South Carolina Governor
Governor · South Carolina
Alan Wilson held the seat for Republicans, winning by 4.5 points over Jermaine Johnson.
Source: South Carolina Election Commission unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Johnson compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 46 of 46 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Spartanburg, +20.0 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 38 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Wilson ahead by 11.8. Wilson won by 4.5: a 7.3-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Johnson ahead
- Poll with Wilson ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Johnson | Wilson | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar GroupR-sponsored | Oct 31–Nov 1 | 1,091 LV | 39.1 | 54.1 | R+15 | R+13.8 | −10.5 | B | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Oct 19–Oct 26 | 707 LV | 44.24 | 50.97 | R+6.7 | R+7.5 | −2.2 | A | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Targoz Market Research for South Carolina Policy Council | Oct 16–Oct 25 | 895 LV | 41 | 51 | R+10 | R+7.7 | −5.5 | D | foxcarolina.com ↗ |
| The Citadel PollMain question | Oct 14–Oct 25 | 1,009 RV | 32 | 36 | R+4 | — | +0.5 | — | poll.citadel.edu ↗ |
| The Citadel PollMain question · in average | Oct 14–Oct 25 | 890 LV | 31 | 42 | R+11 | R+13.8 | −6.5 | — | poll.citadel.edu ↗ |
| Trafalgar GroupR-sponsored | Oct 16–Oct 18 | 1,095 LV | 36.5 | 52.5 | R+16 | R+15.6 | −11.5 | B | thetrafalgargroup.org ↗ |
| National Public Affairs for Alan Wilson's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 13–Oct 16 | 604 LV | 41 | 51 | R+10 | R+8.7 | −5.5 | — | static01.nyt.com ↗ |
| Hart Research Associates for Jermaine Johnson's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 12–Aug 15 | 600 LV | 41 | 48 | R+7 | — | −2.5 | — | washingtonexaminer.com ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for Annie Andrews's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 16–Jul 17 | 577 RV | 37 | 45 | R+8 | — | −3.5 | B+ | instagram.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 1, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Jermaine Johnson
- 5%
- Alan Wilson
- 95%
- Projected margin
- R+10.7
The candidates
Attorney general of South Carolina (2011–present)Jermaine Johnson (D)
State representative from the 80th district (2020–present)
Also on the ballot: Michael Addison (United Citizens), 0.8%; Walid Hakim (Green), 0.4%; Write-in (Other party), 0.1%
Also on this ballot here
| U.S. Senate | D+4.5 |
| Attorney General | R+4.7 |
| Secretary of State | R+6.0 |
| Treasurer | R+5.1 |
| Comptroller | R+4.1 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: South Carolina Election Commission (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET