Leger

Polls

10 in 0 races · 1 generic ballot

Grade

B+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)

House effect, 2026

R+0.4Against other polls, in today's forecast

House effect, past elections

R+0.2Against other polls of the same races

Based on 11 polls of 9 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2016 to 2020: they missed the final margin by 3.1 points on average, about as much as other polls of the same races.

Its polls run 0.4 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.

In past elections its polls ran 0.2 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.