2026 forecast · Updated Oct 21, 2026
Polls
1,897 public polls of 2026 races, the generic ballot and Trump approval from 272 pollsters, newest first. Each links to its race, its pollster and its original release. All pollsters and their ratings →
Most active, last 30 days: University of New Hampshire 18 · YouGov 17 · New York Times/Siena College 16 · InsiderAdvantage 15 · Marist College 15 · ActiVote 14 · co/efficient 14 · Trafalgar Group 12 · All 272 pollsters →
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Forecast | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Jul 27 · 1 poll | |||||||
| TX Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jul 23–27 | 1,005 RV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 48 | D+3 | D 71% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Sun, Jul 26 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MT Senate | GQR★½ for Contours IncD sponsor | Jul 23–26 | 500 LV | Bodnar 27 · Alme 41+2 versions | R+14 | R 98% | gelliottmorris.com ↗ |
| Sat, Jul 25 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AR Senate | 2040 Strategy Group for Shoffner's campaignD sponsor | Jul 17–25 | 586 LV | Shoffner 43 · Cotton 46 | R+3 | R 97% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Fri, Jul 24 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Glengariff Group★★ | Jul 22–24 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 39 · Rogers 49 | R+10 | D 78% | mea.org ↗ |
| Wed, Jul 22 · 1 poll | |||||||
| LA Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Davis' campaignD sponsor | Jul 21–22 | 518 RV | Davis 37 · Letlow 41 | R+4 | R 96% | bayouprogressive.com ↗ |
| Mon, Jul 20 · 1 poll | |||||||
| ME Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jul 15–20 | 1,178 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 46 | D+3 | D 68% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| Fri, Jul 17 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Texas Public Opinion ResearchD sponsor | Jul 15–17 | 1,048 LV | Talarico 45 · Paxton 40 | D+5 | D 71% | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | University of North Florida★★ | Jul 8–17 | 848 LV | Nixon 42 · Moody 50 | R+8 | R 84% | unfporl.org ↗ |
| Thu, Jul 16 · 2 polls | |||||||
| GA Senate | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Jul 13–16 | 1,060 LV | Ossoff 52 · Collins 43 | D+9 | D 96% | aarp.org ↗ |
| MT Senate | Bullfinch Group★½R sponsor | Jul 13–16 | 793 LV | Bodnar 24 · Alme 36 | R+12 | R 98% | x.com ↗ |
| Mon, Jul 13 · 1 poll | |||||||
| KS Senate | GBAO★½ for Hamilton's campaignD sponsor | Jul 8–13 | 600 LV | Hamilton 43 · Marshall 47 | R+4 | R 56% | politico.com ↗ |
| Sat, Jul 11 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Public Policy Polling★★D sponsor | Jul 10–11 | 759 LV | Cooper 48 · Whatley 44 | D+4 | D 98% | publicpolicypolling.com ↗ |
| AL Senate | yes. every kid. | Jul 8–11 | 601 LV | Wess 32 · Moore 47 | R+15 | R >99% | yeseverykidfoundation.org ↗ |
| Thu, Jul 9 · 1 poll | |||||||
| SD Senate | Public Opinion Strategies★★ for the NRSCR sponsor | Jul 6–9 | 500 LV | Bengs 33 · Rounds 56 | R+23 | R 96% | townhall.com ↗ |
| Wed, Jul 8 · 1 poll | |||||||
| ME Senate | Z to A Research for a pro-Shah groupD sponsor | Jul 7–8 | 988 LV | Jackson 47 · Collins 48 | R+1 | D 68% | notus.org ↗ |
| Tue, Jul 7 · 1 poll | |||||||
| ME Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Platner's campaignD sponsor | Jul 7 | 785 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 44 | D+5 | D 68% | politico.com ↗ |
| Tue, Jun 30 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MI Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Jun 29–30 | 947 LV | El-Sayed 45 · Rogers 44 | D+1 | D 78% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| GA Senate | Wick★★ | Jun 27–30 | 1,175 LV | Ossoff 47 · Collins 43 | D+4 | D 96% | wick.io ↗ |
| Mon, Jun 29 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AK Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–29 | 593 LV | Peltola 45 · Sullivan 47 | R+2 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Sun, Jun 28 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | A2 Insights | Jun 23–28 | 618 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 46 | D+2 | D 71% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–28 | 601 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 50 | R+3 | D 69% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Sat, Jun 27 · 6 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | Peak Insights for the NRSCR sponsor | Jun 24–27 | 500 LV | Pappas 43 · Sununu 42 | D+1 | D 96% | nrsc.org ↗ |
| GA Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jun 23–27 | 1,002 RV | Ossoff 56 · Collins 43 | D+13 | D 96% | static.foxnews.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Jun 23–27 | 1,003 RV | Turek 50 · Hinson 46 | D+4 | D 52% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 19–27 | 656 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 47 | Even | D 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–27 | 600 LV | Turek 46 · Hinson 48 | R+2 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–27 | 601 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 43 | D+7 | D 98% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Thu, Jun 25 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NH Senate | Saint Anselm College★★½ | Jun 24–25 | 1,614 RV | Pappas 47 · Sununu 41 | D+6 | D 96% | anselm.edu ↗ |
| Wed, Jun 24 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MT Senate | GrayHouseR sponsor | Jun 23–24 | 500 RV | Bodnar 17 · Alme 41 | R+24 | R 98% | insideelections.com ↗ |
| MT Senate | Hart Research for The Majority Institute, a research firm that supports DemocratsD sponsor | Jun 18–24 | 800 LV | Bodnar 25 · Alme 47+1 version | R+22 | R 98% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Tue, Jun 23 · 3 polls | |||||||
| MA Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 623 LV | Markey 50 · Deaton 34 | D+16 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| NH Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 2,232 LV | Pappas 47 · Sununu 44 | D+3 | D 96% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| RI Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Jun 18–23 | 664 LV | Reed 52 · McKay 35 | D+17 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| Mon, Jun 22 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Data for Progress★★ for the Working Families Party, which supports El-SayedD sponsor | Jun 15–22 | 709 LV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 46 | D+1 | D 78% | workingfamilies.org ↗ |
| Sun, Jun 21 · 1 poll | |||||||
| TX Senate | SoCal Strategies★★ for Red Eagle Politics, which supports PaxtonR sponsor | Jun 21 | 800 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 49 | R+2 | D 71% | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
| Fri, Jun 19 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MT Senate | Tavern ResearchD sponsor | Jun 16–19 | 400 LV | Bodnar 24 · Alme 49+1 version | R+25 | R 98% | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
| IA Senate | Cygnal★★★ for Iowans for Tax ReliefR sponsor | Jun 16–19 | 600 LV | Turek 44 · Hinson 46 | R+2 | D 52% | taxrelief.org ↗ |
| Tue, Jun 16 · 2 polls | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Jun 14–16 | 800 LV | Brown 48 · Husted 45 | D+3 | D 69% | aarp.org ↗ |
| VA Senate | The Public Sentiment Institute | Jun 12–16 | 996 LV | Warner 51 · Mizusawa 33 | D+18 | D >99% | tpsiofficial.substack.com ↗ |
| Sun, Jun 14 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Zenith Research for Common Defense, which supports El-SayedD sponsor | Jun 11–14 | 602 LV | El-Sayed 45 · Rogers 42 | D+3 | D 78% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Sat, Jun 13 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Mitchell Research & Communications★★ for MIRS News | Jun 11–13 | 827 LV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 42 | D+5 | D 78% | realclearpolitics.com ↗ |
| Fri, Jun 12 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MA Senate | Suffolk University★★½ for The Boston Globe | Jun 8–12 | 500 LV | Markey 55 · Deaton 30 | D+25 | D >99% | bostonglobe.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Jun 5–12 | 1,200 RV | Talarico 42 · Paxton 43 | R+1 | D 71% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Thu, Jun 11 · 2 polls | |||||||
| MT Senate | Public Opinion Strategies★★ for The Political Company, a consulting firm that supports RepublicansR sponsor | Jun 8–11 | 500 LV | Bodnar 20 · Alme 44 | R+24 | R 98% | cdn.sanity.io ↗ |
| IA Senate | Global Strategy Group★½ for Turek's campaignD sponsor | Jun 8–11 | 1,000 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 45 | D+2 | D 52% | politico.com ↗ |
| Wed, Jun 10 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NC Senate | Catawba College/YouGov★★ | Jun 1–10 | 905 LV | Cooper 48 · Whatley 34 | D+14 | D 98% | catawba.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Jun 7 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Jun 4–7 | 1,393 LV | Peltola 49 · Sullivan 44 | D+5 | D 52% | bsky.app ↗ |
| Thu, Jun 4 · 5 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Quantus Insights | Jun 3–4 | 800 LV | Talarico 43 · Paxton 45 | R+2 | D 71% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| IA Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for the DSCCD sponsor | Jun 3–4 | 557 RV | Turek 46 · Hinson 46 | Even | D 52% | politico.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Tulchin Research★★ for Fighting for Michigan, a pro-El-Sayed super PACD sponsor | Jun 2–4 | 500 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 41 | D+5 | D 78% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Tulchin Research★★ for John Kulewicz, Democratic candidate for Attorney GeneralD sponsor | Jun 2–4 | 600 LV | Brown 46 · Husted 42 | D+4 | D 69% | nbc4i.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University★★½ | Jun 1–4 | 807 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 46 | Even | D 71% | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Mon, Jun 1 · 2 polls | |||||||
| ID Senate | The Bullfinch Group★½ for Achilles's campaign | May 29–Jun 1 | 774 RV | Achilles 36 · Risch 40 | R+4 | R 99% | thebullfinchgroup.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | May 28–Jun 1 | 1,015 RV | Brown 53 · Husted 45 | D+8 | D 69% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Sat, May 30 · 1 poll | |||||||
| SD Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Bengs' campaignD sponsor | May 29–30 | 726 RV | Bengs 40 · Rounds 44 | R+4 | R 96% | hub.nationaljournal.com ↗ |
| Thu, May 28 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Texas Public Opinion ResearchD sponsor | May 27–28 | 1,670 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 44 | D+3 | D 71% | mailchi.mp ↗ |
| MN Senate | Impact Research★½ for Craig's campaignD sponsor | May 26–28 | 808 LV | Flanagan 51 · Tafoya 44 | D+7 | D 87% | x.com ↗ |
| Sat, May 23 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Lone Star Rising PAC, which supports TalaricoD sponsor | May 22–23 | 643 RV | Talarico 45 · Paxton 38 | D+7 | D 71% | static.politico.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | TIPP Insights★★ for the League of American Workers, a conservative advocacy group founded by Steve Cortes, former senior advisor to President Donald TrumpR sponsor | May 20–23 | 1,163 LV | El-Sayed 43 · Rogers 42+1 version | D+1 | D 78% | tippinsights.com ↗ |
| Sun, May 17 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | May 14–17 | 1,401 LV | Peltola 48 · Sullivan 44 | D+4 | D 52% | bsky.app ↗ |
| Mon, May 11 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Harper Polling★★R sponsor | May 10–11 | 600 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 39 | D+11 | D 98% | bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com ↗ |
