99chambers

Polls · the next presidential election

The 2028 presidential primaries

Our averages of national polls of each party’s primary voters, weighted by pollster rating, sample size and recency. The lines follow the five leading candidates; the lists rank every candidate pollsters ask about.

2028 Democratic primary

134 national polls

Our average of 134 national polls of Democratic primary voters.

0%20%40%Jan 2025JulJan ’26JulHarris 21.8%Newsom 13.9%Buttigieg 10.8%Ocasio-Cortez 9.2%Ossoff 5.9%
  1. Kamala Harris21.8%▼ 3.3 points
  2. Gavin Newsom13.9%▼ 1.1 points
  3. Pete Buttigieg10.8%▼ 0.9 points
  4. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.2%▼ 0.5 points
  5. Jon Ossoff5.9%▼ 1.2 points
  6. Mark Kelly5.7%▼ 0.4 points
  7. Josh Shapiro4.2%▼ 0.8 points
  8. Cory Booker2.9%▼ 0.3 points
  9. Elizabeth Warren2.9%—
  10. Mark Cuban2.8%—
All 31 candidates
  1. Andy Beshear2.4%▼ 0.7 points
  2. JB Pritzker2.4%▼ 0.7 points
  3. Bernie Sanders2.1%▼ 4.7 points
  4. Gretchen Whitmer1.4%▼ 0.7 points
  5. Tim Walz1.4%—
  6. Jon Stewart1.2%—
  7. Stephen A. Smith1.2%—
  8. Raphael Warnock1%—
  9. Amy Klobuchar0.9%▲ 0.1 points
  10. Wes Moore0.9%▼ 0.1 points
  11. Chris Murphy0.8%▲ 0.2 points
  12. John Fetterman0.6%—
  13. Ro Khanna0.6%▼ 0.2 points
  14. Rahm Emanuel0.5%▲ 0.2 points
  15. Jared Polis0.2%▼ 0.1 points
  16. Ruben Gallego0.2%▼ 0.1 points
  17. Philip Murphy0.1%—
  18. Roy Cooper0.1%—
  19. Beto O’Rourke0%—
  20. Deval Patrick0%—
  21. Jasmine Crockett-0.2%—

Arrows: change in the average over the last month, in points.

Source: 99chambers average of 134 pollsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

2028 Republican primary

132 national polls

Our average of 132 national polls of Republican primary voters.

0%20%40%Jan 2025JulJan ’26JulVance 38.7%Rubio 19.5%Trump Jr. 10.3%DeSantis 7.7%Kennedy 3.5%
  1. JD Vance38.7%▼ 1.9 points
  2. Marco Rubio19.5%▲ 0.2 points
  3. Donald Trump Jr.10.3%▼ 0.8 points
  4. Ron DeSantis7.7%▼ 0.5 points
  5. Robert F. Kennedy3.5%▼ 0.8 points
  6. Ted Cruz2.8%▼ 0.7 points
  7. Greg Abbott2.7%—
  8. Nikki Haley2.6%▼ 0.6 points
  9. Mike Pence1.9%—
  10. Josh Hawley1.8%▲ 0.1 points
All 31 candidates
  1. Tucker Carlson1.5%▼ 0.5 points
  2. Tim Scott1.4%▼ 0.1 points
  3. Rand Paul1.3%—
  4. Sarah Huckabee Sanders1.3%▼ 0.1 points
  5. Marjorie Taylor Greene1.2%▼ 0.4 points
  6. Vivek Ramaswamy1.2%▼ 0.8 points
  7. Brian Kemp1.1%—
  8. Tom Cotton1.1%—
  9. Glenn Youngkin1%▼ 0.4 points
  10. Rick Scott1%—
  11. Scott Bessent1%—
  12. Kristi Noem0.6%▼ 0.1 points
  13. Tulsi Gabbard0.5%▼ 0.4 points
  14. Thomas Massie0.4%▼ 1.1 points
  15. Elise Stefanik0.2%—
  16. Katie Britt0.2%—
  17. Lee M. Zeldin0.2%—
  18. Spencer J. Cox0.2%—
  19. Steve Bannon0.2%▼ 0.1 points
  20. Doug Burgum0%—
  21. Larry Hogan0%—

Arrows: change in the average over the last month, in points.

Source: 99chambers average of 132 pollsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Latest primary polls

National polls of each party’s primary voters, newest first. The leading two candidates are shown.

All primary polls
DatesPollsterPrimarySampleResultRelease
Oct 24–26, 2026D HarrisX/Harris PollDemocratic primary—Harris 34 · Newsom 20harvardharrispoll.com
Oct 24–26, 2026D HarrisX/Harris PollRepublican primary—Vance 40 · Jr. 21harvardharrispoll.com
Oct 23–25, 2026B+ LegerRepublican primary323Vance 37 · Rubio 16leger360.com
Oct 23–25, 2026B+ LegerDemocratic primary375Harris 22 · Newsom 14leger360.com
Oct 15–21, 2026B+ Clarity Campaign LabsRepublican primary413Vance 40 · Jr. 17claritycampaigns.com
Oct 15–19, 2026A Echelon InsightsDemocratic primary522Harris 19 · Newsom 14echeloninsights.com
Oct 15–19, 2026A Echelon InsightsRepublican primary417Vance 38 · Rubio 20echeloninsights.com
Oct 12–19, 2026A The New York Times/Siena UniversityDemocratic primary1,170Harris 12 · Newsom 9nytimes.com
Oct 12–19, 2026A The New York Times/Siena UniversityRepublican primary850Vance 33 · Rubio 24nytimes.com
Oct 5–7, 2026A Noble Predictive InsightsDemocratic primary1,171Harris 29 · Newsom 14thecentersquare.com
Oct 5–7, 2026A Noble Predictive InsightsRepublican primary1,137Vance 44 · Rubio 18thecentersquare.com
Oct 2–5, 2026— FocaldataDemocratic primary1,004Harris 32 · Newsom 13ft.com
Oct 2–5, 2026— FocaldataRepublican primary1,000Vance 39 · Rubio 21ft.com
Oct 2–5, 2026— FocaldataDemocratic primary778Harris 30 · Newsom 15ft.com
Oct 2–5, 2026— FocaldataRepublican primary803Vance 38 · Rubio 24ft.com
Oct 2–5, 2026— FocaldataDemocratic primary948Harris 33 · Newsom 13ft.com
Oct 2–5, 2026— FocaldataRepublican primary962Vance 37 · Rubio 21ft.com
Sep 26–28, 2026D HarrisX/Harris PollDemocratic primary—Harris 38 · Newsom 17harvardharrispoll.com
Sep 26–28, 2026D HarrisX/Harris PollRepublican primary—Vance 39 · Jr. 24harvardharrispoll.com
Sep 16–22, 2026C− McLaughlin & AssociatesRepublican primary430Vance 35 · Rubio 15mclaughlinonline.com

266 polls in the averages. Source: Polls: The New York Times poll lists and Wikipedia poll tablesUpdated Nov 2, 2026