99chambers

Texas House of Representatives seat · lines in effect since 2022

Texas House District 15

A district of about 212,000 people, 22% Hispanic, 54% of adults with a bachelor's degree. It votes R+26.9 relative to the nation for president.

Steve Toth (R) · since Nov 6, 2012Next election Nov 7, 2028The 2026 race →

Where it sits among all 150 seats

Every Texas House of Representatives seat by partisan lean, from most Democratic to most Republican. Lean is the seat's presidential vote on current lines, relative to the nation.

R+26.9106th most
Democratic
Most DemocraticMost Republican76th seat · the majority lineDistrict 15

Source: 99chambers: 2024 and 2020 presidential results on current lines, relative to the nation (2024 weighted 3:1)Updated Oct 16, 2026, 5:19 AM ET

Every race on these lines

Results recomputed from precinct returns as if today's boundaries had always existed, so years compare like for like.

20222026
Texas House of RepresentativesR+31.3R+16.9

Outlined: the race for this seat itselfBlank: no race that year

Source: 99chambers results archive: precinct results allocated to current lines; 2026: Texas Secretary of StateUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Who lives here, compared

Grey bars show the spread of all 150 seats. Small marks are other seats in Texas. The black marker is District 15.

Adults with a bachelor's degree54% 90th pct · 16th of 150 in TX

Higher than 90% of seats.

White adults without a degree28% 60th pct · 61st of 150 in TX

Higher than 60% of seats.

Hispanic residents22% 21st pct · 119th of 150 in TX

Lower than 79% of seats.

Black residents7% 38th pct · 94th of 150 in TX

Lower than 62% of seats.

Asian residents6% 66th pct · 51st of 150 in TX

Higher than 66% of seats.

People per square mile1,957 60th pct · 61st of 150 in TX

Denser than 60% of seats.

Source: Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020–2024 5-year estimates, allocated to current linesUpdated Oct 13, 2026, 5:06 AM ET

Seats most like this one

Nearest seats on demographics, density and lean. 1 of the 4 flipped this year.

District 98
60% college gradsR+25.7Held RDistrict 33
49% college gradsR+24.6Held RDistrict 130
23% Hispanic · 46% college gradsR+34.0Held RDistrict 14
28% Hispanic · 43% college gradsR+18.4Flipped D

Source: Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020–2024 5-year estimates, allocated to current lines; 99chambers: 2024 and 2020 presidential results on current lines, relative to the nation (2024 weighted 3:1)Updated Oct 16, 2026, 5:19 AM ET

Who has held it

These lines took effect in 2022.

  1. Brad Bailey (R)
    2027– · Won 2026 by 16.9
  2. Steve Toth (R)
    2023–2027 · Won 2022 by 31.3, 2024 unopposed

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)