Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026

2040 Strategy Group

1 public poll in the 2026 cycle, across 1 race. Latest: Jul 25, 2026.

Polls
11 in 1 race
538 rating
—Not rated by 538
House effect
D+1.5Against other polls, in today's forecast
Sponsorship
DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign

Its polls run 1.5 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.

Race polls

Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.

RaceDatesSampleResultMarginSource
U.S. Senate in Arkansas for Shoffner's campaignD-sponsoredJul 17–Jul 25586 LVShoffner 43 · Cotton 46R+3drive.google.com ↗