Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
SoCal Strategies
6 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 3 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Sep 13, 2026.
- Polls
- 65 in 3 races · 1 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+1.6Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- RMost of its polls were paid for by a Republican party or campaign
Its polls run 1.6 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Sep 12–Sep 13 | 649 LV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 45 | D+5 | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas GovernorR-sponsored | Sep 12–Sep 13 | 649 LV | Hinojosa 44 · Abbott 52 | R+8 | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Red Eagle PoliticsR-sponsored | Jul 28–Jul 30 | 640 LV | El-Sayed 41 · Rogers 42 | R+1 | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Red Eagle Politics, which supports PaxtonR-sponsored | Jun 21–Jun 21 | 800 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 49 | R+2 | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor for Red Eagle Politics, a conservative online content creatorR-sponsored | Jun 21–Jun 21 | 800 LV | Hinojosa 42 · Abbott 54 | R+12 | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19–Aug 19 for Red Eagle Politics & On Point Politics, both of which support RepublicansR-sponsored | 700 A | 42 | 37 | D+5 | substack.com ↗ |