Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026

UMass Lowell/YouGov

4 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 2 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Sep 28, 2026.

Polls
42 in 2 races · 2 generic ballot
538 rating
—Not rated by 538
House effect
R+0.5Against other polls, in today's forecast

Its polls run 0.5 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.

Race polls

Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.

RaceDatesSampleResultMarginSource
U.S. Senate in TexasSep 18–Sep 28850 LVTalarico 45 · Paxton 45Evenuml.edu ↗
Texas GovernorSep 18–Sep 28850 LVHinojosa 44 · Abbott 48R+4uml.edu ↗

Generic congressional ballot

Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.

DatesSampleDem.Rep.MarginSource
Mar 26–Mar 301,000 A3835D+3uml.edu ↗
Oct 16–Oct 201,000 A3835D+3uml.edu ↗