Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Tavern Research
19 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 10 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Sep 17, 2026.
- Polls
- 1918 in 10 races · 1 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+2.3Against other polls, in today's forecast
- Sponsorship
- DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign
Its polls run 2.3 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California's 11th District for Jobs And Democracy super PAC, which supports WienerD-sponsored | Sep 15–Sep 17 | 658 LV | Wiener 45 · R — | — | politico.com ↗ |
| California's 11th District for Jobs And Democracy super PAC, which supports WienerD-sponsored | Sep 15–Sep 17 | 658 LV | Wiener 53 · R — | — | politico.com ↗ |
| Florida's 22nd DistrictD-sponsored | Aug 10–Aug 12 | 551 LV | Dandiya 50 · Askar 50 | Even | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| Ohio's 7th DistrictD-sponsored | Aug 4–Aug 5 | 635 LV | Poindexter 54 · Miller 46 | D+8 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MontanaD-sponsored | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 517 LV | Bodnar 25 · Alme 49 | R+24 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MontanaD-sponsored | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 517 LV | Bodnar 27 · Alme 49 | R+22 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MontanaD-sponsored | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 517 LV | Bodnar — · Alme 59 | — | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MontanaD-sponsored | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 517 LV | Bodnar — · Alme 56 | — | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MontanaD-sponsored | Jun 16–Jun 19 | 400 LV | Bodnar 24 · Alme 49 | R+25 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in MontanaD-sponsored | Jun 16–Jun 19 | 400 LV | Bodnar — · Alme 56 | — | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| Wisconsin's 6th DistrictD-sponsored | May 18–May 28 | 437 LV | Smith 39 · Grothman 61 | R+22 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large DistrictD-sponsored | May 18–May 27 | 452 LV | Hill 48 · III 52 | R+4 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| Washington's 5th District for Working Class Heroes Fund PAC, which is affiliated with Nate Powell's campaignD-sponsored | May 18–May 25 | 578 LV | Conroy 47 · Baumgartner 53 | R+6 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| Nebraska's 1st DistrictD-sponsored | May 16–May 19 | 1,079 LV | Backemeyer 33 · Flood 41 | R+8 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| Nebraska's 1st DistrictD-sponsored | May 16–May 19 | 1,079 LV | Backemeyer 43 · Flood 45 | R+2 | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in NebraskaD-sponsored | May 8–May 11 | 1,165 LV | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 42 | D+5 | tavernresearch.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in KansasD-sponsored | Jan 26–Jan 28 | 1,013 LV | Hamilton 46 · Marshall 54 | R+8 | sunflowerstatejournal.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in KansasD-sponsored | Jan 26–Jan 28 | 1,013 LV | Hamilton 51 · Marshall 49 | D+2 | sunflowerstatejournal.com ↗ |
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6–Apr 9D-sponsored | 502 LV | 44 | 43 | D+1 | tavernresearch.com ↗ |