| NE Senate | Tavern ResearchD sponsor | May 8–11 | 1,165 LV | Osborn 47 · Ricketts 42 | D+5 | R 63% | tavernresearch.com ↗ |
| Fri, May 8 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NC Senate | Change Research★★ for Carolina ForwardD sponsor | May 4–8 | 957 LV | Cooper 49 · Whatley 42 | D+7 | D 98% | carolinaforward.org ↗ |
| Thu, May 7 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Mitchell Research★★ for MIRS News | May 1–7 | 607 LV | El-Sayed 41 · Rogers 42 | R+1 | D 78% | realclearpolitics.com ↗ |
| Wed, May 6 · 1 poll | |||||||
| TX Senate | Texas Southern University | Apr 22–May 6 | 1,223 LV | Talarico 45 · Paxton 45 | Even | D 71% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| Tue, May 5 · 1 poll | |||||||
| VA Senate | The Public Sentiment Institute/Virginia ProjectR sponsor | May 1–5 | 1,047 LV | Warner 55 · Mizusawa 29 | D+26 | D >99% | tpsiofficial.substack.com ↗ |
| Fri, May 1 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MI Senate | Glengariff Group★★ for The Detroit Regional Chamber | Apr 28–May 1 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 40 · Rogers 45+1 version | R+5 | D 78% | detroitchamber.com ↗ |
| Thu, Apr 30 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NE Senate | GBAO★½ for Working Class Majority PAC, which supports OsbornD sponsor | Apr 1–30 | V | Osborn 46 · Ricketts 45 | D+1 | R 63% | static.washingtonsun.com ↗ |
| Fri, Apr 24 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NC Senate | Opinion DiagnosticsR sponsor | Apr 21–24 | 830 V | Cooper 50 · Whatley 41 | D+9 | D 98% | thecentersquare.com ↗ |
| Tue, Apr 21 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NH Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Apr 17–21 | 1,295 LV | Pappas 49 · Sununu 42 | D+7 | D 96% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| Mon, Apr 20 · 4 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | Texas Public Opinion ResearchD sponsor | Apr 17–20 | 1,018 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 41 | D+5 | D 71% | texastribune.org ↗ |
| MA Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Apr 16–20 | 603 LV | Markey 55 · Deaton 32 | D+23 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| RI Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Apr 16–20 | 556 LV | Reed 52 · McKay 34 | D+18 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| TX Senate | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | Apr 10–20 | 1,200 RV | Talarico 42 · Paxton 34 | D+8 | D 71% | texaspolitics.utexas.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Apr 19 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Apr 16–19 | 1,946 LV | Peltola 49 · Sullivan 43 | D+6 | D 52% | alaskasurveyresearch.com ↗ |
| Tue, Apr 14 · 1 poll | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | Bowling Green State University/YouGov★½ | Apr 7–14 | 1,000 RV | Brown 47 · Husted 50 | R+3 | D 69% | scholarworks.bgsu.edu ↗ |
| Mon, Apr 13 · 1 poll | |||||||
| FL Senate (special) | Stetson University★½ | Mar 15–Apr 13 | 848 LV | Nixon 38 · Moody 51 | R+13 | R 84% | www2.stetson.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Apr 12 · 1 poll | |||||||
| MS Senate | Impact Research★½ for the SPLC Action Fund, which opposes Hyde-SmithD sponsor | Apr 8–12 | 500 LV | Colom 39 · Hyde-Smith 42+1 version | R+3 | R 94% | splcactionfund.org ↗ |
| Thu, Apr 9 · 3 polls | |||||||
| GA Senate | Echelon Insights★★½ for NetChoiceR sponsor | Apr 3–9 | 407 LV | Ossoff 51 · Collins 44 | D+7 | D 96% | netchoice.org ↗ |
| IA Senate | Echelon Insights★★½ for NetChoiceR sponsor | Apr 3–9 | 377 LV | Turek 46 · Hinson 45 | D+1 | D 52% | netchoice.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Echelon Insights★★½ for NetChoiceR sponsor | Apr 3–9 | 413 LV | Brown 45 · Husted 51 | R+6 | D 69% | netchoice.org ↗ |
| Mon, Apr 6 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NC Senate | High Point University/YouGov★★ | Mar 26–Apr 6 | 703 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 42+1 version | D+8 | D 98% | highpoint.edu ↗ |
| Wed, Apr 1 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NC Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Mar 31–Apr 1 | 987 LV | Cooper 49 · Whatley 44 | D+5 | D 98% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| Tue, Mar 31 · 1 poll | |||||||
| FL Senate (special) | Emerson College★★½ | Mar 29–31 | 1,125 LV | Nixon 36 · Moody 47 | R+11 | R 84% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| Mon, Mar 23 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Harper Polling★★ for The Carolina JournalR sponsor | Mar 22–23 | 600 LV | Cooper 49 · Whatley 41 | D+8 | D 98% | carolinajournal.com ↗ |
| NH Senate | Emerson College★★½ | Mar 21–23 | 1,000 LV | Pappas 45 · Sununu 44 | D+1 | D 96% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| Sun, Mar 22 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Mar 19–22 | 1,590 LV | Peltola 49 · Sullivan 44 | D+5 | D 52% | alaskasurveyresearch.com ↗ |
| Wed, Mar 18 · 2 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | Saint Anselm College★★½ | Mar 16–18 | 1,491 RV | Pappas 46 · Sununu 43 | D+3 | D 96% | anselm.edu ↗ |
| NC Senate | Catawba College/YouGov★★ | Mar 9–18 | 1,000 LV | Cooper 48 · Whatley 34 | D+14 | D 98% | catawba.edu ↗ |
| Tue, Mar 17 · 2 polls | |||||||
| ID Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for Achilles's campaign | Mar 16–17 | 639 RV | Achilles 34 · Risch 48 | R+14 | R 99% | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| TX Senate | Impact Research★½ for Talarico's campaignD sponsor | Mar 12–17 | 900 LV | Talarico 44 · Paxton 43 | D+1 | D 71% | politico.com ↗ |
| Mon, Mar 16 · 1 poll | |||||||
| IA Senate | GQR★½ for Turek's campaignD sponsor | Mar 10–16 | 1,200 LV | Turek 43 · Hinson 47 | R+4 | D 52% | politico.com ↗ |
| Sat, Mar 14 · 2 polls | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Mar 13–14 | 784 LV | Brown 44 · Husted 46 | R+2 | D 69% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| NC Senate | Public Policy Polling★★D sponsor | Mar 13–14 | 556 V | Cooper 47 · Whatley 44 | D+3 | D 98% | publicpolicypolling.com ↗ |
| Mon, Mar 9 · 1 poll | |||||||
| NC Senate | Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners Solutions for Healthier United | Mar 8–9 | 800 RV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 32 | D+18 | D 98% | carolinajournal.com ↗ |
| Sun, Mar 8 · 1 poll | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | OnMessage Public Strategies for the Insurance Watchdog CoalitionR sponsor | Mar 3–8 | 600 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 45 | D+2 | D 69% | politico.com ↗ |
| Thu, Mar 5 · 1 poll | |||||||
| TX Senate | Public Policy Polling★★ for the Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidates for U.SD sponsor | Mar 4–5 | 576 V | Talarico 47 · Paxton 45 | D+2 | D 71% | punchbowl.news ↗ |
| Mon, Mar 2 · 2 polls | |||||||
| GA Senate | Emerson College★★½ for Nexstar Media | Feb 28–Mar 2 | 1,000 LV | Ossoff 48 · Collins 43 | D+5 | D 96% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | University of North Florida★★ | Feb 21–Mar 2 | 786 LV | Nixon 38 · Moody 46 | R+8 | R 84% | orlandosentinel.com ↗ |
| Sun, Feb 22 · 1 poll | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | EMC Research★½ for Ohio Environmental Council, an environmental organizationD sponsor | Feb 10–22 | 1,343 LV | Brown 51 · Husted 47 | D+4 | D 69% | theoec.org ↗ |
Margin: the poll's lead (D − R; approve − disapprove for approval). Forecast: the race's chance in today's forecast, which averages polls after adjusting for each pollster's house effect and track record. Stars: our pollster rating, three is best. Sponsor: polls paid for by a party or campaign are released selectively, and the forecast adjusts for that.