East Carolina University Center for Survey Research

Polls

22 in 1 race

Grade

B+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)

House effect, 2026

R+0.8Against other polls, in today's forecast

House effect, past elections

R+0.3Against other polls of the same races

Based on 11 polls of 8 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2020 to 2022: they missed the final margin by 4.1 points on average, 0.1 points more than other polls of the same races.

Its polls run 0.8 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.

In past elections its polls ran 0.3 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.