Pollsters · Updated Oct 23, 2026
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
43 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 13 races and the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Oct 19, 2026.
Also listed as Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research.
- Polls
- 4336 in 13 races · 7 generic ballot
- Grade
- B+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)
- House effect, 2026
- D+0.8Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- D+0.3Against other polls of the same races
Based on 41 polls of 37 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2012 to 2022: they missed the final margin by 4.4 points on average, about as much as other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 0.8 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
In past elections its polls ran 0.3 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 2,005 RV | Brown 53 · Husted 46 | D+7 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 1,592 LV | Brown 52 · Husted 47 | D+5 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 1,398 LV | Talarico 49 · Paxton 49 | Even | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 2,011 RV | Talarico 52 · Paxton 46 | D+6 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 2,005 RV | Acton 51 · Ramaswamy 47 | D+4 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 1,592 LV | Acton 50 · Ramaswamy 48 | D+2 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 2,011 RV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 50 | R+1 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor for Fox News | Oct 15–Oct 19 | 1,398 LV | Hinojosa 47 · Abbott 52 | R+5 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Iowa for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,008 LV | Turek 49 · Hinson 47 | D+2 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Iowa for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,204 RV | Turek 50 · Hinson 46 | D+4 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,028 LV | El-Sayed 50 · Rogers 49 | D+1 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,203 RV | El-Sayed 51 · Rogers 48 | D+3 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 881 LV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 49 | D+2 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,203 RV | Talarico 53 · Paxton 46 | D+7 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Iowa Governor for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,008 LV | Sand 53 · Lahn 44 | D+9 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Iowa Governor for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,204 RV | Sand 53 · Lahn 43 | D+10 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Michigan Governor for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,028 LV | Benson 54 · James 45 | D+9 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Michigan Governor for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,203 RV | Benson 55 · James 44 | D+11 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 881 LV | Hinojosa 47 · Abbott 52 | R+5 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor for Fox News | Sep 24–Sep 28 | 1,203 RV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 50 | R+1 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Maine for Fox News | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 1,000 RV | Jackson 48 · Collins 46 | D+2 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan for Fox News | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 1,006 RV | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 51 | R+4 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for Fox News | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 1,008 RV | Brown 53 · Husted 45 | D+8 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Maine Governor for Fox News | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 1,000 RV | Pingree 49 · Charles 38 | D+11 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Michigan Governor for Fox News | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 1,006 RV | Benson 52 · James 47 | D+5 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for Fox News | Aug 6–Aug 10 | 1,008 RV | Acton 48 · Ramaswamy 50 | R+2 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina for Fox News | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 1,005 RV | Cooper 53 · Whatley 44 | D+9 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas for Fox News | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 1,006 RV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 48 | D+3 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor for Fox News | Jul 23–Jul 27 | 1,006 RV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 50 | R+1 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Georgia for Fox News | Jun 23–Jun 27 | 1,002 RV | Ossoff 56 · Collins 43 | D+13 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Iowa for Fox News | Jun 23–Jun 27 | 1,003 RV | Turek 50 · Hinson 46 | D+4 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Georgia Governor for Fox News | Jun 23–Jun 27 | 1,002 RV | Bottoms 52 · Jackson 47 | D+5 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Iowa Governor for Fox News | Jun 23–Jun 27 | 1,003 RV | Sand 53 · Lahn 44 | D+9 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Maine Governor for Fox News | Jun 23–Jun 27 | 1,003 RV | Pingree 53 · Charles 42 | D+11 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for Fox News | May 28–Jun 1 | 1,015 RV | Brown 53 · Husted 45 | D+8 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor for Fox News | May 28–Jun 1 | 1,015 RV | Acton 50 · Ramaswamy 49 | D+1 | foxnews.com ↗ |
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9–Oct 12 for Fox News | 1,202 RV | 54 | 45 | D+9 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Sep 11–Sep 14 for Fox News | 1,211 RV | 51 | 44 | D+7 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Jul 17–Jul 20 for Fox News | 1,003 RV | 53 | 46 | D+7 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Apr 17–Apr 20 for Fox News | 1,001 RV | 52 | 47 | D+5 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Jan 23–Jan 26 for Fox News | 1,005 RV | 52 | 46 | D+6 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Dec 12–Dec 15 for Fox News | 1,005 RV | 52 | 46 | D+6 | foxnews.com ↗ |
| Apr 18–Apr 21 for Fox News | 1,104 RV | 49 | 42 | D+7 | foxnews.com ↗ |