Patinkin Research Strategies

Polls

11 in 1 race

Grade

C+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)

House effect, 2026

—No polls without a party sponsor

House effect, D-sponsored polls

D+4.4Its polls paid for by a Democratic party or campaign

House effect, past elections

D+0.6Against other polls of the same races

Sponsorship

DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign

Based on 6 polls of 6 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2020 to 2022: they missed the final margin by 4.6 points on average, 0.6 points more than other polls of the same races.

Its Democratic-sponsored polls run 4.4 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races. Sponsored polls are assumed to lean 4 points toward the sponsor until they show otherwise; the forecast removes the estimate before averaging.

In past elections its polls ran 0.6 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races.