2026CalledUnofficial results

2026 election for Iowa Secretary of State

Secretary of State · Iowa

Paul Pate (R) won re-election with 53.2% of the vote, defeating Ryan Peterman (D) by 6.4 points.

Paul PateRepublican · winner · incumbent
53.2%711,766
46.7%625,867
Write-inOther party
0.1%1,257
1,338,890 votes

Source: Iowa Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Peterman compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 97 of 99 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Lee, +15.7 points.

R+80R+80R+40R+40EvenEvenD+40D+40D+80D+80Moved toward Democrats ↑↓ Moved toward RepublicansPolkLinnJohnsonScottDallasBlack Hawk2024 presidential margin →2026 margin →

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

EvenR+7.82018R+20.22022R+13.42024 Pres.R+6.42026

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift
PolkD+15.0+4.1
LinnD+10.1+0.2
JohnsonD+45.6+7.8
ScottD+7.5+11.4
DallasR+1.3+3.4
Black HawkD+9.7+8.5
DubuqueR+2.5+6.1
StoryD+16.2+5.9
Show 91 more
PottawattamieR+8.3+11.6
WoodburyR+8.9+14.0
WarrenR+17.0+3.6
Cerro GordoR+4.6+7.0
ClintonR+8.2+10.6
JasperR+22.7+4.8
MarionR+35.6+2.0
MuscatineD+0.4+15.2
SiouxR+68.4+2.2
Des MoinesR+3.6+11.4
MarshallR+6.3+9.2
WebsterR+21.1+10.0
BooneR+15.2+6.3
LeeR+12.0+15.8
BremerR+20.9+1.2
BentonR+32.5+0.7
WapelloR+16.5+15.0
PlymouthR+47.8+6.3
WinneshiekR+6.3+2.9
WashingtonR+22.8+1.6
DickinsonR+37.3+2.5
CarrollR+39.1+2.8
JonesR+27.7−1.4
CedarR+17.5+4.3
BuchananR+25.6+2.5
MahaskaR+46.1+5.3
JacksonR+24.8+7.7
PoweshiekR+12.7+4.2
DelawareR+39.0+0.5
IowaR+26.1+1.6
FayetteR+28.5+1.9
MadisonR+36.0+2.4
HenryR+27.9+8.0
ClaytonR+31.4+3.1
TamaR+21.4+5.4
JeffersonD+1.0+7.8
KossuthR+43.7+0.4
HardinR+37.0+1.2
ClayR+35.6+7.4
ButlerR+41.1+4.2
MillsR+28.7+10.2
FloydR+17.7+8.0
Buena VistaR+20.7+12.5
HamiltonR+26.6+6.6
HarrisonR+31.8+9.9
GrundyR+41.3+0.4
AllamakeeR+28.9+5.4
O'BrienR+54.9+5.8
LyonR+66.0+3.6
CassR+37.7+2.9
GuthrieR+39.6−1.9
PageR+34.6+7.7
CrawfordR+30.6+12.8
ShelbyR+39.8+3.1
ChickasawR+32.8+4.3
AppanooseR+34.8+11.7
CherokeeR+40.6+5.0
UnionR+29.2+6.9
HancockR+44.1+3.3
WinnebagoR+27.6+3.0
MitchellR+26.4+4.7
WrightR+31.7+4.7
SacR+46.6+4.9
Palo AltoR+40.1+4.8
LouisaR+29.1+11.8
KeokukR+45.8+5.7
FranklinR+39.4+2.2
HumboldtR+45.7+4.1
CalhounR+42.3+4.4
HowardR+26.1+5.6
MontgomeryR+32.7+6.2
GreeneR+30.9+2.0
EmmetR+33.0+11.0
ClarkeR+34.6+7.2
LucasR+43.9+4.1
MononaR+36.7+8.5
WorthR+22.6+5.5
AdairR+44.2+0.6
MonroeR+42.4+8.2
DavisR+44.5+9.9
Van BurenR+49.1+6.3
IdaR+50.5+2.7
DecaturR+41.3+5.6
PocahontasR+47.1+6.8
FremontR+34.0+10.5
AudubonR+35.3+3.0
OsceolaR+59.1+4.9
WayneR+47.9+9.2
TaylorR+51.0+4.7
RinggoldR+50.4+0.8
AdamsR+38.8+5.2

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Pate ahead by 3.4. Pate won by 6.4: a 3.0-point miss toward Democrats.

R+5EvenD+5Result R+6.4Final average R+3.4Oct 1Nov 3
  • Poll with Peterman ahead
  • Poll with Pate ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSamplePetermanPateMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
Change Research for Peterman's campaignD-sponsoredSep 11–Sep 14704 LV4042R+2R+3.3+4.4B+docs.google.com ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 14, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Ryan Peterman
20%
Paul Pate
80%
Projected margin
R+5.4
How the forecast works →

Also on this ballot here

U.S. SenateD+4.1
GovernorD+11.0
Attorney GeneralD+1.8
TreasurerR+0.7
AuditorD+0.5

Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Iowa Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET