U.S. Senate in South Carolina
U.S. Senate · South Carolina
Annie Andrews flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 4.5 points over Darline Graham.
Source: South Carolina Election Commission unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Andrews compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 46 of 46 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Spartanburg, +28.9 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 38 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Government That Works PACFor Andrews, against Graham | $9.1M | |
| Security Is Strength PACFor Graham, against Andrews | $7.5M | |
| SLF PACAgainst Andrews | $3.9M | |
| FRESH START SC PACFor Andrews, against Graham | $3.4M | |
| BlackPACFor Andrews | $3M | |
| BUILDING THE FUTUREFor Graham | $2.5M | |
| AMERICAN MISSIONFor Graham | $2.3M | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.Against Andrews | $1.5M | |
| New Deal for All, Inc.Against Graham | $1.2M | |
| The Edge Action FundAgainst Graham | $1.1M | |
| MAGA INC.For Graham | $827.7K | |
| WinSenateFor Andrews | $752.3K | |
| GREAT OPPORTUNITY PAC, INC.Against Andrews | $744K |
Show 5 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Graham ahead by 0.1. Andrews won by 4.5: a 4.6-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Andrews ahead
- Poll with Graham ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Andrews | Graham | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar GroupR-sponsored | Oct 31–Nov 1 | 1,091 LV | 45.5 | 47.5 | R+2 | D+0.2 | −6.5 | B | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| Patinkin Research Strategies for Voices of the Electorate PACD-sponsored | Oct 27–Oct 29 | 500 LV | 48 | 43 | D+5 | D+1.2 | +0.5 | C+ | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Oct 19–Oct 26 | 707 LV | 47.76 | 48.47 | R+0.7 | R+1.2 | −5.2 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Targoz Market Research for South Carolina Policy Council | Oct 16–Oct 25 | 895 LV | 46 | 47 | R+1 | — | −5.5 | D | foxcarolina.com ↗ |
| East Carolina University Center for Survey Research | Oct 19–Oct 24 | 955 LV | 47.3 | 51.2 | R+3.9 | R+1.8 | −8.4 | B+ | surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com ↗ |
| Impact Research for Fresh Start SC PACD-sponsored | Oct 15–Oct 21 | 800 LV | 45 | 44 | D+1 | D+0.3 | −3.5 | C | freshstartpac.org ↗ |
| Trafalgar GroupR-sponsored | Oct 16–Oct 18 | 1,095 LV | 45.6 | 48.6 | R+3 | R+0.8 | −7.5 | B | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| InsiderAdvantage | Sep 28–Sep 29 | 1,200 LV | 45 | 46 | R+1 | — | −5.5 | B | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| Trafalgar GroupR-sponsored | Sep 23–Sep 25 | 1,087 LV | 42.3 | 43.4 | R+1.1 | — | −5.6 | B | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| InsiderAdvantage | Sep 8–Sep 9 | 1,200 LV | 43.2 | 45.1 | R+1.9 | — | −6.4 | B | insideradvantage.com ↗ |
| Abacus DataMain question · in average | Aug 26–Aug 28 | 306 LV | 38 | 51 | R+13 | — | −17.5 | — | abacusdata.ca ↗ |
| Abacus DataMain question | Aug 26–Aug 28 | 500 RV | 34 | 34 | Even | — | −4.5 | — | abacusdata.ca ↗ |
| Impact Research for Annie Andrews's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 18–Aug 24 | 700 LV | 41 | 41 | Even | — | −4.5 | C | drannieandrews.com ↗ |
| Impact Research for Annie Andrews's campaignD-sponsored | Jun 17–Jun 22 | 700 LV | 45 | 48 | R+3 | — | −7.5 | C | 314action.org ↗ |
| Impact Research for Annie Andrews's campaignD-sponsored | Feb 25–Mar 1 | 700 LV | 42 | 47 | R+5 | — | −9.5 | C | documentcloud.org ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for 314 ActionD-sponsored | Nov 21–Nov 22 | 704 RV | 36 | 42 | R+6 | — | −10.5 | B+ | politico.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 1, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Annie Andrews
- 37%
- Darline Graham
- 63%
- Projected margin
- R+1.9
The candidates
Pediatrician and nominee for SC-1 in 2022Darline Graham (R)
Incumbent senator (2026–present)
Also on the ballot: Kasie Whitener (Libertarian), 1.2%; Mark Hackett (Constitution), 0.8%; Write-in (Other party), 0.2%
Also on this ballot here
| Governor | R+4.5 |
| Attorney General | R+4.7 |
| Secretary of State | R+6.0 |
| Treasurer | R+5.1 |
| Comptroller | R+4.1 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: South Carolina Election Commission (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET