2026 forecast · Updated Oct 21, 2026
Polls
1,897 public polls of 2026 races, the generic ballot and Trump approval from 272 pollsters, newest first. Each links to its race, its pollster and its original release. All pollsters and their ratings →
Most active, last 30 days: University of New Hampshire 18 · YouGov 17 · New York Times/Siena College 16 · InsiderAdvantage 15 · Marist College 15 · ActiVote 14 · co/efficient 14 · Trafalgar Group 12 · All 272 pollsters →
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Forecast | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30 · 6 polls | |||||||
| AK Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 758 LV | Peltola 46 · Sullivan 46+2 versions | Even | D 52% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| ID Senate | Peak Insights for Risch's campaignR sponsor | Sep 28–30 | 500 LV | Achilles 24 · Risch 49 | R+25 | R 99% | x.com ↗ |
| NM Senate | SurveyUSA★★½ for KOB-TV | Sep 25–30 | 567 LV | Luján 54 · Marker 36 | D+18 | D >99% | results.surveyusa.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–30 | 605 LV | Hamilton 45 · Marshall 45+1 version | Even | R 56% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 21–30 | 615 LV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 45 | D+6 | D 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | YouGov★★ | Sep 18–30 | 3,780 LV | Brown 49 · Husted 45 | D+4 | D 69% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 29 · 8 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | Saint Anselm College★★½ for AARP | Sep 28–29 | 1,042 LV | Pappas 51 · Sununu 44 | D+7 | D 96% | aarp.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★ | Sep 28–29 | 1,128 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 45 | D+1 | D 71% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 28–29 | 738 LV | Turek 46 · Hinson 47+2 versions | R+1 | D 52% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| MN Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 28–29 | 1,200 LV | Flanagan 46 · Tafoya 45 | D+1 | D 87% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 28–29 | 1,200 LV | Brown 44 · Husted 43 | D+1 | D 69% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| SC Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 28–29 | 1,200 LV | Andrews 45 · Graham 46 | R+1 | R 73% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | Big Data Poll★½ | Sep 27–29 | 642 LV | Cooper 47 · Whatley 35+3 versions | D+12 | D 98% | bigdatapoll.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | Maine People's Resource Center★★ | Sep 25–29 | 684 LV | Jackson 49 · Collins 47 | D+2 | D 68% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| Mon, Sep 28 · 5 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Sep 24–28 | 1,008 LV | Turek 49 · Hinson 47+1 version | D+2 | D 52% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Sep 24–28 | 1,028 LV | El-Sayed 50 · Rogers 49+1 version | D+1 | D 78% | foxnews.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research★★ for Fox News | Sep 24–28 | 881 LV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 49+1 version | D+2 | D 71% | static.foxnews.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Guidant Polling & Strategy for Public First ActionR sponsor | Sep 20–28 | 800 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 44 | D+3 | D 71% | static01.nyt.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | UMass Lowell/YouGov★★ | Sep 18–28 | 850 LV | Talarico 45 · Paxton 45 | Even | D 71% | uml.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Sep 27 · 10 polls | |||||||
| NH Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 26–27 | 1,082 LV | Pappas 47 · Sununu 41 | D+6 | D 96% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Big Data Poll★½ for the Public Polling ProjectR sponsor | Sep 26–27 | 680 LV | Brown 46 · Husted 41+3 versions | D+5 | D 69% | bigdatapoll.com ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Change Research★★ for Freedom Project USAD sponsor | Sep 25–27 | 1,063 LV | Nixon 47 · Moody 48 | R+1 | R 84% | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| SD Senate | Zenith Research for Bengs' campaign | Sep 24–27 | 500 LV | Bengs 38 · Rounds 44+1 version | R+6 | R 96% | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| MI Senate | The Tyson Group★★ for Alliance for a Better FutureR sponsor | Sep 24–27 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 44 · Rogers 43 | D+1 | D 78% | betterfutureai.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | Pulse Decision Science for Paxton's campaignR sponsor | Sep 24–27 | 800 LV | Talarico 45 · Paxton 48 | R+3 | D 71% | x.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Marist University★★ | Sep 24–27 | 1,235 RV | El-Sayed 51 · Rogers 44 | D+7 | D 78% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Marist University★★ | Sep 24–27 | 1,298 RV | Brown 51 · Husted 43 | D+8 | D 69% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Suffolk University★★½ for USA Today | Sep 23–27 | 500 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 44 | D+3 | D 69% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| MI Senate | Guidant Polling & Strategy for Public First Action | Sep 20–27 | 800 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 43+1 version | D+5 | D 78% | static01.nyt.com ↗ |
| Sat, Sep 26 · 1 poll | |||||||
| TX Senate | Big Data Poll★½ for the Public Polling Project | Sep 24–26 | 698 LV | Talarico 45 · Paxton 42+3 versions | D+3 | D 71% | bigdatapoll.com ↗ |
| Fri, Sep 25 · 2 polls | |||||||
| SC Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 23–25 | 1,087 LV | Andrews 42 · Graham 43 | R+1 | R 73% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| AL Senate | RMG Research★★ for Alabama Policy ActionR sponsor | Sep 21–25 | 800 RV | Wess 33 · Moore 54 | R+21 | R >99% | yellowhammernews.com ↗ |
| Thu, Sep 24 · 4 polls | |||||||
| AK Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 22–24 | 1,079 LV | Peltola 46 · Sullivan 47 | R+1 | D 52% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | Stratus Intelligence for Texans for a Conservative MajorityR sponsor | Sep 22–24 | 856 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 48 | Even | D 71% | politico.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Big Data Poll★½ for the Public Polling ProjectR sponsor | Sep 22–24 | 678 LV | El-Sayed 46 · Rogers 40+2 versions | D+6 | D 78% | bigdatapoll.com ↗ |
| MT Senate | American Pulse Research for KULR-TV | Sep 19–24 | 604 LV | Bodnar 26 · Alme 45 | R+19 | R 98% | montanarightnow.com ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 23 · 7 polls | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 22–23 | 1,115 LV | Brown 46 · Husted 43 | D+3 | D 69% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| GA Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 22–23 | 1,200 LV | Ossoff 50 · Collins 42 | D+8 | D 96% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 22–23 | 1,200 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 46 | D+1 | D 52% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 22–23 | 1,200 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 46 | Even | D 68% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 21–23 | 843 LV | El-Sayed 45 · Rogers 45+1 version | Even | D 78% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 21–23 | 695 LV | Brown 46 · Husted 45+1 version | D+1 | D 69% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| GA Senate | Big Data Poll★½ for the Public Polling ProjectR sponsor | Sep 21–23 | 678 LV | Ossoff 52 · Collins 41+2 versions | D+11 | D 96% | bigdatapoll.com ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 22 · 8 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 21–22 | 686 LV | Cooper 48 · Whatley 43 | D+5 | D 98% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Sep 20–22 | 982 LV | Jackson 50 · Collins 47 | D+3 | D 68% | aarp.org ↗ |
| TX Senate | Texas Public Opinion ResearchD sponsor | Sep 19–22 | 1,007 LV | Talarico 49 · Paxton 44 | D+5 | D 71% | texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | GBAO★½D sponsor | Sep 19–22 | 800 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 44 | D+4 | D 78% | politico.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 15–22 | 619 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 49 | R+3 | D 68% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 15–22 | 605 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 44 | D+5 | D 78% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| NH Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 15–22 | 613 LV | Pappas 50 · Sununu 45 | D+5 | D 96% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| MA Senate | MassINC Polling Group★★ | Sep 14–22 | 800 LV | Markey 52 · Deaton 26+1 version | D+26 | D >99% | commonwealthbeacon.org ↗ |
