Analysis
Analysis
Long-form reads on what the 2026 results say: against past elections, the polls, our forecast, the maps and the people who voted.
Everything’s bigger in Texas. Including the swing.
Two years after Trump carried Texas by 14 points, Democrats won every statewide office and the state House. How it happened, district by district, and why the polls, the forecasts and a new congressional map missed it.
November 5, 2026