Tennessee State Senate seat · lines in effect since 2022
Tennessee Senate District 15
A district of about 213,000 people, 22% of adults with a bachelor's degree. It votes R+56.6 relative to the nation for president.
Where it sits among all 33 seats
Every Tennessee State Senate seat by partisan lean, from most Democratic to most Republican. Lean is the seat's presidential vote on current lines, relative to the nation.
Democratic
Source: 99chambers: 2024 and 2020 presidential results on current lines, relative to the nation (2024 weighted 3:1)Updated Oct 16, 2026, 5:19 AM ET
Every race on these lines
Results recomputed from precinct returns as if today's boundaries had always existed, so years compare like for like.
| 2024 | |
|---|---|
| U.S. Senate | R+57.1 |
Outlined: the race for this seat itselfBlank: no race that year
Source: 99chambers results archive: precinct results allocated to current lines; 2026: civicAPIUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Who lives here, compared
Grey bars show the spread of all 33 seats. Small marks are other seats in Tennessee. The black marker is District 15.
Lower than 75% of seats.
Higher than 91% of seats.
Lower than 69% of seats.
Lower than 97% of seats.
Lower than 84% of seats.
Less dense than 84% of seats.
Source: Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020–2024 5-year estimates, allocated to current linesUpdated Oct 13, 2026, 5:06 AM ET
Seats most like this one
Nearest seats on demographics, density and lean.
District 16TennesseeR+57.7Not up in 2026District 2
25% college gradsR+53.9Not up in 2026District 23
23% college gradsR+50.6Held RDistrict 8
TennesseeR+65.9Not up in 2026
Source: Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020–2024 5-year estimates, allocated to current lines; 99chambers: 2024 and 2020 presidential results on current lines, relative to the nation (2024 weighted 3:1)Updated Oct 16, 2026, 5:19 AM ET
Who has held it
These lines took effect in 2022.
- Paul Bailey (R)
2023– · Won 2022 unopposed, 2026 unopposed
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)