| Mon, Sep 21 · 7 polls | |||||||
| FL Senate (special) | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 20–21 | 600 LV | Nixon 42 · Moody 49 | R+7 | R 84% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Cygnal/Beacon Research★★★ for Michigan Enjoyer | Sep 18–21 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 45 · Rogers 40 | D+5 | D 78% | enjoyer.com ↗ |
| MA Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Sep 17–21 | 564 LV | Markey 53 · Deaton 30 | D+23 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| ME Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Sep 17–21 | 1,312 LV | Jackson 51 · Collins 47 | D+4 | D 68% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| NH Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Sep 17–21 | 1,418 LV | Pappas 50 · Sununu 42 | D+8 | D 96% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| RI Senate | University of New Hampshire★½ | Sep 17–21 | 595 LV | Reed 53 · McKay 33 | D+20 | D >99% | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | Stetson University★½ | Sep 14–21 | 830 LV | Nixon 40 · Moody 51 | R+11 | R 84% | stetson.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Sep 20 · 5 polls | |||||||
| NC Senate | Opinion Diagnostics for Common Cause North Carolina | Sep 17–20 | 857 LV | Cooper 51 · Whatley 41+1 version | D+10 | D 98% | commoncause.org ↗ |
| IA Senate | Marist University★★ | Sep 17–20 | 1,050 RV | Turek 50 · Hinson 42 | D+8 | D 52% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| TX Senate | Marist University★★ | Sep 17–20 | 1,139 RV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 44 | D+6 | D 71% | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| NC Senate | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research★★ for AARP | Sep 17–20 | 1,806 LV | Cooper 53 · Whatley 42 | D+11 | D 98% | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| MI Senate | Suffolk University★★½ | Sep 16–20 | 500 LV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 40 | D+7 | D 78% | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| Sat, Sep 19 · 3 polls | |||||||
| LA Senate | Hart Research Associates for Davis' campaignD sponsor | Sep 17–19 | 500 LV | Davis 44 · Letlow 48 | R+4 | R 96% | bsky.app ↗ |
| MI Senate | Torchlight Strategies for Common Sense for America PAC, which supports RepublicansR sponsor | Sep 15–19 | 643 LV | El-Sayed 43 · Rogers 44 | R+1 | D 78% | washingtonreporter.news ↗ |
| TX Senate | Texas Southern University | Sep 15–19 | 1,800 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 46 | D+1 | D 71% | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| Fri, Sep 18 · 3 polls | |||||||
| IA Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 16–18 | 1,089 LV | Turek 42 · Hinson 44 | R+2 | D 52% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| GA Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 15–18 | 3,301 LV | Ossoff 52 · Collins 42+2 versions | D+10 | D 96% | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| NC Senate | YouGov★★ | Sep 15–18 | 3,742 LV | Cooper 53 · Whatley 41+2 versions | D+12 | D 98% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| Thu, Sep 17 · 6 polls | |||||||
| MI Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 16–17 | 1,200 LV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 45 | D+2 | D 78% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 16–17 | 1,200 LV | Cooper 48 · Whatley 43 | D+5 | D 98% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| NH Senate | InsiderAdvantage★★R sponsor | Sep 16–17 | 1,200 LV | Pappas 48 · Sununu 40 | D+8 | D 96% | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 15–17 | 1,079 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 45 | D+1 | D 71% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| FL Senate (special) | St. Pete Polls★★ for Florida Politics | Sep 15–17 | 913 LV | Nixon 45 · Moody 45 | Even | R 84% | stpetepolls.org ↗ |
| AK Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 14–17 | 799 LV | Peltola 46 · Sullivan 48+1 version | R+2 | D 52% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 16 · 7 polls | |||||||
| KS Senate | Emerson College★★½ for Nexstar Media Group | Sep 15–16 | 750 LV | Hamilton 45 · Marshall 43 | D+2 | R 56% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 14–16 | 831 LV | Turek 42 · Hinson 46+1 version | R+4 | D 52% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 14–16 | 1,085 LV | Brown 45 · Husted 42 | D+3 | D 69% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| GA Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 14–16 | 645 LV | Ossoff 48 · Collins 44+1 version | D+4 | D 96% | drive.google.com ↗ |
| KS Senate | Global Strategy Group★½ for the Democratic Attorneys General AssociationD sponsor | Sep 13–16 | 800 LV | Hamilton 49 · Marshall 47+1 version | D+2 | R 56% | static.politico.com ↗ |
| ID Senate | Advanced Targeting Research | Sep 13–16 | 700 RV | Achilles 50 · Risch 39+1 version | D+11 | R 99% | advancedtargetingresearch.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | High Point University | Sep 9–16 | 706 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 42+1 version | D+8 | D 98% | highpoint.edu ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 15 · 6 polls | |||||||
| MN Senate | co/efficient★★R sponsor | Sep 14–15 | 833 LV | Flanagan 43 · Tafoya 42 | D+1 | D 87% | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| ME Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 14–15 | 621 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 47+1 version | R+1 | D 68% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| MT Senate | Quantus InsightsR sponsor | Sep 14–15 | 625 LV | Bodnar 24 · Alme 44 | R+20 | R 98% | quantusinsights.org ↗ |
| NC Senate | Harper Polling★★ for The Carolina JournalR sponsor | Sep 13–15 | 608 LV | Cooper 49 · Whatley 34 | D+15 | D 98% | carolinajournal.com ↗ |
| MT Senate | Aspect Strategic for Montana Freedom PAC, which supports Bodnar | Sep 7–15 | 715 LV | Bodnar 32 · Alme 44 | R+12 | R 98% | x.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | Catawba College/YouGov★★ | Sep 4–15 | 885 LV | Cooper 47 · Whatley 35+1 version | D+12 | D 98% | catawba.edu ↗ |
| Mon, Sep 14 · 8 polls | |||||||
| GA Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 14 | 1,019 LV | Ossoff 51 · Collins 42 | D+9 | D 96% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| SC Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 14 | 1,006 LV | Andrews 43 · Graham 48 | R+5 | R 73% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| AK Senate | Rasmussen Reports★★R sponsor | Sep 13–14 | 1,188 LV | Peltola 39 · Sullivan 39 | Even | D 52% | rasmussenreports.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | Emerson College★★½ | Sep 12–14 | 1,000 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 46 | D+2 | D 78% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | Emerson College★★½ | Sep 12–14 | 1,000 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 46 | D+1 | D 71% | emersoncollegepolling.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | The Washington Post/SSPG★★ | Sep 10–14 | 803 LV | El-Sayed 48 · Rogers 45 | D+3 | D 78% | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| MN Senate | KSTP/SurveyUSA★★½ | Sep 9–14 | 654 LV | Flanagan 42 · Tafoya 42 | Even | D 87% | kstp.com ↗ |
| ME Senate | University of Massachusetts/YouGov★★ | Aug 28–Sep 14 | 650 LV | Jackson 48 · Collins 43 | D+5 | D 68% | uml.edu ↗ |
| Sun, Sep 13 · 2 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | SoCal Strategies★★ | Sep 12–13 | 649 LV | Talarico 50 · Paxton 45 | D+5 | D 71% | socalstrategies.substack.com ↗ |
| NE Senate | SurveyUSA★★½ for Grant Forbes, LLC | Sep 8–13 | 503 LV | Osborn 46 · Ricketts 42 | D+4 | R 63% | results.surveyusa.com ↗ |
| Sat, Sep 12 · 2 polls | |||||||
| GA Senate | Trafalgar Group★★R sponsor | Sep 10–12 | 1,091 LV | Ossoff 49 · Collins 43 | D+6 | D 96% | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| AK Senate | Alaska Survey Research★★ | Sep 10–12 | 1,352 LV | Peltola 52 · Sullivan 48+1 version | D+4 | D 52% | x.com ↗ |
Margin: the poll's lead (D − R; approve − disapprove for approval). Forecast: the race's chance in today's forecast, which averages polls after adjusting for each pollster's house effect and track record. Stars: our pollster rating, three is best. Sponsor: polls paid for by a party or campaign are released selectively, and the forecast adjusts for that.