Two senators per district
Each of the 17 Senate districts has two senators serving staggered four-year terms, so one seat per district is on the ballot each election.
West Virginia · 2026 forecast · Upper South region · Updated Oct 16, 2026
West Virginia in 2026
West Virginia elects a U.S. senator, all 2 members of the U.S. House, 17 of 34 members of the State Senate and all 100 members of the House of Delegates on November 3, 2026.
On the November 3 ballot: U.S. Senate · 2 U.S. House seats · 2 legislative chambers.
U.S. House districts · West Virginia
- Solid D
- Likely D
- Lean D
- Toss-up
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Solid R
- Projected flip (stripes: party holding it now)
Trifecta
Republican trifecta now
Republicans hold the governorship and every legislative chamber. A trifecta is one party holding all of them.
After the election
- Dem. trifecta
- <1%
- Divided
- <1%
- Rep. trifecta
- >99%
The Republican trifecta most likely continues (>99%); <1% chance it is broken.
After the election
- Dem. trifecta
- <1%
- Divided
- <1%
- Rep. trifecta
- >99%
The Republican trifecta most likely continues (>99%); <1% chance it is broken.
Chances come from the same simulations as the races, so outcomes are correlated. A governorship or chamber not on the ballot this year keeps its current party. Source: 99chambers forecast, run 56, updated Oct 16, 2026.
Statewide races
Every race decided by the whole state.
The West Virginia environment
The environment West Virginia's governor, statewide and legislative races run in, read from their polls against what the fundamentals expect. Its federal races run in the national environment.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast, national House vote
- West Virginia state offices vs. the nation
- +0.6± 4.2 (80% range) · 2 polled state races
- West Virginia state-office environment
- D+10.10.6 pts more Democratic than the nation
The polled state races behind it
Over time
Each polled race's average, minus what the fundamentals expect at the national environment, in national-environment points (a dot right of center runs more Democratic than expected). Readings are weighted by poll precision and office (governor most, then other statewide races, the Senate, legislative and House races), centered on the national average and pulled toward zero, so a thinly polled state stays near the nation. Governor, statewide and legislative races use the West Virginia environment in full; Senate and House races 0% of it. Each race's own polls are left out of the environment it uses.
U.S. House
2 districts. The national House forecast.
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans).
2 races
| District | Candidates | Chance of winning (D · R) | Avg. margin | Rating | Lean | Polls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WV-1 | ● Vince George● Carol MillerINC | R+35.4R+35.9 | R+44 | — | ||
| WV-2 | ● Ace Parsi● Riley MooreINC | R+29.9R+31.6 | R+40 | — |
Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%).
West Virginia Legislature
Chance of control after November 3, and how each chamber's races rate.
West Virginia State Senate
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 2 D – 32 R seats · 18 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 2 D – 32 R seats · 18 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
17 of 34 seats up; 17 holdovers.
Full forecastWest Virginia State Senate ratings
1 seat projected to flip: 1 D→R.
1 seat projected to flip: 1 D→R. 1 more is a toss-up that could change parties (flip risk).
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Faded: no major-party opponent. Every race.
West Virginia House of Delegates
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 13 D – 87 R seats · 51 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
Dem.
<1%
Rep.
>99%
Avg. 10 D – 90 R seats · 51 for control · R supermajority now: >99% it holds
West Virginia House of Delegates ratings
1 seat projected to flip: 1 R→D. 3 more are toss-ups that could change parties (flip risk).
2 seats projected to flip: 2 D→R. 1 more is a toss-up that could change parties (flip risk).
Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Faded: no major-party opponent. Every race.
Closest legislative races
HD-55Anthony DasaroJB AkersFlip risk58%Rep.69%Rep. HD-100Jenny ThackerWilliam RidenourFlip risk59%Dem.70%Rep. HD-24Steve WilliamsPatrick LucasFlip risk59%Dem.66%Rep. HD-82Eddie WagonerDavid McCormickD flipFlip risk66%Dem.52%Rep. HD-76Rick GarciaJon DoddsR flip67%Dem.90%Rep. HD-70Shannon WelshPaul J. Howe III68%Rep.91%Rep.
How West Virginia votes
Election rules that differ from the usual party primary and plurality win.
Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override most vetoes; budget and spending bills need two-thirds.