Staggered Senate
Senators serve four-year terms; about half the seats are on the ballot each election.
Tennessee › Tennessee State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Tennessee State Senate District 15
Paul Bailey has no major-party opponent.
Paul Bailey has no major-party opponent.
How this race is decided
Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto.
The candidates
RepublicanIncumbent
Paul Bailey
- Experience
- State legislature
The district
Lean R+57: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 213,126
- People per km²
- 34
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 22%
- White, no degree
- 71%of adults
- White 89%
- Hispanic 5%
- Black 2%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 3%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024 President Vote in this district
99,880 two-party votes · R+57.4 · R+55.9 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)78.7%
Kamala Harris (D)21.3%
2022
45,978 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Paul Bailey (R)100.0%
2020 President Vote in this district
93,665 two-party votes · R+54.0 · R+58.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)77.0%
Joe Biden (D)23.0%
2018 Earlier district lines
66,431 votes · R+47.3✓ Paul Bailey (R)73.6%
Angela Hedgecough (D)26.4%
2016 President Vote in this district
74,891 two-party votes · R+53.9 · R+56.1 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)77.0%
Hillary Clinton (D)23.0%
2014 Earlier district lines
45,959 votes · R+53.3✓ Paul Bailey (R)73.3%
Betty Vaudt (D)22.3%
William L Draper (I)4.4%