Maine Governor
Governor · Maine
Hannah Pingree held the seat for Democrats, winning by 16.9 points over Bobby Charles.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 5, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Pingree compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 16 of 16 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: York, +13.0 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 8 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Pingree ahead by 9.8. Pingree won by 16.9: a 7.1-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Pingree ahead
- Poll with Charles ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Pingree | Charles | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena Universityfield: Pingree, Charles | Oct 27–Nov 1 | 714 LV | 54.8 | 39.8 | D+15 | — | −1.9 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
| The New York Times/Siena UniversityMain question · in average | Oct 27–Nov 1 | 714 LV | 49.4 | 36.6 | D+12.8 | D+14.2 | −4.1 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Emerson College for Poll Vault | Oct 31–Nov 1 | 600 LV | 50.3 | 40.5 | D+9.8 | D+11.4 | −7.1 | A+ | pollvault.substack.com ↗ |
| AtlasIntel | Oct 28–Nov 1 | 967 LV | 49.5 | 42.1 | D+7.4 | D+5.3 | −9.5 | A | pollstergraph.com ↗ |
| Survey 160field: Pingree, Charles · in average | Oct 27–Nov 1 | 1,323 LV | 53 | 41 | D+12 | — | −4.9 | — | survey160.com ↗ |
| Survey 160field: Pingree, Charles | Oct 27–Nov 1 | 1,335 RV | 53 | 41 | D+12 | — | −4.9 | — | survey160.com ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Oct 27–Oct 31 | 1,648 LV | 51 | 40 | D+11 | D+10.3 | −5.9 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| YouGov | Oct 26–Oct 29 | 1,500 LV | 53 | 45 | D+8 | D+7.4 | −8.9 | B | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| Data for Progress | Oct 23–Oct 27 | 652 LV | 49 | 37 | D+12 | — | −4.9 | B | dataforprogress.org ↗ |
| SSRS for CNN | Oct 20–Oct 26 | 783 LV | 53 | 39 | D+14 | — | −2.9 | C | edition.cnn.com ↗ |
| Marist UniversityMain question | Oct 22–Oct 25 | 1,449 RV | 51 | 40 | D+11 | — | −5.9 | B+ | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| Marist UniversityMain question · in average | Oct 22–Oct 25 | 1,449 LV | 44 | 44 | Even | R+0.8 | −16.9 | B+ | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| Echelon Insights for NetChoice | Oct 16–Oct 23 | 413 LV | 51 | 38 | D+13 | — | −3.9 | A | netchoice.org ↗ |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox NewsMain question | Oct 16–Oct 20 | 1,689 RV | 49 | 39 | D+10 | — | −6.9 | B+ | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox NewsMain question · in average | Oct 16–Oct 20 | 1,514 LV | 49 | 39 | D+10 | — | −6.9 | B+ | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Suffolk University | Oct 8–Oct 11 | 500 LV | 49 | 38 | D+11 | — | −5.9 | A | suffolk.edu ↗ |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | Sep 30–Oct 5 | 800 LV | 49 | 36 | D+13 | — | −3.9 | A− | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Marist University | Oct 1–Oct 4 | 1,505 RV | 52 | 40 | D+12 | — | −4.9 | B+ | maristpoll.marist.edu ↗ |
| YouGov for CBS News | Sep 23–Oct 1 | 1,133 LV | 56 | 44 | D+12 | — | −4.9 | B | cbsnews.com ↗ |
| co/efficient | Sep 28–Sep 30 | 1,240 LV | 47 | 38 | D+9 | — | −7.9 | B+ | battlegrounds.coefficient.org ↗ |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research for AARP | Sep 20–Sep 22 | 982 LV | 52 | 39 | D+13 | — | −3.9 | B | aarp.org ↗ |
| The New York Times/Siena UniversityMain question · in average | Sep 15–Sep 22 | 619 LV | 46.95 | 34.42 | D+12.5 | — | −4.4 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
| The New York Times/Siena Universityfield: Pingree, Charles | Sep 15–Sep 22 | 619 LV | 53.43 | 39.23 | D+14.2 | — | −2.7 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 17–Sep 21 | 1,312 LV | 48 | 40 | D+8 | — | −8.9 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | Aug 28–Sep 14 | 650 LV | 49 | 38 | D+11 | — | −5.9 | B | uml.edu ↗ |
| YouGovMain question · in average | Sep 2–Sep 8 | 1,334 LV | 47 | 36 | D+11 | — | −5.9 | B | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| YouGovMain question | Sep 2–Sep 8 | 1,377 RV | 44 | 35 | D+9 | — | −7.9 | B | d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net ↗ |
| SSRS for CNN | Aug 31–Sep 6 | 880 LV | 52 | 39 | D+13 | — | −3.9 | C | cnn.com ↗ |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox News | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 1,000 RV | 49 | 38 | D+11 | — | −5.9 | B+ | foxnews.com ↗ |
| University of New Hampshire | Jul 15–Jul 20 | 1,150 LV | 49 | 35 | D+14 | — | −2.9 | C | scholars.unh.edu ↗ |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox News | Jun 23–Jun 27 | 1,003 RV | 53 | 42 | D+11 | — | −5.9 | B+ | foxnews.com ↗ |
| The New York Times/Siena University for Portland Press HeraldMain question · in average | Jun 19–Jun 26 | 608 LV | 49.63 | 36.38 | D+13.2 | — | −3.7 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
| The New York Times/Siena University for Portland Press Heraldfield: Pingree, Charles | Jun 19–Jun 26 | 608 LV | 55.38 | 39.62 | D+15.8 | — | −1.1 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 1, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Hannah Pingree
- 97%
- Robert B. Charles
- 3%
- Projected margin
- D+10.3
The candidates
Former director of the Maine Governor's Office of Policy Innovation, former Speaker of the Maine House of Representatives (2008–2010) from the 36th district (2002–2010), and daughter of U.S. Representative Chellie PingreeBobby Charles (R)Rick Bennett (I)
State senator (1996–2004, 2020–present), Republican nominee for ME-2 in 1994 and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012
Also on this ballot here
| U.S. Senate | D+6.1 |
Results within this state. Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 2:10 AM ET
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Pingree.