | D 78% | politico.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Aug 6–10 | 1,000 RV | Jackson 48 · Collins 46 | D+2 | D 68% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Aug 6–10 | 1,006 RV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 51 | R+4 | D 78% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Aug 6–10 | 1,008 RV | Brown 53 · Husted 45 | D+8 | D 69% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Sat, Aug 8 · 1 poll | |||||||
| KS Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Senate Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD sponsor | Aug 7–8 | 569 LV | Hamilton 45 · Marshall 46 | R+1 | R 56% | politico.com ↗ |
| Fri, Aug 7 · 1 poll | |||||||
| ID Senate | The Bullfinch Group★½ for Achilles's campaign | Aug 4–7 | 608 LV | Achilles 38 · Risch 33+1 version | D+5 | R 99% | thebullfinchgroup.com ↗ |
| Thu, Aug 6 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Change Research★★ for Carolina ForwardD sponsor | Aug 3–6 | 915 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 43 | D+7 | D 98% | carolinaforward.org ↗ |
| OK Senate | CHS & Associates | Aug 3–6 | 500 RV | Thomas 25 · Hern 49 | R+24 | R >99% | chs-inc.com ↗ |
| Wed, Aug 5 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Aug 2–5 | 1,371 LV | Peltola 51 · Sullivan 49 | D+2 | D 52% | bsky.app ↗ |
| Tue, Aug 4 · 4 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Emerson College★★½ | Aug 2–4 | 712 LV | Turek 45 · Hinson 48 | R+3 | D 52% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| MT Senate | Hart Research for Forward Montana, which supports BodnarD sponsor | Aug 1–4 | 800 LV | Bodnar 30 · Alme 45 | R+15 | R 98% | forwardmontana.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Tulchin Research★★ for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney GeneralD sponsor | Jul 29–Aug 4 | 600 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 43 | D+4 | D 69% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| AK Senate | Data for Progress★★D sponsor | Jul 28–Aug 4 | 578 LV | Peltola 52 · Sullivan 48+2 versions | D+4 | D 52% | dataforprogress.org ↗ |
| Sat, Aug 1 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Change Research★★D sponsor | Jul 29–Aug 1 | 967 V | Cooper 50 · Whatley 41 | D+9 | D 98% | garypearcenc.substack.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | Hart Research for Senate Majority PAC, which is focused on electing Democrats to the U.SD sponsor | Jul 27–Aug 1 | 802 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 45 | D+4 | D 68% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Fri, Jul 31 · 4 polls | |||||||
| MI Senate | EPIC-MRA★★½ for MIRS News | Jul 24–31 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 43 · Rogers 46 | R+3 | D 78% | ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net ↗ |
| NC Senate | Elon University/YouGov★½ | Jul 23–31 | 466 LV | Cooper 53 · Whatley 42+2 versions | D+11 | D 98% | eloncdn.blob.core.windows.net ↗ |
| TX Senate | YouGov Blue for 254 LabsD sponsor | Jul 15–31 | 1,001 RV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 45 | D+3 | D 71% | 254labs.io ↗ |
| NE Senate | GBAO★½ for Working Class Majority PAC, which supports OsbornD sponsor | Jul 1–31 | V | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 47 | Even | R 63% | static.washingtonsun.com ↗ |
| Thu, Jul 30 · 4 polls | |||||||
| MI Senate | SoCal Strategies★★ for Red Eagle PoliticsR sponsor | Jul 28–30 | 640 LV | El-Sayed 41 · Rogers 42 | R+1 | D 78% | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
| ID Senate | Change Research★★ for John Stegner, Independent candidate for governorD sponsor | Jul 28–30 | 1,213 LV | Achilles 21 · Risch 45 | R+24 | R 99% | docs.google.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Texas Southern University | Jul 27–30 | 1,200 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 45 | D+2 | D 71% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University★★½ | Jul 27–30 | 619 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 43 | D+4 | D 71% | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Wed, Jul 29 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Mitchell Research & Communications★★ | Jul 28–29 | 672 LV | El-Sayed 45 · Rogers 45 | Even | D 78% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| Mon, Jul 27 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MT Senate | Tavern ResearchD sponsor | Jul 23–27 | 517 LV | Bodnar 25 · Alme 49+3 versions | R+24 | R 98% | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| NC Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jul 23–27 | 1,005 RV | Cooper 53 · Whatley 44 | D+9 | D 98% | foxnews.com ↗ |
Margin: the poll's lead (D − R; approve − disapprove for approval). Forecast: the race's chance in today's forecast, which averages polls after adjusting for each pollster's house effect and track record. Stars: our pollster rating, three is best. Sponsor: polls paid for by a party or campaign are released selectively, and the forecast adjusts for that.