Staggered Senate
Senators serve four-year terms; about half the seats are on the ballot each election.
16 of 31 seats on the ballot; 15 holdovers (0 D, 15 R) serve until a later election.
Wyoming · 2026 forecast · Mountain West region · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Wyoming in 2026
Wyoming elects a U.S. senator and a governor, a secretary of state, a treasurer, an auditor, its one member of the U.S. House, 16 of 31 members of the State Senate and all 62 members of the House of Representatives on November 3, 2026.
On the November 3 ballot: U.S. Senate · Governor · 3 statewide offices · 1 U.S. House seat · 2 legislative chambers.
- U.S. Senate
- R >99%R >99%James W. Byrd vs. Harriet Hageman
- Governor
- R 99%R >99%Kenneth Casner vs. Eric Barlow
- U.S. House
- 0.0 D · 1.0 R0.0 D · 1.0 RExpected seats of 1
- Wyoming State Senate
- R >99%R >99%Chance of control · 16 of 31 seats up
- Wyoming House of Representatives
- R >99%R >99%Chance of control · 62 of 62 seats up
- Secretary of State
- R >99%R >99%Bryan McCarty vs. Robert Short
- Treasurer
- Solid RSolid RCurt Meier unopposed
- Auditor
- Solid RSolid RKristi Racines unopposed
Trifecta
Republican trifecta now
Republicans hold the governorship and every legislative chamber. A trifecta is one party holding all of them.
After the election
- Dem. trifecta
- <1%
- Divided
- 1%
- Rep. trifecta
- 99%
The Republican trifecta most likely continues (99%); 1% chance it is broken.
After the election
- Dem. trifecta
- <1%
- Divided
- <1%
- Rep. trifecta
- >99%
The Republican trifecta most likely continues (>99%); <1% chance it is broken.
Chances come from the same simulations as the races, so outcomes are correlated. A governorship or chamber not on the ballot this year keeps its current party. Source: 99chambers forecast, run 56, updated Oct 16, 2026.
Statewide races
Every race decided by the whole state. Statewide offices nationwide.
Statewide offices
Secretary of State
● Bryan McCarty● Robert Short
Treasurer
● No Democrat● Curt MeierINC
Republican unopposed
Republican unopposed
Auditor
● No Democrat● Kristi RacinesINC
Republican unopposed
Republican unopposed
Ratings
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). Faded: no major-party opponent.
The Wyoming environment
The environment Wyoming's governor, statewide and legislative races run in, read from their polls against what the fundamentals expect. Its federal races run in the national environment.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast, national House vote
- Wyoming state offices vs. the nation
- +0.0± 4.5 (80% range) · 0 polled state races
- Wyoming state-office environment
- D+9.5In line with the nation
The polled state races behind it
No governor, statewide or legislative race in Wyoming is polled yet, so its state races run at the national environment.
Over time
Each polled race's average, minus what the fundamentals expect at the national environment, in national-environment points (a dot right of center runs more Democratic than expected). Readings are weighted by poll precision and office (governor most, then other statewide races, the Senate, legislative and House races), centered on the national average and pulled toward zero, so a thinly polled state stays near the nation. Governor, statewide and legislative races use the Wyoming environment in full; Senate and House races 0% of it. Each race's own polls are left out of the environment it uses.
U.S. House
1 at-large seat. The national House forecast.
1 races
| District | Candidates | Chance of winning (D · R) | Avg. margin | Rating | Lean | Polls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WY-AL | ● Lisa Kinney● Chuck Gray | R+35.0R+39.1 | R+44 | — |
Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%).
Wyoming Legislature
Chance of control after November 3, and how each chamber's races rate.
Wyoming State Senate
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 2 D – 29 R seats · 16 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 2 D – 29 R seats · 16 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
16 of 31 seats up; 15 holdovers.
Full forecastWyoming State Senate ratings
No seat is projected to change parties.
No seat is projected to change parties.
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). Faded: no major-party opponent. Every race.
Wyoming House of Representatives
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 7 D – 56 R seats · 32 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 6 D – 56 R seats · 32 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
1 race without a candidate list yet.
Full forecastWyoming House of Representatives ratings
No seat is projected to change parties. 1 more is a toss-up that could change parties (flip risk).
No seat is projected to change parties.
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Underlined: two candidates of one party in November. Faded: no major-party opponent. Dotted: no candidate list yet; forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger. Every race.
How Wyoming votes
Election rules that differ from the usual party primary and plurality win.