One-chamber legislature
Nebraska has a single legislative chamber of 49 members, called senators.
Nebraska · 2026 forecast · Midwest region · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Nebraska in 2026
Nebraska elects a U.S. senator and a governor, an attorney general, a secretary of state, a treasurer, an auditor, all 3 members of the U.S. House and 24 of 49 members of the Legislature on November 3, 2026.
On the November 3 ballot: U.S. Senate · Governor · 4 statewide offices · 3 U.S. House seats · 1 legislative chamber.
- U.S. Senate
- R 65%R 66%Dan Osborn vs. Pete Ricketts
- Governor
- R 77%R 76%Lynne Walz vs. Jim Pillen + 2 more
- U.S. House
- 1.2 D · 1.8 R1.3 D · 1.7 RExpected seats of 3
- Nebraska Legislature
- R >99%R >99%Chance of control · 24 of 49 seats up
- Attorney General
- R 98%R 82%Jocelyn Brasher vs. Mike Hilgers
- Secretary of State
- R 97%R 82%Sarah Slattery vs. Scott Petersen
- Treasurer
- R 97%R 82%Daniel Ebers vs. Joey Spellerberg
- Auditor
- Solid RSolid RNo Democrat on the ballot
U.S. House districts · Nebraska
- Solid D
- Likely D
- Lean D
- Toss-up
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Solid R
- Projected flip (stripes: party holding it now)
Statewide races
Every race decided by the whole state. Statewide offices nationwide.
U.S. Senate
● Dan Osborn● Pete RickettsINC
Governor
● Lynne Walz● Jim PillenINCAlso: Rick Beard (LMN), Brett Lindstrom (OTH)
Statewide offices
Attorney General
● Jocelyn Brasher● Mike HilgersINC
Secretary of State
● Sarah Slattery● Scott Petersen
Treasurer
● Daniel Ebers● Joey SpellerbergINC
Auditor
● No Democrat● Mike FoleyINCAlso: John Knight (OTH)
No Democrat on the ballot
No Democrat on the ballot
Ratings
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). Faded: no major-party opponent.
The Nebraska environment
The environment Nebraska's governor, statewide and legislative races run in, read from their polls against what the fundamentals expect. Its federal races run in the national environment.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast, national House vote
- Nebraska state offices vs. the nation
- +0.7± 4.1 (80% range) · 1 polled state race
- Nebraska state-office environment
- D+10.20.7 pts more Democratic than the nation
The polled state races behind it
Over time
Each polled race's average, minus what the fundamentals expect at the national environment, in national-environment points (a dot right of center runs more Democratic than expected). Readings are weighted by poll precision and office (governor most, then other statewide races, the Senate, legislative and House races), centered on the national average and pulled toward zero, so a thinly polled state stays near the nation. Governor, statewide and legislative races use the Nebraska environment in full; Senate and House races 0% of it. Each race's own polls are left out of the environment it uses.
U.S. House
3 districts. The national House forecast.
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it.
Omaha
3 races
| District | Candidates | Chance of winning (D · R) | Avg. margin | Rating | Lean | Polls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE-1 | ● Chris Backemeyer● Mike FloodINC | R+4.8R+3.9 | R+13 | 5 | ||
| NE-2D flipD flip | ● Denise Powell● Brinker Harding | D+14.8D+14.6 | D+5 | 2 | ||
| NE-3 | ● Becky Stille● Adrian SmithINC | R+45.5R+46.0 | R+54 | — |
Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%).
Nebraska Legislature
Chance of control after November 3, and how each chamber's races rate.
Nebraska Legislature
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 19 D – 31 R seats · 25 for control · R supermajority now: 77% it holds
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 19 D – 31 R seats · 25 for control · R supermajority now: 78% it holds
24 of 49 seats up; 25 holdovers. Nonpartisan ballot: seats counted by party registration. 24 races without a candidate list yet.
Full forecastNebraska Legislature ratings
3 seats projected to flip: 2 R→D, 1 Ind.→D. 1 more is a toss-up that could change parties (flip risk).
3 seats projected to flip: 2 R→D, 1 Ind.→D. 1 more is a toss-up that could change parties (flip risk).
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans, ■ another party). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. 24 of 24 races have no candidate list yet; they are forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger. Every race.
How Nebraska votes
Election rules that differ from the usual party primary and plurality win.
Nonpartisan ballot
Legislative candidates appear without party labels, and the top two from an open primary advance, so two members of the same party can meet in November. The forecast uses each candidate's registered party.
Filibuster
Ending a filibuster takes 33 of 49 votes, so a party usually needs 33 seats to pass contested bills; overriding a veto takes 30.
Staggered terms
Members serve four-year terms; about half the seats are on the ballot each election.
24 of 49 seats on the ballot; 25 holdovers (9 D, 16 R) serve until a later election.