Pollsters · Updated Oct 20, 2026
ReconMR/Siena University
6 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Oct 8, 2026.
- Polls
- 66 in 4 races
- Rating
- ★★½2.3 of 3 stars
- House effect, 2026
- D+3.1Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- D+1.0Against other polls of the same races
Rated as Siena College, its polling partner. Based on 68 polls of 61 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2002 to 2024: they missed the final margin by 6.7 points on average, 0.7 points less than other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 3.1 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
In past elections its polls ran 1.0 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 617 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 44 | D+4 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 617 LV | Hinojosa 47 · Abbott 48 | R+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Talarico 49 · Paxton 43 | D+6 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 45 | D+4 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Goodwin 47 · Patrick 46 | D+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Johnson 44 · Middleton 45 | R+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |