Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

Iowa Attorney General

Name: Iowa Attorney General
Start: 2026-11-03
Location: Iowa

Attorney General · Iowa

Nathan Willems flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 1.8 points over Brenna Bird.

Nathan WillemsDemocrat · winner

50.8%681,097

Brenna BirdRepublican · incumbent

49.1%657,405

Write-inOther party

0.1%1,527

1,340,029 votes

Source: Iowa Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Willems compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 99 of 99 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Winneshiek, +22.7 points.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift

PolkD+24.3+13.5

LinnD+24.8+14.9

JohnsonD+52.1+14.3

ScottD+10.2+14.1

DallasD+8.0+12.7

Black HawkD+18.5+17.3

DubuqueD+6.2+14.8

StoryD+24.7+14.4

Show 91 more

PottawattamieR+6.2+13.7

WoodburyR+6.4+16.5

WarrenR+7.1+13.5

ClintonR+4.3+14.6

Cerro GordoR+0.4+11.2

JasperR+14.1+13.5

MarionR+28.7+8.9

MuscatineD+5.2+20.1

SiouxR+65.2+5.5

Des MoinesD+0.1+15.1

MarshallD+1.8+17.3

WebsterR+14.7+16.4

BooneR+5.3+16.1

LeeR+9.8+17.9

BremerR+8.5+13.6

BentonR+17.0+16.1

WapelloR+12.9+18.5

PlymouthR+43.6+10.5

WinneshiekD+13.5+22.7

WashingtonR+11.4+13.0

DickinsonR+31.8+8.0

CarrollR+29.7+12.1

JonesR+9.9+16.3

CedarR+5.6+16.2

BuchananR+9.4+18.7

JacksonR+17.8+14.7

MahaskaR+38.4+13.0

PoweshiekR+2.7+14.2

DelawareR+23.7+15.8

IowaR+13.0+14.7

FayetteR+11.4+19.0

MadisonR+25.3+13.1

HenryR+22.5+13.4

ClaytonR+18.7+15.7

TamaR+10.9+15.9

JeffersonD+5.6+12.4

HardinR+24.4+13.9

KossuthR+35.8+8.3

ClayR+30.9+12.2

ButlerR+29.2+16.1

MillsR+27.3+11.7

FloydR+13.9+11.7

Buena VistaR+14.6+18.6

HamiltonR+17.2+16.0

HarrisonR+30.2+11.5

GrundyR+30.5+11.2

AllamakeeR+18.0+16.3

O'BrienR+51.6+9.1

LyonR+64.9+4.8

CassR+34.1+6.5

GuthrieR+28.0+9.8

PageR+30.4+11.9

CrawfordR+25.8+17.6

ChickasawR+18.9+18.2

AppanooseR+29.7+16.9

ShelbyR+36.5+6.4

CherokeeR+37.0+8.6

UnionR+20.6+15.4

HancockR+39.3+8.0

WinnebagoR+25.0+5.6

WrightR+22.3+14.1

MitchellR+21.6+9.4

SacR+39.1+12.4

Palo AltoR+36.0+8.9

LouisaR+23.1+17.8

KeokukR+35.8+15.7

FranklinR+31.5+10.1

HumboldtR+39.3+10.6

CalhounR+34.5+12.2

HowardR+17.5+14.2

MontgomeryR+25.2+13.8

GreeneR+19.9+13.1

EmmetR+30.2+13.7

ClarkeR+25.7+16.2

WorthR+21.1+7.1

LucasR+36.6+11.4

MononaR+33.2+12.0

AdairR+32.6+12.3

MonroeR+36.4+14.1

DavisR+40.9+13.5

Van BurenR+44.3+11.1

DecaturR+33.6+13.3

IdaR+43.9+9.3

PocahontasR+41.2+12.7

FremontR+30.1+14.4

AudubonR+27.0+11.3

OsceolaR+57.3+6.7

WayneR+39.6+17.5

TaylorR+43.8+11.8

RinggoldR+40.5+10.8

AdamsR+31.3+12.8

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Willems ahead by 3.0. Willems won by 1.8: a 1.2-point miss toward Democrats.

Poll with Willems ahead
Poll with Bird ahead
Final polling average
Result

Pollster	Dates	Sample	Willems	Bird	Margin	Adjusted	Miss vs result	Grade	Release
Cygnal for Iowans for Tax ReliefR-sponsored	Sep 9–Sep 11	500 LV	40	40	Even	D+3.0	−1.8	A+	itrfoundation.org ↗
Cygnal for Iowans for Tax ReliefR-sponsored	Jun 16–Jun 19	600 LV	39	44	R+5	R+2.0	−6.8	A+	taxrelief.org ↗
Global Strategy Group for the Democratic Attorneys General AssociationD-sponsored	Apr 6–Apr 9	600 LV	43	45	R+2	R+3.2	−3.8	C	politico.com ↗
Fund for Economic Independence for Fund for Economic IndependenceR-sponsored	Oct 30–Nov 2	1,056 LV	41	41	Even	D+7.2	−1.8	—	bleedingheartland.com ↗
Fund for Economic Independence for Fund for Economic IndependenceR-sponsored	Sep 9–Sep 11	600 LV	46	39	D+7	D+15.2	+5.2	—	bleedingheartland.com ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 11, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Nathan Willems: 33%
Brenna Bird: 67%
Projected margin: R+2.8

How the forecast works →

The candidates

Nathan Willems (D)
Former state representative from the 29th district (2009–2013)Brenna Bird (R)
Incumbent attorney general (2023–present)

Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.1%

Also on this ballot here

U.S. Senate	D+4.1
Governor	D+11.0
Secretary of State	R+6.4
Treasurer	R+0.7
Auditor	D+0.5

Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Iowa Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET